Upcoming Games for September 27, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Nick Martinez Jameson Taillon | 51.6% 48.4% | +110 -120 +112 -120 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 3.94 3.77 | 7.71 | o6½-115 u6½+100 o6½-105 u6½-110 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Garrett Crochet Undecided Undecided | 57.8% 42.2% | +158 -193 +170 -180 | +1½-130 -1½+110 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | o7½+100 u7½-120 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Ranger Suarez Trevor Williams | 50.7% 49.3% | -183 +167 -174 +165 | -1½-105 +1½-110 -1½-105 +1½-110 | 4.80 4.73 | 9.53 | o8-115 u8-103 o8-120 u8+100 | |||
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Jared Jones Carlos Rodon | 32.4% 67.6% | +152 -166 +152 -165 | +1½-145 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+122 | 3.78 5.60 | 9.38 | o7½-115 u7½-105 o8+100 u7½+100 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Adam Oller Jose Berrios | 38.7% 61.3% | +188 -208 +190 -210 | +1½-105 -1½-102 +1½-112 -1½-105 | 4.06 5.25 | 9.31 | o8-116 u8½-120 o8-110 u8-105 | |||
| Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Ronel Blanco Joey Cantillo | 55.9% 44.1% | +107 -117 +112 -116 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-200 -1½+176 | 4.50 3.87 | 8.37 | o7½-115 u7½-102 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Taj Bradley Nick Pivetta | 54.9% 45.1% | +118 -128 +120 -130 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 5.41 4.90 | 10.31 | o8-115 u8-105 o8-110 u8-110 | Overall Bet Value Active Overall Bet Value Active | ||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Brady Singer Max Fried | 33.3% 66.7% | +158 -173 +161 -170 | +1½-135 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 2.82 4.54 | 7.36 | o7-122 u7+105 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Sean Manaea Frankie Montas | 42.9% 57.1% | -111 +101 -104 +102 | -1½+155 +1½-170 -1½+155 +1½-165 | 3.92 4.66 | 8.58 | o7½-110 u7½-107 o7½-115 u7½-105 | Volatility Bet Value Active | ||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Undecided Undecided Cal Quantrill | 60.8% 39.2% | -185 +153 -182 +170 | -1½-120 +1½+100 -1½-125 +1½+110 | 5.65 4.51 | 10.16 | o11½-105 u11½-115 o11½+100 u11½-115 | |||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | Cade Povich Pablo Lopez | 39.2% 60.8% | +142 -155 +146 -152 | +1½-150 -1½+130 +1½-150 -1½+141 | 4.76 5.90 | 10.66 | o8-110 u8-110 o8-110 u8-110 | |||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Jacob deGrom Reid Detmers | 39.3% 60.7% | -143 +131 -142 +133 | -1½+110 +1½-130 -1½+117 +1½-130 | 4.91 6.03 | 10.94 | o7-120 u7½-118 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Yu Darvish Merrill Kelly | 62.6% 37.4% | +111 -121 +110 -120 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 4.44 3.14 | 7.58 | o8½-115 u8½+100 o8½-115 u8½+100 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | JP Sears Bryan Woo | 52.8% 47.2% | +145 -158 +147 -155 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 4.79 4.50 | 9.29 | o7½+105 u7+100 o7½+100 u7½-115 | |||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Miles Mikolas Landen Roupp | 40.0% 60.0% | +113 -123 +116 -118 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-185 -1½+175 | 3.65 4.71 | 8.36 | o7-122 u7+105 o7½+100 u7½-115 | Volatility Bet Value Active |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles Houston Astros | 31.4% 68.6% | -150 +138 -140 +135 | -1½+104 +1½-115 -1½+107 +1½-120 | 11 14 | -0.88707-0.86325 | -0.37702 | |
| Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers | 52.0% 48.0% | +132 -144 +134 -138 | +1½-160 -1½+140 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 2 6 | -0.54834-0.55217 | -0.73380 | |
| Boston Red Sox Cincinnati Reds | 49.2% 50.8% | -110 +100 -106 -102 | -1½+140 +1½-160 +1½-205 -1½+190 | 2 5 | -0.71668-0.70261 | -0.67820 | |
| Seattle Mariners Miami Marlins | 54.2% 45.8% | -166 +152 -165 +156 | -1½+100 +1½-116 -1½-103 +1½-110 | 2 3 | -0.94492-0.95319 | -0.78145 | |
| Toronto Blue Jays Cleveland Indians | 54.5% 45.5% | +114 -124 +118 -121 | +1½-185 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 1 7 | -0.61201-0.60859 | -0.78726 | |
| Atlanta Braves New York Yankees | 44.7% 55.3% | -108 -102 -105 +100 | -1½+160 +1½-165 | 8 1 | -0.67930-0.68116 | -0.80623 | |
| Tampa Bay Rays Pittsburgh Pirates | 61.6% 38.4% | -130 +120 -127 +121 | -1½+125 +1½-143 -1½+135 +1½-145 | 10 3 | -0.59012-0.59265 | -0.48501 | |
| Chicago White Sox Detroit Tigers | 54.6% 45.4% | +157 -172 +160 -174 | +1½-138 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 1 2 | -0.47955-0.47353 | -0.78860 | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks Philadelphia Phillies | 35.9% 64.1% | +126 -137 +129 -134 | +1½-160 -1½+141 +1½-150 -1½+145 | 5 4 | -0.83570-0.83785 | -1.02502 | |
| New York Mets Chicago Cubs | 51.1% 48.9% | +140 -153 +140 -147 | +1½-154 -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+145 | 11 1 | -0.89664-0.88719 | -0.67080 | |
| Milwaukee Brewers San Diego Padres | 46.3% 53.7% | +103 -113 +102 -106 | 6 7 | -0.65676-0.67401 | -0.62191 | ||
| San Francisco Giants St. Louis Cardinals | 56.9% 43.1% | -117 +107 -110 +103 | +1½-210 -1½+189 | 5 6 | -0.74957-0.72433 | -0.84165 | |
| Baltimore Orioles New York Yankees | 32.4% 67.6% | +150 -164 +152 -164 | +1½-143 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 17 5 | -0.93728-0.94212 | -1.12630 | |
| Kansas City Royals Oakland Athletics | 38.4% 61.6% | -137 +126 -145 +136 | -1½+115 +1½-125 -1½+112 +1½-125 | 3 2 | -0.56840-0.53996 | -0.95813 | |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Colorado Rockies | 60.8% 39.2% | -203 +184 -201 +190 | -1½-145 +1½+125 -1½-139 +1½+130 | 5 3 | -0.42236-0.41633 | -0.49768 | |
| Houston Astros Chicago White Sox | 48.8% 51.2% | -167 +153 -168 +158 | -1½-115 +1½-103 -1½-115 +1½+100 | 5 3 | -0.48977-0.48138 | -0.71650 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 2-4 (0.333) | 0 | -0.76476 | |
| Sportsbooks | 6 | 2-4 (0.333) | 0 | -0.76264 | |
| DRatings | 6 | 5-1 (0.833) | 0 | -0.55241 | 0.21235 0.21023 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.