MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 27, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
George Kirby
Kumar Rocker
52.2%
47.8%
-132
+120
-122
+125
-1½+143
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-155
5.50
5.28
10.78
o8-101
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Merrill Kelly
Mitch Keller
50.8%
49.2%
+105
-116
+115
-120
+1½-188
-1½+170
+1½-175
-1½+160
4.46
4.38
8.84
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Zack Wheeler
Tyler Phillips
51.7%
48.3%
-165
+158
-168
+155
-1½+105
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.56
4.39
8.95
o7½-115
u7½-105
o7½-115
u7½-105
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Kyle Bradish
Keider Montero
43.6%
56.4%
+100
-110
+103
-110
+1½-207
-1½+178
+1½-190
-1½+175
4.41
5.07
9.48
o8½-110
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Max Scherzer
Andrew Alvarez
54.5%
45.5%
+113
-125
+116
-125
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
5.25
4.79
10.04
o10-105
u10-115
o10-105
u10-115
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
New York Mets (60-60)
Martin Perez
Zach Thornton
49.5%
50.5%
-110
+100
-110
+105
-1½+157
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
4.69
4.75
9.44
o8½-105
u8+105
o8-120
u8½-115
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Slade Cecconi
Chase Burns
43.0%
57.0%
+152
-168
+152
-165
+1½-136
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
4.06
4.79
8.85
o8½-115
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-105
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Max Fried
Noah Schultz
47.7%
52.3%
-138
+125
-132
+125
-1½+123
+1½-135
-1½+125
+1½-145
4.78
5.03
9.81
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-110
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
David Peterson
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
44.8%
55.2%
-112
-108
-120
+100
-1½+135
+1½-160

4.17
4.71
8.88
o9½-110
u9½-110
o9½-115
u9½-105
Houston Astros (70-50)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Tatsuya Imai
Walbert Urena
53.8%
46.2%
-115
+104
-114
+105
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-160
4.83
4.44
9.27
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Payton Tolle
Jack Perkins
46.9%
53.1%
-167
+151
-160
+150
-1½-108
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
4.96
5.28
10.24
o9½-108
u9½-110
o9½-110
u9½-110
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Brandon Sproat
Tyler Mahle
46.1%
53.9%
-135
+122
-128
+125
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+130
+1½-140
4.14
4.54
8.68
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jul 26, 2026
Games for Jul 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
51.3%
48.7%
-144
+134
-142
+135
-1½+121
+1½-137
-1½+120
+1½-130
2
4
-0.86750-0.86664-0.71945
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
51.7%
48.3%
+106
-115
-101
-105
+1½-177
-1½+165

0
5
-0.64582-0.68363-0.72714
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
47.8%
52.2%
+122
-131
+122
-128
+1½-165
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+155
2
11
-0.58462-0.58909-0.64999
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
39.9%
60.1%
+212
-230
+213
-220
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+100
-1½-110
9
2
-1.15518-1.14800-0.91767
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
49.8%
50.2%
+115
-125
+115
-117
+1½-170
-1½+153
+1½-170
-1½+155
9
1
-0.78592-0.76975-0.69724
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
59.5%
40.5%
+117
-127
+119
-122
+1½-160
-1½+143
+1½-155
-1½+148
9
2
-0.79483-0.79005-0.51856
Atlanta Braves
Los Angeles Dodgers
40.0%
60.0%
+165
-175
+166
-176
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
5
6
-0.46561-0.46345-0.51144
Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox
50.0%
50.0%
+114
-117
+114
-120
+1½-172
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
3
12
-0.62416-0.61880-0.69283
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
56.3%
43.7%
-169
+157
-170
+165
-1½-103
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½-105
4
5
-0.96111-0.98152-0.82675
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves
45.8%
54.2%
-102
+108
-103
+100


2
3
-0.71799-0.70051-0.61325
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
51.7%
48.3%
+102
-112
+105
-109
+1½-178
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+168
9
5
-0.72619-0.72714-0.66027
Boston Red Sox
Houston Astros
43.9%
56.1%
+129
-139
+137
-139
+1½-150
-1½+137
+1½-150
-1½+138
4
5
-0.56010-0.54552-0.57732
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
53.5%
46.5%
-105
-105
+100
-104
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-215
-1½+195
2
1
-0.69315-0.70289-0.62620
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
41.9%
58.1%
+172
-187
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+117
2
7
-0.44741-0.45497-0.54316
Milwaukee Brewers
Atlanta Braves
44.3%
55.7%
+148
-154
+145
-150
+1½-153
-1½+136
+1½-150
-1½+138
4
5
-0.50986-0.51896-0.58488
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
51.6%
48.4%
-109
-101
-105
+101
+1½-208
-1½+180

10
1
-0.67472-0.67871-0.66242
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.64858 
Sportsbooks159-6 (0.600)0-0.65432 
DRatings157-8 (0.467)0-0.68211
-0.03353
-0.02779

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.