MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Will Warren
Shota Imanaga
56.0%
44.0%
+139
-154
+135
-145
+1½-153
-1½+135
+1½-160
-1½+141
5.07
4.44
9.51
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Paul Skenes
Hunter Greene
36.4%
63.6%
-120
+109
-125
+115
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+137
+1½-155
3.80
5.23
9.03
o7½-120
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Brandon Young
57.5%
42.5%
+101
-121

-1½+160
+1½-185

5.29
4.51
9.80
o9-105
u9-115

St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Kyle Leahy
Dylan Cease
40.4%
59.6%
+150
-166
+155
-168
+1½-145
-1½+127
+1½-143
-1½+125
4.07
5.08
9.15
o7½-115
u7½+100
o7½-115
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Janson Junk
Freddy Peralta
46.6%
53.4%
+113
-125
+120
-130
+1½-187
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+161
4.65
5.00
9.65
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Erick Fedde
Nick Martinez
46.1%
53.9%
+127
-140
+130
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.27
4.68
8.95
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8+105
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Mitch Bratt
Tanner Bibee
41.1%
58.9%
+120
-132
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+155
3.72
4.66
8.38
o8½-113
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Foster Griffin
Bryce Elder
40.8%
59.2%
+112
-123
+120
-130
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.17
5.13
9.30
o9-115
u9-105
o9-105
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nathan Eovaldi
Hunter Brown
32.9%
67.1%
+109
-120
+115
-125
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.99
5.76
9.75
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-105
-105
-105
-105
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.86
5.34
10.20
o11-115
u11+100
o11-115
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-160
+145
-160
+150
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-115
4.80
4.64
9.44
o9-106
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Casey Mize
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-155
+140
-155
+145
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-114
3.89
5.38
9.27
o10½-120
u10½+100
o10½-120
u10½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
47.0%
53.0%




3.84
4.15
7.99


Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+166
-184
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-135
-1½+120
5.01
5.26
10.27
o7½-123
u8-110
o8+100
u8-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
40.0%
60.0%




4.46
5.51
9.97


Games for Jul 30, 2026
Games for Aug 1, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
47.0%
53.0%
+154
-171
+152
-165
+1½-143
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+130
7.99
o8-115
u8-105
o8½+110
u8½-115
8th
BOT
4
1
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
46.9%
53.1%
-183
+165
-175
+169
-1½-125
+1½+107
-1½-123
+1½+105
10.24
o10-109
u10-105
o10-105
u10-110
9th
BOT
5
4
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
34.4%
65.6%
+130
-143
+135
-136
+1½-160
-1½+142
+1½-150
-1½+148
9.43
o8½-118
u8½+100
o8½-120
u8½+105
6th
BOT
2
6

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
34.2%
65.8%
+264
-287
+275
-300
+1½+135
-1½-150
+1½+140
-1½-150
13
3
-1.30815-1.33827-1.07230
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
49.6%
50.4%
+115
-124
+120
-127
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+155
6
7
-0.60989-0.59470-0.68564
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
46.5%
53.5%
+216
-240
+220
-240
+1½-105
-1½-111
+1½-102
-1½-110
1
2
-0.37040-0.36652-0.62637
San Diego Padres
Cincinnati Reds
55.3%
44.7%
-133
+123
-131
+128
-1½+115
+1½-127
-1½+110
+1½-125
5
4
-0.57975-0.57290-0.59162
New York Mets
Atlanta Braves
42.0%
58.0%
+149
-160
+150
-155
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+125
4
3
-0.92912-0.92410-0.86752
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
54.7%
45.3%
+205
-220
+200
-206
+1½+109
-1½-125
+1½+110
-1½-120
6
7
-0.38995-0.40223-0.79226
Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays
37.2%
62.8%
+205
-225
+206
-220
+1½+106
-1½-120
+1½+112
-1½-120
3
9
-0.38769-0.38889-0.46450
Tampa Bay Rays
Washington Nationals
53.2%
46.8%
+103
-111
+104
-108
-1½+158
+1½-172

3
4
-0.66083-0.66479-0.75822
Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees
34.7%
65.3%
+145
-152
+144
-150
+1½-133
-1½+120
+1½-132
-1½+120
5
11
-0.51683-0.52062-0.42590
Miami Marlins
Philadelphia Phillies
36.9%
63.1%
+100
-105
-101
-103
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-160
3
4
-0.68116-0.68830-0.46113
San Francisco Giants
Los Angeles Dodgers
27.0%
73.0%
+153
-166
+159
-166
+1½-140
-1½+122
+1½-135
-1½+117
2
3
-0.49065-0.48162-0.31533
Arizona Diamondbacks
St. Louis Cardinals
53.8%
46.2%
+155
-168
+155
-163
+1½-130
-1½+114
+1½-130
-1½+117
1
7
-0.48587-0.49027-0.77200
Baltimore Orioles
Houston Astros
31.0%
69.0%
+310
-345
+300
-335
+1½+160
-1½-170
+1½+165
-1½-174
9
7
-1.43000-1.40621-1.17228
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
56.9%
43.1%
+136
-145
+136
-145
+1½-160
-1½+148
+1½-165
-1½+150
4
14
-0.53996-0.53996-0.84260
Detroit Tigers
Cleveland Indians
31.3%
68.7%
+146
-155
+148
-157
+1½-141
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+122
5
13
-0.51208-0.50687-0.37500
Kansas City Royals
Boston Red Sox
45.1%
54.9%
+140
-145
+143
-148
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-138
-1½+125
5
6
-0.53299-0.52449-0.59949
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.61767 
Sportsbooks75-2 (0.714)0-0.61779 
DRatings76-1 (0.857)0-0.56661
0.05105
0.05117

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.