Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024
| Time | Teams | Pitchers | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Runs | Total Runs | Best O/U | More Details | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79) New York Yankees (69-52) | Paul Skenes Luis Gil | 32.4% 67.6% | +124 -135 +118 -124 | +1½-175 -1½+155 +1½-190 -1½+170 | 3.56 5.37 | 8.93 | o7½+103 u7½-123 o7½+100 u7½-120 | |||
| Chicago White Sox (71-50) Detroit Tigers (58-64) | Sean Burke Undecided Undecided | 57.8% 42.2% | 4.96 4.14 | 9.10 | ||||||
| Cincinnati Reds (65-57) Chicago Cubs (54-69) | Rhett Lowder Kyle Hendricks | 48.9% 51.1% | +110 -120 +115 -120 | +1½-197 -1½+175 | 3.88 4.00 | 7.88 | o6½-120 u6½+100 | |||
| Miami Marlins (51-70) Toronto Blue Jays (63-56) | Undecided Undecided Yariel Rodriguez | 38.3% 61.7% | 4.02 5.24 | 9.26 | ||||||
| Philadelphia Phillies (61-59) Washington Nationals (52-68) | Zack Wheeler MacKenzie Gore | 50.7% 49.3% | -205 +186 -205 +190 | -1½-118 +1½-102 -1½-120 +1½+102 | 4.84 4.77 | 9.61 | o7½-112 u7½-108 o7½-115 u7½-105 | |||
| St. Louis Cardinals (61-58) San Francisco Giants (78-43) | Andre Pallante Undecided Undecided | 40.0% 60.0% | +148 -163 | +1½-156 -1½+137 | 3.67 4.73 | 8.40 | o6½-125 u6½+105 | |||
| Tampa Bay Rays (74-47) Boston Red Sox (69-54) | Shane Baz Kutter Crawford | 48.5% 51.5% | +110 -120 +113 -120 | +1½-200 -1½+175 +1½-195 -1½+175 | 4.42 4.58 | 9.00 | o8-102 u8-118 o8+100 u8-120 | |||
| Houston Astros (70-50) Cleveland Indians (58-61) | Justin Verlander Ben Lively | 63.9% 36.1% | +105 -115 +105 -115 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-197 -1½+180 | 4.32 2.86 | 7.18 | o8-105 u8-115 o8-105 u8-115 | |||
| New York Mets (60-60) Milwaukee Brewers (74-47) | Undecided Undecided Undecided Undecided | 42.9% 57.1% | 4.01 4.75 | 8.76 | ||||||
| Baltimore Orioles (38-81) Minnesota Twins (54-67) | UNDEDICED Undecided Zebby Matthews | 39.2% 60.8% | 4.81 5.95 | 10.76 | ||||||
| Kansas City Royals (52-67) Atlanta Braves (65-56) | Seth Lugo Undecided Undecided | 38.5% 61.5% | 3.96 5.17 | 9.13 | ||||||
| San Diego Padres (67-56) Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81) | Undecided Undecided Undecided Undecided | 60.3% 39.7% | 4.67 3.60 | 8.27 | ||||||
| Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46) Colorado Rockies (55-66) | Yoshinobu Yamamoto Antonio Senzatela | 59.7% 40.3% | -265 +234 -265 +235 | -1½-165 +1½+145 -1½-165 +1½+146 | 6.12 5.11 | 11.23 | o10½-128 u10½+108 o10½-125 u11-115 | |||
| Texas Rangers (42-78) Los Angeles Angels (61-61) | Andrew Heaney Griffin Canning | 40.5% 59.5% | -140 +129 -140 +130 | -1½+115 +1½-135 -1½+115 +1½-133 | 4.70 5.70 | 10.40 | o8½-110 u8½-110 o8½-105 u8½-115 | |||
| Oakland Athletics (68-53) Seattle Mariners (65-56) | Joey Estes Undecided Undecided | 52.8% 47.2% | 5.00 4.71 | 9.71 |
Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Runs | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers | 43.4% 56.6% | +120 -130 +122 -127 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-175 -1½+160 | 1 3 | -0.59012-0.59064 | -0.56874 | |
| San Diego Padres New York Mets | 51.2% 48.8% | +120 -130 +120 -125 | +1½-175 -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 | 1 5 | -0.59012-0.59784 | -0.71816 | |
| Los Angeles Angels San Francisco Giants | 38.3% 61.7% | +123 -134 +131 -135 | +1½-170 -1½+150 +1½-164 -1½+145 | 4 3 | -0.82287-0.84460 | -0.96001 | |
| Philadelphia Phillies Baltimore Orioles | 57.5% 42.5% | +163 -178 +170 -180 | +1½-125 -1½+108 +1½-128 -1½+115 | 2 6 | -0.46614-0.45497 | -0.85491 | |
| Miami Marlins Washington Nationals | 39.8% 60.2% | +113 -123 +110 -119 | +1½-191 -1½+166 +1½-185 -1½+165 | 0 4 | -0.61582-0.62933 | -0.50745 | |
| Cleveland Indians Toronto Blue Jays | 41.5% 58.5% | +110 -120 +113 -116 | +1½-190 -1½+165 +1½-180 -1½+172 | 0 5 | -0.62755-0.62818 | -0.53541 | |
| St. Louis Cardinals Chicago Cubs | 48.8% 51.2% | +155 -169 +158 -165 | +1½-140 -1½+120 +1½-135 -1½+120 | 1 5 | -0.48503-0.48397 | -0.66978 | |
| Los Angeles Angels San Francisco Giants | 41.3% 58.7% | +138 -150 +135 -145 | +1½-160 -1½+145 +1½-159 -1½+145 | 8 6 | -0.88707-0.87165 | -0.88327 | |
| Kansas City Royals Los Angeles Dodgers | 32.0% 68.0% | +130 -142 +141 -140 | +1½-163 -1½+143 +1½-160 -1½+152 | 3 4 | -0.55443-0.53727 | -0.38525 | |
| Texas Rangers Seattle Mariners | 41.7% 58.3% | +128 -139 +130 -137 | +1½-192 -1½+167 +1½-180 -1½+165 | 2 3 | -0.56198-0.56084 | -0.53957 | |
| Chicago White Sox Arizona Diamondbacks | 59.9% 40.1% | +169 -185 +174 -183 | +1½-115 -1½+102 +1½-110 -1½+102 | 1 7 | -0.45279-0.44751 | -0.91349 | |
| Pittsburgh Pirates Colorado Rockies | 40.9% 59.1% | -102 -107 -106 +106 | -1½+135 +1½-155 -1½+141 +1½-150 | 5 2 | -0.70492-0.66444 | -0.89458 | |
| San Diego Padres New York Mets | 50.6% 49.4% | -102 -108 +102 -107 | -1½+165 +1½-175 | 1 2 | -0.67930-0.67178 | -0.70451 | |
| Oakland Athletics Minnesota Twins | 52.1% 47.9% | +156 -170 +155 -165 | +1½-132 -1½+115 +1½-130 -1½+120 | 5 6 | -0.48268-0.48848 | -0.73603 | |
| Detroit Tigers Houston Astros | 32.9% 67.1% | +106 -116 +106 -115 | +1½-205 -1½+175 +1½-200 -1½+190 | 0 4 | -0.64392-0.64582 | -0.39925 | |
| Cincinnati Reds Milwaukee Brewers | 47.6% 52.4% | +151 -165 +153 -163 | +1½-150 -1½+135 +1½-145 -1½+131 | 6 5 | -0.94110-0.94312 | -0.74141 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71342 | |
| Sportsbooks | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.71451 | |
| DRatings | 15 | 6-9 (0.400) | 0 | -0.73488 | -0.02146 -0.02037 |
Season Simulation
| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | Make Playoffs | Win Division | Win Conf. | Conf. Champ. | World Series |
Predictions Methodology
Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.
Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.