MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
PostponedMilwaukee Brewers (74-47)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Brandon Sproat
Andre Pallante
53.0%
47.0%

-102
-105

+1½-220
-1½+190
4.42
4.11
8.53

o7½-120
u8-110
PostponedNew York Mets (60-60)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Freddy Peralta
Michael Lorenzen
46.8%
53.2%
-163
+137
-155
+145
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-115
5.20
5.54
10.74
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-110
u10-110
Games for May 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
Washington Nationals
45.8%
54.2%
+117
-124
+119
-124
+1½-175
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+158
2
5
-0.60567-0.60150-0.61194
Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds
50.3%
49.7%
-122
+111
-122
+114
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
12
9
-0.62187-0.61535-0.68814
New York Mets
Detroit Tigers
53.8%
46.2%
-123
+112
-125
+116
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-140
12
5
-0.61798-0.60613-0.61938
Los Angeles Dodgers
Pittsburgh Pirates
69.9%
30.1%
-167
+151
-170
+159
-1½-107
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
7
9
-0.94387-0.96727-1.20025
Texas Rangers
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.7%
50.3%
+127
-140
+128
-138
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-160
-1½+150
7
5
-0.84337-0.84244-0.69919
Seattle Mariners
Tampa Bay Rays
40.8%
59.2%
+103
-107
-102
-105
-1½+155
+1½-170

2
10
-0.66935-0.68605-0.52351
Baltimore Orioles
San Diego Padres
32.8%
67.2%
+140
-155
+145
-155
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+145
4
3
-0.89968-0.91198-1.11410
San Francisco Giants
Colorado Rockies
55.8%
44.2%
-150
+136
-138
+133
-1½-105
+1½-113
-1½+100
+1½-115
8
2
-0.53428-0.55399-0.58422
Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers
43.4%
56.6%
+135
-149
+135
-148
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-152
-1½+135
10
8
-0.87806-0.87647-0.83575
Atlanta Braves
Chicago Cubs
53.8%
46.2%
+111
-122
+110
-118
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-210
-1½+185
6
7
-0.62187-0.63113-0.77260
Oakland Athletics
St. Louis Cardinals
51.9%
48.1%
+137
-151
+140
-150
+1½-162
-1½+142
+1½-165
-1½+145
11
3
-0.88615-0.89199-0.65541
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
55.2%
44.8%
+154
-170
+165
-175
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
6
5
-0.95524-0.98819-0.59397
Los Angeles Angels
Houston Astros
40.0%
60.0%
+133
-147
+137
-145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
3
8
-0.54299-0.53820-0.51053
Cleveland Indians
Boston Red Sox
40.6%
59.4%
+127
-140
+131
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
4
6
-0.56258-0.56165-0.52126
Toronto Blue Jays
Cincinnati Reds
50.6%
49.4%
+104
-115
+110
-117
+1½-198
-1½+173
+1½-190
-1½+175
4
5
-0.65049-0.63297-0.70595
New York Mets
Detroit Tigers
53.8%
46.2%
-117
+108
-110
+106
-1½+143
+1½-163
-1½+150
+1½-162
10
8
-0.63747-0.65583-0.61938
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks136-7 (0.462)0-0.70776 
Sportsbooks137-6 (0.538)0-0.71407 
DRatings137-6 (0.538)0-0.68574
0.02202
0.02833

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.