MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Aaron Nola
43.0%
57.0%
+126
-150
+137
-145
+1½-170
-1½+145
+1½-155
-1½+140
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9½+105
u9½-125
o9-120
u9+100
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Michael McGreevy
Cam Schlittler
39.8%
60.2%
+171
-190
+178
-190
+1½-123
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+110
4.07
5.14
9.21
o7½-120
u8-115
o8-110
u8-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Bubba Chandler
Brandon Sproat
33.2%
66.8%
+125
-138
+130
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.57
5.31
8.88
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-110
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Matthew Boyd
60.8%
39.2%
-125
+113
-120
+111
-1½+140
+1½-152
-1½+135
+1½-155
5.08
3.95
9.03
o8+105
u8-110
o8-105
u8½-125
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Webb
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
58.3%
41.7%
-106
-103
-105
-105
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+158
+1½-180
5.16
4.30
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shane Bieber
Cristian Javier
49.1%
50.9%
+115
-127
+116
-125
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.95
4.04
7.99
o9-115
u9+100
o9-115
u9-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ian Seymour
Michael Lorenzen
55.7%
44.3%
-155
+140
-153
+145
-1½-105
+1½-110
-1½-110
+1½-110
5.01
4.42
9.43
o11½+100
u11½-115
o11½-105
u11½-115
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Mike King
Brandon Pfaadt
57.6%
42.4%
+100
-110
-105
+101

-1½+150
+1½-165
4.70
3.91
8.61
o9+105
u9-115
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 2, 2026
Games for Aug 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Washington Nationals
Miami Marlins
55.7%
44.3%
+175
-180
+173
-185
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+125
5
0
-1.02057-1.02558-0.58569
Philadelphia Phillies
Toronto Blue Jays
48.1%
51.9%
-117
+115
-120
+114
-1½+143
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-165
7
0
-0.62172-0.61789-0.73172
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
56.8%
43.2%
-165
+160
-165
+155
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
6
5
-0.47963-0.48574-0.56482
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
66.3%
33.7%
-158
+150
-155
+152
-1½-115
+1½+105
-1½-113
+1½+105
9
3
-0.50055-0.50170-0.41103
Baltimore Orioles
Tampa Bay Rays
33.2%
66.8%
+165
-170
+161
-172
+1½-135
-1½+117
+1½-135
-1½+122
6
10
-0.46818-0.47063-0.40290
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
69.1%
30.9%
-275
+250
-255
+245
-1½-150
+1½+145
-1½-142
+1½+135
10
3
-0.32323-0.33656-0.36938
Texas Rangers
Houston Astros
31.1%
68.9%
+235
-250
+227
-250
+1½+135
-1½-140
+1½+120
-1½-135
1
2
-0.34547-0.35064-0.37183
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
58.3%
41.7%
-155
+150
-152
+150
-1½-104
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
1
5
-0.92614-0.92025-0.87558
New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies
41.0%
59.0%
+105
-111
+107
-114
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+172
10
6
-0.73218-0.74404-0.89087
Toronto Blue Jays
New York Yankees
36.1%
63.9%
+205
-215
+200
-215
+1½+115
-1½-120
+1½+110
-1½-122
7
10
-0.38958-0.39362-0.44713
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles
63.8%
36.2%
-178
+170
-180
+168
-1½+100
+1½-115
-1½+105
+1½-115
3
1
-0.45419-0.45435-0.44929
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
53.5%
46.5%
-125
+125
-125
+119
-1½+120
+1½-138
-1½+125
+1½-138
6
4
-0.58778-0.59880-0.62596
Arizona Diamondbacks
Los Angeles Angels
51.0%
49.0%
+155
-160
+155
-160
+1½-130
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+115
3
7
-0.49166-0.49166-0.71435
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
55.6%
44.4%
-165
+160
-161
+157
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½+100
3
4
-0.96498-0.95158-0.81301
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins
55.5%
44.5%
-110
+108
-108
+102

+1½-200
-1½+185
5
3
-0.65101-0.66925-0.58873
San Francisco Giants
Seattle Mariners
51.8%
48.2%
-152
+145
-150
+142
-1½+100
+1½-117
-1½+105
+1½-120
9
3
-0.51500-0.52190-0.65842
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.68569 
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.68283 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.66560
0.02009
0.01723

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.