MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 1, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Quinn Mathews
Kevin Gausman
40.4%
59.6%
+123
-135
+123
-130
+1½-170
-1½+149
+1½-170
-1½+160
4.07
5.08
9.15
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½+100
u8½-110
Miami Marlins (51-70)
New York Mets (60-60)
Tyler Phillips
Zach Thornton
42.4%
57.6%
+113
-125
+115
-125
+1½-183
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+165
4.32
5.12
9.44
o9-105
u9-115
o9-105
u9-115
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Jordan Hicks
Drew Rasmussen
46.2%
53.8%
+140
-168
+155
-163
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-145
-1½+135
4.27
4.67
8.94
o8-115
u8-105
o8-120
u8+100
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Connor Prielipp
Logan Gilbert
47.5%
52.5%
+145
-160
+150
-160
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+135
5.36
5.63
10.99
o8+100
u8-115
o8+100
u8-120
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Braxton Ashcraft
Andrew Abbott
36.4%
63.6%
-118
+107
-120
+111
-1½+137
+1½-157
-1½+140
+1½-155
3.74
5.17
8.91
o8½-105
u8½-115
o8½-105
u8½-115
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Cristopher Sanchez
Shane Baz
57.5%
42.5%
-138
+125
-130
+120
-1½+125
+1½-142
-1½+130
+1½-140
5.40
4.62
10.02
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Jacob deGrom
Ronel Blanco
40.8%
59.2%
-125
+113
-125
+115
-1½+130
+1½-150
-1½+130
+1½-150
3.68
4.64
8.32
o8½+100
u8½-115
o8½+100
u8½-115
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Miles Mikolas
Reynaldo Lopez
40.8%
59.2%
+167
-185
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
4.07
5.03
9.10
o9½+100
u9½-115
o9½+100
u9½-120
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Kohl Drake
Parker Messick
41.1%
58.9%
+140
-155
+145
-155
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
3.92
4.85
8.77
o8-117
u8½-115
o8-115
u8½-115
New York Yankees (69-52)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Max Fried
David Peterson
56.0%
44.0%
-118
+107
-120
+111
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
4.47
3.85
8.32
o6½+100
u6½-110
o6½+100
u6½-120
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Luinder Avila
Ryan Feltner
45.3%
54.7%
+104
-115
+105
-110
+1½-180
-1½+165

4.96
5.44
10.40
o12-105
u12-115
o12-105
u12-115
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Tyler Mahle
Walker Buehler
47.0%
53.0%
+120
-132
+122
-142
+1½-180
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+140
3.84
4.15
7.99
o8½-110
u8½+100
o8½-110
u8½-110
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Payton Tolle
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
40.0%
60.0%
+139
-153
+150
-155
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
4.44
5.50
9.94
o8-110
u8-105
o8-110
u8-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Robert Gasser
Jose Soriano
51.6%
48.4%
-120
+109
-118
+110
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
4.80
4.63
9.43
o9+100
u9-120
o9+100
u9-120
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Framber Valdez
Jack Perkins
37.1%
62.9%
-134
+122
-130
+120
-1½+115
+1½-133
-1½+115
+1½-130
3.87
5.22
9.09
o10½-120
u10½+100
o10½-120
u10½+100
Games for Jul 31, 2026
Games for Aug 2, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Houston Astros (70-50)
32.9%
67.1%
+114
-126
+115
-125
+1½-193
-1½+168
+1½-190
-1½+175
9.75
o7½-107
u7½-105
o7½-105
u8-115
7th
BOT
2
6
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
51.6%
48.4%
-168
+152
-160
+152
-1½-105
+1½-108
-1½-105
+1½-110
9.44
o9+100
u9-111
o9-110
u9-110
5th
TOP
3
0
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
35.8%
64.2%
-138
+129
-135
+135
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+105
+1½-115
9.06
o11+100
u11-114
o10½-120
u11-105
4th
TOP
1
1
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
45.3%
54.7%
-109
-101
-105
-102
-1½+130
+1½-148

10.40
o11-115
u11-104
o11-115
u11-105
5th
BOT
0
3
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
San Diego Padres (67-56)
47.0%
53.0%
+134
-148
+137
-145
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
7.99
o8½-105
u8½-106
o8½-110
u8½-105
3rd
BOT
0
2
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
47.5%
52.5%
+152
-168
+158
-160
+1½-145
-1½+128
+1½-135
-1½+130
10.32
o7½-112
u7½-105
o7½-115
u8-115
2nd
TOP
2
2
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
40.0%
60.0%
+121
-133
+120
-115
+1½-185
-1½+161

9.94
o8-105
u8-107
o8-110
u8½+100
2nd
BOT
1
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
66.2%
33.8%
-145
+137
-139
+132
-1½+105
+1½-122
-1½+112
+1½-125
4
1
-0.53820-0.55453-0.41285
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
27.9%
72.1%
+210
-233
+215
-224
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-105
-1½+100
1
3
-0.37914-0.37787-0.32738
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
33.8%
66.2%
+153
-165
+157
-163
+1½-121
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+116
6
2
-0.94595-0.95272-1.08589
Cincinnati Reds
Washington Nationals
38.6%
61.4%
+188
-204
+186
-200
+1½-110
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½+100
2
1
-1.07590-1.06700-0.95062
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
48.3%
51.7%
+130
-139
+133
-140
+1½-175
-1½+158
+1½-174
-1½+160
2
0
-0.84915-0.85830-0.72737
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.8%
37.2%
-129
+122
-130
+125
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
4
3
-0.58758-0.58016-0.46469
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
29.3%
70.7%
+165
-177
+165
-168
+1½-125
-1½+111
+1½-130
-1½+115
4
2
-0.99077-0.97878-1.22591
St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago White Sox
43.1%
56.9%
+162
-175
+166
-180
+1½-115
-1½+101
+1½-120
-1½+110
1
5
-0.46988-0.46045-0.56389
Baltimore Orioles
Minnesota Twins
36.0%
64.0%
-110
+101
-106
+100
-1½+150
+1½-165

3
8
-0.71924-0.70761-0.44679
San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers
51.2%
48.8%
+103
-113
+105
-112
+1½-215
-1½+192
+1½-215
-1½+195
3
5
-0.65676-0.65406-0.71742
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
60.5%
39.5%
+117
-126
+116
-125
+1½-174
-1½+155
+1½-173
-1½+155
6
5
-0.79290-0.78847-0.50330
Colorado Rockies
New York Mets
35.6%
64.4%
+128
-138
+128
-137
+1½-175
-1½+157
+1½-172
-1½+155
3
2
-0.84244-0.84070-1.03193
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
59.0%
41.0%
+124
-134
+125
-129
+1½-180
-1½+162
+1½-185
-1½+170
6
9
-0.57638-0.58164-0.89131
Tampa Bay Rays
Toronto Blue Jays
56.2%
43.8%
-105
-102
-108
+100
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-148
14
8
-0.68605-0.67446-0.57672
Chicago Cubs
St. Louis Cardinals
49.2%
50.8%
+120
-128
+120
-124
+1½-170
-1½+151
+1½-170
-1½+156
2
1
-0.80428-0.79653-0.70867
Seattle Mariners
San Diego Padres
26.8%
73.2%
+261
-285
+247
-270
+1½+115
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-125
2
9
-0.31788-0.33283-0.31131
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.72846 
Sportsbooks83-5 (0.375)0-0.73837 
DRatings84-4 (0.500)0-0.66911
0.05936
0.06926

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.