MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 3, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Aaron Nola
43.0%
57.0%
+130
-155
+135
-145
+1½-165
-1½+140
+1½-160
-1½+140
4.40
5.13
9.53
o9½+105
u9½-125
o9½+100
u9½-120
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Michael McGreevy
Cam Schlittler
39.8%
60.2%
+174
-193
+178
-190
+1½-118
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+110
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8+100
u7½+100
o8-110
u8-110
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Bubba Chandler
Brandon Sproat
33.2%
66.8%
+125
-138
+133
-140
+1½-165
-1½+145
+1½-165
-1½+145
3.57
5.31
8.88
o8-120
u8½-110
o8½-110
u8½-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
Matthew Boyd
60.8%
39.2%
-123
+112
-120
+111
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+135
+1½-155
5.08
3.95
9.03
o8-115
u8-103
o8½+105
u8-105
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Logan Webb
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
58.3%
41.7%
-106
-102
-105
-105
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+158
+1½-180
5.16
4.30
9.46
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Shane Bieber
Cristian Javier
49.1%
50.9%
+119
-131
+120
-128
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-170
-1½+150
3.95
4.04
7.99
o9-115
u9+100
o9-115
u9-105
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Ian Seymour
Michael Lorenzen
55.7%
44.3%
-160
+145
-154
+150
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½-110
+1½-105
5.09
4.49
9.58
o11½-105
u11½-115
o11½-105
u11½-115
Volatility Bet Value Active
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Mike King
Brandon Pfaadt
57.6%
42.4%
+100
-110
+105
+100

-1½+160
+1½-170
4.70
3.91
8.61
o9+105
u8½-105
o9-105
u8½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Aug 2, 2026
Games for Aug 4, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
29.1%
70.9%
+230
-185
+180
-190
+1½+110
-1½+125
+1½-130
-1½+120
1
10
-0.39594-0.43229-0.34335
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
33.9%
66.1%
+240
-260
+240
-263
+1½+120
-1½-139
+1½+125
-1½-130
1
11
-0.33680-0.33519-0.41459
New York Mets
Toronto Blue Jays
55.0%
45.0%
-215
+205
-215
+197
-1½-147
+1½+130
-1½-135
+1½+127
18
1
-0.38960-0.39613-0.59853
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
37.2%
62.8%
-155
+150
-154
+145
-1½-115
+1½-101
-1½-110
+1½+102
7
8
-0.92614-0.91397-0.46459
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
60.0%
40.0%
-157
+155
-158
+152
-1½+135
+1½-155
-1½+139
+1½-150
11
0
-0.49535-0.49794-0.51158
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees
23.6%
76.4%
+233
-245
+230
-250
+1½-103
-1½-115
+1½+100
-1½-113
0
6
-0.34967-0.34866-0.26978
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
63.2%
36.8%
-235
+215
-235
+215
-1½-155
+1½+145
-1½-145
+1½+140
2
5
-1.17769-1.17769-0.99926
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
49.5%
50.5%
-124
+115
-123
+115
-1½+145
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-159
5
8
-0.78575-0.78355-0.68296
San Francisco Giants
San Diego Padres
34.7%
65.3%
+171
-181
+170
-180
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
-1½+114
1
6
-0.45011-0.45216-0.42621
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
37.3%
62.7%
+185
-190
+179
-194
+1½-105
-1½-102
+1½-110
-1½+102
4
3
-1.05598-1.05188-0.98695
Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins
49.8%
50.2%
-102
+100
+100
-105
-1½+156
+1½-170

6
7
-0.69810-0.68102-0.68995
Kansas City Royals
Cleveland Indians
32.7%
67.3%
+210
-220
+210
-220
+1½+105
-1½-115
+1½-103
-1½-115
11
1
-1.14715-1.14715-1.11890
Atlanta Braves
Washington Nationals
38.7%
61.3%
-143
+140
-146
+140
-1½-103
+1½-110
-1½+100
+1½-110
7
6
-0.53461-0.53033-0.94993
Detroit Tigers
St. Louis Cardinals
27.5%
72.5%
+180
-190
+175
-185
+1½-130
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+118
6
3
-1.04703-1.02929-1.29149
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
58.2%
41.8%
-156
+155
-154
+149
-1½-110
+1½-110
-1½-104
+1½-105
6
2
-0.49658-0.50693-0.54189
Houston Astros
Oakland Athletics
49.6%
50.4%
+140
-144
+140
-143
+1½-155
-1½+136
+1½-154
-1½+135
1
3
-0.53316-0.53459-0.68542
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.68569 
Sportsbooks1511-4 (0.733)0-0.68283 
DRatings159-6 (0.600)0-0.66560
0.02009
0.01723

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.