MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 24, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Tomoyuki Sugano
Shane Drohan
38.8%
61.2%
+214
-240
+210
-230
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
4.32
5.50
9.82
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Matthew Boyd
Jared Jones
52.9%
47.1%
+109
-120
+110
-115

+1½-190
-1½+170
4.67
4.37
9.04
o8-115
u8½-120
o8-110
u8-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Beck Way
Tarik Skubal
49.5%
50.5%
+244
-275
+250
-285
+1½+105
-1½-120
+1½+115
-1½-125
4.43
4.49
8.92
o7½-110
u7½+100
o7½-110
u7½-110
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Eduardo Rodriguez
Carson Palmquist
41.1%
58.9%
-120
+109
-115
+105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
4.11
5.04
9.15
o9½-105
u9½-110
o9½-105
u9½-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Will Warren
Jesus Luzardo
51.3%
48.7%
+117
-123
+116
-124

+1½-185
-1½+165
4.79
4.66
9.45
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Grant Holmes
Trevor Rogers
59.7%
40.3%
+103
-113
+106
-115


5.30
4.27
9.57
o9-110
u9-110
o9-110
u9-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Mets (60-60)
Roki Sasaki
Sean Manaea
56.6%
43.4%
-142
+131
-150
+140
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-121
4.94
4.25
9.19
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-110
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
German Marquez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
55.7%
44.3%
+115
-138
+115
-135
+1½-195
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+143
4.53
3.94
8.47
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Joey Cantillo
Shane McClanahan
39.0%
61.0%
+122
-135
+123
-130
+1½-180
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+170
3.66
4.82
8.48
o7½-105
u7½-115
o7½-105
u7½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Trey Yesavage
Patrick Sandoval
48.2%
51.8%
+111
-122
+114
-120

+1½-185
-1½+165
5.03
5.23
10.26
o8½-110
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-110
Houston Astros (70-50)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Spencer Arrighetti
Davis Martin
48.8%
51.2%
+115
-127
+130
-132
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+150
4.23
4.35
8.58
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Bryce Miller
MacKenzie Gore
52.2%
47.8%
-115
+104
-115
+108
-1½+155
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
5.43
5.19
10.62
o7½-110
u7½-108
o7½-110
u7½-105
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jacob Lopez
Zebby Matthews
52.1%
47.9%
+126
-138
+127
-135
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
5.24
5.01
10.25
o9½-105
u9½+100
o9½-105
u9½-110
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Rhett Lowder
Dustin May
49.5%
50.5%
+145
-160
+147
-155
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
4.37
4.42
8.79
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Grayson Rodriguez
Logan Webb
43.0%
57.0%
+150
-165
+150
-160
+1½-145
-1½+130
+1½-140
-1½+140
4.42
5.15
9.57
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-110
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 23, 2026
Games for Jul 25, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Baltimore Orioles
59.0%
41.0%
-133
+126
-134
+128
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+122
+1½-135
6
3
-0.57389-0.56867-0.52690
Arizona Diamondbacks
Pittsburgh Pirates
49.5%
50.5%
-112
+105
-112
+106
-1½+140
+1½-157

8
6
-0.65406-0.65174-0.70376
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+117
-127
+120
-125
+1½-163
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
8
5
-0.79483-0.79851-0.84416
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
54.4%
45.6%
-108
-101
-106
+102
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+155
+1½-165
15
6
-0.67690-0.67401-0.60947
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
-106
-104
-103
+105
-1½+154
+1½-170

14
5
-0.68852-0.67366-0.71707
New York Mets
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.8%
66.2%
+166
-175
+167
-173
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-123
-1½+110
0
2
-0.46421-0.46437-0.41270
Atlanta Braves
Colorado Rockies
56.2%
43.8%
-144
+137
-150
+141
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-113
13
6
-0.53940-0.52565-0.57561
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs
48.8%
51.2%
-106
-104
-105
-104
-1½+152
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-165
5
7
-0.69780-0.69549-0.66978
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
49.6%
50.4%
-108
-101
-104
-101
+1½-210
-1½+181
+1½-196
-1½+180
4
5
-0.70966-0.70039-0.68571
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
36.2%
63.8%
+134
-125
+139
-144
+1½-146
-1½+170
+1½-135
-1½+131
1
2
-0.57054-0.53589-0.44950
Seattle Mariners
Baltimore Orioles
57.1%
42.9%
-103
-104
-105
-101
-1½+150
+1½-162
-1½+150
+1½-160
7
6
-0.69551-0.68363-0.56033
San Francisco Giants
Miami Marlins
53.4%
46.6%
+123
-133
+125
-134
+1½-182
-1½+162
+1½-180
-1½+170
0
3
-0.57975-0.57442-0.76260
Washington Nationals
Cincinnati Reds
43.0%
57.0%
+115
-125
+116
-120
+1½-165
-1½+146
+1½-165
-1½+150
1
8
-0.60825-0.61452-0.56198
Chicago White Sox
Toronto Blue Jays
46.0%
54.0%
+169
-174
+175
-175
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
8
-0.46083-0.45199-0.61600
Tampa Bay Rays
Texas Rangers
59.9%
40.1%
-123
+115
-124
+117
-1½+135
+1½-147
-1½+136
+1½-145
3
1
-0.61153-0.60567-0.51289
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
51.3%
48.7%
-133
+128
-136
+129
-1½+122
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
2
3
-0.83354-0.84142-0.72046
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks52-3 (0.400)0-0.61797 
Sportsbooks52-3 (0.400)0-0.60908 
DRatings53-2 (0.600)0-0.69747
-0.07950
-0.08839

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.