MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 21, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Justin Wrobleski
Zack Wheeler
56.2%
43.8%
+121
-133
+121
-130
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
5.24
4.58
9.82
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-105
u8½-110
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kendry Rojas
Parker Messick
47.8%
52.2%
+134
-148
+135
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+137
4.76
4.99
9.75
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-115
u8-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Bubba Chandler
Will Warren
32.4%
67.6%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+135
4.19
5.99
10.18
o9-105
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Drew Rasmussen
Kevin Gausman
47.2%
52.8%
-110
+100
-108
+100
-1½+155
+1½-171
-1½+155
+1½-175
4.33
4.62
8.95
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-110
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kyle Bradish
Ranger Suarez
34.2%
65.8%
+122
-135
+115
-135
+1½-185
-1½+161
+1½-185
-1½+160
5.20
6.85
12.05
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Overall Bet Value Active
Overall Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Walker Buehler
Reynaldo Lopez
48.5%
51.5%
+125
-138
+135
-145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+150
4.04
4.19
8.23
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
New York Mets (60-60)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Zach Thornton
Brandon Sproat
42.9%
57.1%
+127
-140
+135
-142
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-155
-1½+140
4.01
4.75
8.76
o9-107
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Tyler Mahle
Luinder Avila
57.3%
42.7%
-103
-101
-104
-103


4.56
3.80
8.36
o9½-115
u9½-105
o9½-115
u9½-105
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Noah Schultz
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
59.3%
40.7%




5.74
4.76
10.50


Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Framber Valdez
David Peterson
44.0%
56.0%
+100
-110
+100
-110

+1½-200
-1½+175
4.12
4.74
8.86
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Tyler Phillips
Tatsuya Imai
36.6%
63.4%
+114
-123
+115
-120
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+160
3.57
4.98
8.55
o9-105
u8½+105
o9+100
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Miles Mikolas
Michael Lorenzen
47.7%
52.3%
-101
-109
+100
-107

+1½-170
-1½+160
5.92
6.17
12.09
o12½-125
u12½+110
o12½-120
u12½+105
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Matthew Liberatore
Walbert Urena
45.4%
54.6%
-109
-101
-107
+102
-1½+145
+1½-162
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.50
4.98
9.48
o9-105
u9-110
o9-105
u8½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Jack Perkins
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
58.7%
41.3%




4.95
4.04
8.99


Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Chase Burns
Luis Castillo
48.8%
51.2%
-101
-109
+100
-107


4.39
4.51
8.90
o7½-107
u7½-110
o7½-110
u7½-110
Games for Jul 20, 2026
Games for Jul 22, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
47.3%
52.7%
-101
-109
+102
-108
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
9.73
o11½+100
u11½-117
o11½+105
u11½-110
9th
BOT
5
5
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
50.4%
49.6%
+126
-139
+130
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+155
9.46
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½-105
7th
BOT
0
1
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
58.7%
41.3%
+129
-142
+135
-140
+1½-163
-1½+143
+1½-145
-1½+145
8.99
o9-120
u9+103
o9-120
u9+105
6th
BOT
2
0
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
45.4%
54.6%
-112
+102
+100
+100

+1½-205
-1½+195
9.40
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+100
6th
TOP
2
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.6%
55.4%
-125
+117
-127
+128
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-156
2
3
-0.79098-0.82223-0.59010
Kansas City Royals
Tampa Bay Rays
36.7%
63.3%
+166
-176
+169
-180
+1½-120
-1½+107
+1½-125
-1½+118
1
7
-0.46345-0.45634-0.45689
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
64.1%
35.9%
-145
+137
-142
+138
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-125
2
8
-0.87659-0.87402-1.02566
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
45.2%
54.8%
+144
-153
+152
-158
+1½-145
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+135
9
2
-0.90646-0.93344-0.79514
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
39.9%
60.1%
+135
-145
+136
-141
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+152
5
0
-0.87165-0.86741-0.91932
Chicago Cubs
Baltimore Orioles
52.8%
47.2%
+145
-155
+151
-154
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
3
2
-0.91198-0.92498-0.63887
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
42.0%
58.0%
-127
+117
-126
+125
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+129
+1½-140
21
5
-0.60086-0.58621-0.86657
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
50.9%
49.1%
+110
-117
+107
-114


3
5
-0.63297-0.64546-0.71172
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+173
-183
+185
-180
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
10
-0.44882-0.43555-0.87074
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
44.7%
55.3%
+215
-230
+210
-230
+1½+105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
0
13
-0.37533-0.38037-0.59200
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Francisco Giants
33.6%
66.4%
+216
-225
+215
-220
+1½-104
-1½+100
+1½+100
-1½-105
3
2
-1.15929-1.15236-1.09035
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
48.7%
51.3%
-146
+138
-145
+140
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-125
3
2
-0.53529-0.53299-0.72035
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers
60.3%
39.7%
-157
+147
-154
+151
-1½-104
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-105
2
1
-0.50846-0.50508-0.50625
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
58.1%
41.9%
+155
-165
+156
-165
+1½-138
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+125
7
2
-0.95078-0.95319-0.54239
Colorado Rockies
St. Louis Cardinals
49.8%
50.2%
+178
-188
+181
-192
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
1
5
-0.43892-0.43257-0.68892
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
44.1%
55.9%
-149
+140
-145
+145
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
9
7
-0.52846-0.52452-0.81771
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.66458 
Sportsbooks118-3 (0.727)0-0.65777 
DRatings117-4 (0.636)0-0.62862
0.03595
0.02915

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.