MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Aaron Nola
43.0%
57.0%
+128
-153
+137
-155
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
4.54
5.28
9.82
o9½+105
u9½-125

St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Michael McGreevy
Cam Schlittler
39.8%
60.2%
+164
-182
+165
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
4.20
5.28
9.48
o8-105
u8-110
o8-110
u8-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Bubba Chandler
Brandon Sproat
33.2%
66.8%
+125
-138
+130
-135
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.57
5.31
8.88
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Matthew Boyd
60.8%
39.2%
-120
+109
-121
+120
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
5.08
3.95
9.03
o8½+100
u8½-105
o8½+100
u8½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Webb
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
58.3%
41.7%
-106
-103
-105
-105
-1½+165
+1½-195
-1½+158
+1½-175
5.16
4.30
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shane Bieber
Cristian Javier
49.1%
50.9%
+113
-125
+116
-125
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.95
4.04
7.99
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ian Seymour
Michael Lorenzen
55.7%
44.3%
-155
+140
-153
+145
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
5.04
4.45
9.49
o11½-105
u11½-110
o11½-105
u11½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Mike King
Brandon Pfaadt
57.6%
42.4%
-108
-102
-105
-102
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
4.70
3.91
8.61
o8½-115
u8½-105
o8½-115
u8½-105
Games for Aug 2, 2026
Games for Aug 4, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
40.0%
60.0%
+161
-178
+162
-160
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+120
9.98
o8½-105
u8½-107
o8½+100
u8½-105
5th
TOP
5
3

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
62.0%
38.0%
-155
+150
-152
+145
-1½+105
+1½-120
-1½+103
+1½-120
2
3
-0.92614-0.91006-0.96672
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
43.1%
56.9%
+145
-150
+142
-150
+1½-153
-1½+140
+1½-145
-1½+141
3
2
-0.90614-0.89990-0.84114
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
65.3%
34.7%
-260
+250
-265
+240
-1½-175
+1½+165
-1½-175
+1½+160
12
1
-0.33094-0.33414-0.42549
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
38.9%
61.1%
+120
-121
+115
-120
+1½-175
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+160
3
5
-0.60426-0.61587-0.49289
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
44.7%
55.3%
-127
+125
-127
+122
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
7
8
-0.81534-0.80858-0.59325
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
53.8%
46.2%
-200
+190
-200
+185
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-110
+1½+102
1
5
-1.08152-1.07262-0.77295
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
52.5%
47.5%
+115
-113
+108
-114
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-180
-1½+170
7
2
-0.76078-0.74648-0.64453
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
59.9%
40.1%
-117
+120
-124
+117
-1½+125
+1½-145
-1½+131
+1½-140
1
6
-0.78156-0.79047-0.91267
St. Louis Cardinals
Kansas City Royals
53.3%
46.7%
-180
+175
-180
+170
-1½-125
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½+105
1
4
-1.02057-1.01126-0.76218
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Mets
47.2%
52.8%
+175
-182
+174
-180
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-126
-1½+115
2
1
-1.02410-1.01874-0.74976
Miami Marlins
Atlanta Braves
37.2%
62.8%
+155
-163
+152
-161
+1½-135
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+114
4
5
-0.48807-0.49426-0.46444
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
59.7%
40.3%
-145
+140
-142
+140
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+110
+1½-120
5
0
-0.53174-0.53606-0.51634
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
50.8%
49.2%
+120
-124
+117
-124
+1½-180
-1½+164
+1½-178
-1½+165
3
6
-0.59873-0.60446-0.71015
New York Yankees
Toronto Blue Jays
57.2%
42.8%
-141
+140
-142
+135
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
5
11
-0.87753-0.86898-0.84887
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Indians
37.4%
62.6%
-103
+100
-101
-105
+1½-200
-1½+175
+1½-190
-1½+176
4
7
-0.70055-0.68349-0.46799
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
-158
+152
-151
+148
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-105
1
5
-0.93593-0.91424-0.69776
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1713-4 (0.765)0-0.66445 
Sportsbooks1713-4 (0.765)0-0.66564 
DRatings1710-7 (0.588)0-0.68448
-0.02003
-0.01884

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.