MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 26, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Parker Messick
Drew Rasmussen
39.0%
61.0%
+118
-130
+120
-128
+1½-185
-1½+180
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.66
4.82
8.48
o7+100
u7-105
o7-115
u7-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Kohl Drake
Miles Mikolas
41.1%
58.9%
-112
+102
-113
+106
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
4.11
5.04
9.15
o10-110
u10-105
o10-105
u10-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Jameson Taillon
Braxton Ashcraft
52.9%
47.1%
+114
-123
+110
-118
+1½-190
-1½+165
+1½-185
-1½+165
4.74
4.44
9.18
o9-105
u8½+105
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Kevin Gausman
Ranger Suarez
48.2%
51.8%
+122
-135
+122
-128
+1½-165
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.79
4.98
9.77
o8-110
u8½-125
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Reynaldo Lopez
Shane Baz
59.7%
40.3%
-101
-109
+102
-108

+1½-200
-1½+180
5.30
4.27
9.57
o9+100
u8½+100
o9+100
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
New York Mets (60-60)
Emmet Sheehan
Freddy Peralta
60.8%
39.2%
-155
+140
-152
+145
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+102
+1½-110
5.22
4.09
9.31
o9-115
u9½-125
o9-115
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Walker Buehler
Janson Junk
55.7%
44.3%
+113
-125
+115
-122

+1½-180
-1½+165
4.53
3.94
8.47
o9-105
u8½-105
o8½-110
u8½-105
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Luinder Avila
Framber Valdez
48.2%
51.8%
+162
-180
+166
-185
+1½-124
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+107
4.44
4.63
9.07
o9-120
u9½-120
o9-120
u9+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Kyle Freeland
Jacob Misiorowski
38.8%
61.2%
+248
-280
+270
-305
+1½+105
-1½-125
+1½+115
-1½-125
4.32
5.50
9.82
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-110
u7½-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Ronel Blanco
Erick Fedde
49.0%
51.0%
-110
+100
+100
-108

+1½-190
-1½+185
4.45
4.55
9.00
o9-118
u9½-120
o9½-105
u9½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Jeffrey Springs
Connor Prielipp
52.1%
47.9%
+123
-135
+125
-134
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.23
5.01
10.24
o10½+100
u10½-115
o10-110
u10-105
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Andrew Abbott
Kyle Leahy
49.6%
50.4%
+118
-130
+120
-126
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+158
4.42
4.46
8.88
o9+100
u8½-102
o8½-115
u8½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Gilbert
Jacob deGrom
43.7%
56.3%
-102
-108
+100
-105

+1½-215
-1½+190
4.27
4.93
9.20
o7-120
u7½-120
o7-120
u7+100
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Jose Soriano
Carson Whisenhunt
41.3%
58.7%
+104
-115
+105
-113

+1½-200
-1½+175
4.19
5.10
9.29
o8+100
u7½+105
o8+100
u8-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Will Warren
Cristopher Sanchez
51.3%
48.7%
+145
-160
+145
-155
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-140
-1½+135
4.98
4.85
9.83
o7½-120
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Games for Jul 25, 2026
Games for Jul 27, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Miami Marlins
San Francisco Giants
42.0%
58.0%
+132
-141
+134
-140
+1½-169
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+155
5
6
-0.55199-0.54962-0.54492
Seattle Mariners
Minnesota Twins
44.7%
55.3%
+108
-116
+111
-117
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-190
-1½+175
2
1
-0.75001-0.75971-0.80495
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
60.9%
39.1%
-198
+188
-205
+193
-1½-141
+1½+125
-1½-135
+1½+128
5
3
-0.42041-0.41065-0.49533
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
35.7%
64.3%
+175
-185
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
2
-0.44482-0.44482-0.44198
Oakland Athletics
Philadelphia Phillies
44.4%
55.6%
+180
-185
+178
-190
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+105
5
9
-0.43838-0.43764-0.58704
Chicago White Sox
Detroit Tigers
61.0%
39.0%
-133
+125
-133
+133
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+135
+1½-140
4
5
-0.82608-0.84588-0.94140
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
44.0%
56.0%
+161
-167
+160
-170
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
5
6
-0.47783-0.47678-0.58055
San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks
66.2%
33.8%
-131
+124
-134
+129
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
2
4
-0.81991-0.83785-1.08421
Houston Astros
Los Angeles Angels
58.7%
41.3%
+110
-117
+112
-117
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-165
-1½+160
3
1
-0.75717-0.76222-0.53314
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
48.0%
52.0%
-116
+108
-115
+110
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+133
+1½-150
5
1
-0.63934-0.63673-0.73482
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves
36.8%
63.2%
+160
-170
+163
-171
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+114
6
3
-0.96964-0.97814-1.00100
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.7%
62.3%
+143
-149
+145
-150
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-135
-1½+133
0
9
-0.52337-0.51896-0.47340
Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
51.4%
48.6%
-120
+110
-115
+111
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-154
1
3
-0.76336-0.75547-0.72151
Milwaukee Brewers
Chicago Cubs
56.0%
44.0%
-166
+165
-170
+165
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-112
+1½+105
4
5
-0.97599-0.98152-0.82025
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros
43.5%
56.5%
+111
-121
+117
-122
+1½-172
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+158
7
0
-0.76791-0.78504-0.83232
Atlanta Braves
Houston Astros
51.6%
48.4%
+111
-121
+114
-118
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+170
2
7
-0.62358-0.62235-0.72507
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1610-5 (0.656)1-0.66433 
Sportsbooks169-7 (0.562)0-0.65852 
DRatings1610-6 (0.625)0-0.64290
0.02143
0.01561

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.