MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for July 31, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Will Warren
Shota Imanaga
56.0%
44.0%
+138
-150
+135
-145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-161
-1½+141
5.08
4.45
9.53
o9-115
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Paul Skenes
Hunter Greene
36.4%
63.6%
-130
+118
-124
+117
-1½+130
+1½-147
-1½+137
+1½-145
3.81
5.23
9.04
o7½-120
u7½+100
o7½-115
u7½+100
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Brandon Young
57.5%
42.5%
+107
-128
+105
-125
-1½+170
+1½-200
+1½-190
-1½+158
5.29
4.51
9.80
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Kyle Leahy
Dylan Cease
40.4%
59.6%
+150
-164
+155
-168
+1½-147
-1½+130
+1½-143
-1½+125
4.07
5.08
9.15
o7½-110
u7½-105
o7½-115
u8-115
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Janson Junk
Freddy Peralta
46.6%
53.4%
+116
-128
+120
-128
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+161
4.78
5.14
9.92
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Erick Fedde
Nick Martinez
46.1%
53.9%
+136
-150
+136
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.27
4.68
8.95
o8½+100
u8-101
o8-115
u8+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Mitch Bratt
Tanner Bibee
41.1%
58.9%
+120
-132
+125
-131
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.69
4.63
8.32
o8½-113
u8½+100
o8½-115
u8½-105
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Foster Griffin
Bryce Elder
40.8%
59.2%
+105
-116
+120
-124
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+160
4.17
5.13
9.30
o9-115
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Nathan Eovaldi
Hunter Brown
32.9%
67.1%
+108
-119
+115
-120
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.99
5.76
9.75
o8-105
u8-115
o8-105
u8-115
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Michael Wacha
Tomoyuki Sugano
45.3%
54.7%
-105
-105
-105
-105

-1½+135
+1½-155
4.96
5.44
10.40
o11-115
u11+100
o11-110
u11-105
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Shane Drohan
Ryan Johnson
51.6%
48.4%
-160
+145
-160
+150
-1½-105
+1½-115
-1½-103
+1½-115
4.78
4.62
9.40
o9-106
u9-105
o9-110
u9-105
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Casey Mize
Jeffrey Springs
35.8%
64.2%
-155
+140
-154
+145
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½-105
+1½-114
3.89
5.38
9.27
o10½-120
u10½+100
o10½-120
u10½+100
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
47.0%
53.0%




3.84
4.15
7.99


Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Zebby Matthews
Bryce Miller
47.5%
52.5%
+166
-184
+170
-180
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+115
5.01
5.28
10.29
o8-105
u7½+103
o8+100
u8-115
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Ranger Suarez
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
40.0%
60.0%




4.46
5.51
9.97


Games for Jul 30, 2026
Games for Aug 1, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
32.8%
67.2%
+234
-257
+240
-255
+1½+130
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
6
5
-1.22509-1.23612-1.11413
Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets
51.9%
48.1%
+118
-123
+115
-120
+1½-197
-1½+184
+1½-210
-1½+190
1
2
-0.60523-0.61667-0.73241
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
32.3%
67.7%
+251
-275
+250
-280
+1½+120
-1½-135
+1½+120
-1½-125
4
5
-0.32823-0.32768-0.39035
Chicago Cubs
Los Angeles Dodgers
33.7%
66.3%
+227
-245
+230
-247
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+115
-1½-128
4
0
-1.20061-1.20865-1.08749
Pittsburgh Pirates
St. Louis Cardinals
37.6%
62.4%
+147
-157
+145
-154
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+128
8
2
-0.91985-0.91046-0.97705
Cleveland Indians
Minnesota Twins
47.6%
52.4%
+167
-180
+169
-180
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+112
4
1
-0.99932-1.00403-0.74335
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
29.1%
70.9%
+101
-105
+101
-106
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+172
0
1
-0.67871-0.67645-0.34434
Houston Astros
Detroit Tigers
57.9%
42.1%
-229
+220
-220
+213
-1½-158
+1½+145
-1½-150
+1½+145
12
3
-0.37085-0.38166-0.54585
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
55.8%
44.2%
-120
+113
-117
+109
-1½+143
+1½-156
-1½+145
+1½-163
7
3
-0.62096-0.63522-0.58388
Atlanta Braves
Cincinnati Reds
53.3%
46.7%
+122
-130
+122
-129
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+145
3
5
-0.58609-0.58758-0.76091
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
37.9%
62.1%
+180
-186
+176
-182
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-105
0
9
-0.43770-0.44558-0.47588
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
66.8%
33.2%
-140
+140
-145
+138
-1½+107
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-120
5
1
-0.53900-0.53645-0.40380
Kansas City Royals
New York Yankees
33.6%
66.4%
+190
-207
+190
-200
+1½-102
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-110
1
8
-0.41305-0.41690-0.40964
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
56.1%
43.9%
+101
-111
+106
-110
+1½-210
-1½+180
+1½-210
-1½+188
3
5
-0.66563-0.65583-0.82235
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
60.1%
39.9%
-138
+131
-137
+132
-1½+104
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
3
5
-0.84989-0.85062-0.91967
Toronto Blue Jays
Miami Marlins
58.9%
41.1%
-116
+106
-116
+109
-1½+148
+1½-158
-1½+145
+1½-160
3
1
-0.64392-0.63707-0.52950
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.62931 
Sportsbooks107-3 (0.700)0-0.62811 
DRatings107-3 (0.700)0-0.58993
0.03939
0.03818

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.