MLB Baseball Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 5, 2026

TimeTeamsPitchersWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
RunsTotal
Runs
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
Jameson Taillon
Hunter Brown
45.0%
55.0%
+140
-152
+135
-145
+1½-160
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+145
4.22
4.75
8.97
o8-115
u8-105
o8-115
u8-105
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
Eric Lauer
Shota Imanaga
60.8%
39.2%
+110
-121
+111
-120
+1½-185
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+155
5.37
4.24
9.61
o9½+100
u9½-120
o9½-105
u9½-115
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
Carson Whisenhunt
UNDECIDED UNDECIDED
59.9%
40.1%
+158
-193

+1½-145
-1½+125

5.25
4.22
9.47
o8-115
u8-105

Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
Nick Martinez
Tomoyuki Sugano
55.7%
44.3%
-150
+136
-150
+140
-1½+105
+1½-115
-1½+100
+1½-110
5.10
4.49
9.59
o11½-110
u11½-110
o11½-110
u11½-110
Los Angeles Angels (61-61)
Baltimore Orioles (38-81)
Reid Detmers
Trevor Rogers
56.2%
43.8%
+122
-135
+125
-135
+1½-170
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+155
5.55
4.90
10.45
o8½-102
u8½-110
o8-115
u8½-115
Washington Nationals (52-68)
Philadelphia Phillies (61-59)
Jake Irvin
Andrew Painter
43.0%
57.0%
+147
-163
+155
-170
+1½-140
-1½+125
+1½-140
-1½+120
4.50
5.24
9.74
o9½-115
u9½+100
o9½-110
u9½-105
New York Mets (60-60)
Cleveland Indians (58-61)
Christian Scott
Tanner Bibee
50.2%
49.8%
-105
-101
-113
+105
-1½+149
+1½-165
-1½+150
+1½-165
4.36
4.33
8.69
o8½-105
u8+105
o8-120
u8½-110
Oakland Athletics (68-53)
Cincinnati Reds (65-57)
Jacob Lopez
Rhett Lowder
49.2%
50.8%
+122
-135
+125
-134
+1½-160
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+145
4.73
4.81
9.54
o9½-115
u9½+100
o9½-115
u9½+100
Volatility Bet Value Active
St. Louis Cardinals (61-58)
New York Yankees (69-52)
Andre Pallante
Will Warren
39.8%
60.2%
+136
-150
+140
-150
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+135
4.07
5.14
9.21
o8½-115
u8½+105
o8½-120
u8½+100
Chicago White Sox (71-50)
Boston Red Sox (69-54)
Sean Burke
Sonny Gray
48.0%
52.0%
+104
-115
+107
-115

+1½-190
-1½+170
5.18
5.40
10.58
o8½-105
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-105
Miami Marlins (51-70)
Atlanta Braves (65-56)
Eury Perez
Bryce Elder
39.8%
60.2%
+113
-125
+115
-124
+1½-180
-1½+170
+1½-185
-1½+165
3.84
4.91
8.75
o8½-115
u8½+105
o9+100
u8½-105
Pittsburgh Pirates (42-79)
Milwaukee Brewers (74-47)
Paul Skenes
Kyle Harrison
33.2%
66.8%
+116
-128
+120
-130
+1½-195
-1½+180
+1½-190
-1½+170
3.57
5.31
8.88
o7½+105
u7+100
o7-120
u7½-120
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
Dean Kremer
Noah Cameron
49.8%
50.2%
-102
-108
+100
-107


4.98
5.01
9.99
o9-110
u9-105
o9-115
u9-105
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
Casey Mize
Mitch Bratt
58.8%
41.2%
-110
+101
-110
+100
-1½+155
+1½-160
-1½+145
+1½-165
4.69
3.77
8.46
o9-120
u9½-115
o9-120
u9½-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Volatility Bet Value Active
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
Drew Anderson
Bryan Woo
43.0%
57.0%
+131
-145
+130
-140
+1½-170
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+150
4.17
4.91
9.08
o7½-115
u8-110
o8-105
u8-115
Games for Aug 4, 2026
Games for Aug 6, 2026

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Closing
ML
Closing
Spread
Orig. Total
Runs
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Minnesota Twins (54-67)
Kansas City Royals (52-67)
51.5%
48.5%
-146
+132
-140
+130
-1½+110
+1½-126
-1½+110
+1½-127
10.47
o9-115
u9-104
o9-115
u9+100
9th
TOP
2
8
Los Angeles Dodgers (75-46)
Chicago Cubs (54-69)
59.3%
40.7%
-187
+169
-185
+183
-1½-120
+1½+100
-1½-118
+1½+105
9.24
o9-105
u9-111
o9+100
u9-105
8th
BOT
1
5
San Francisco Giants (78-43)
Texas Rangers (42-78)
59.9%
40.1%
+174
-193
+176
-190
+1½-125
-1½+105
+1½-125
-1½+105
9.16
o8-107
u8-105
o7½-120
u8-115
8th
BOT
2
2
Toronto Blue Jays (63-56)
Houston Astros (70-50)
45.0%
55.0%
+128
-141
+130
-130
+1½-167
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+158
8.97
o8½+100
u8½-110
o8½-105
u8½-115
8th
BOT
2
7
Tampa Bay Rays (74-47)
Colorado Rockies (55-66)
51.4%
48.6%
-160
+145
-145
+155
-1½-110
+1½-107
-1½+110
+1½-105
10.32
o10½-120
u10½+100
o11+100
u11-110
6th
BOT
5
7
San Diego Padres (67-56)
Arizona Diamondbacks (40-81)
60.3%
39.7%
+109
-120
+120
-120
+1½-185
-1½+165
+1½-180
-1½+162
8.27
o9+100
u9-117
o9+100
u8½+100
2nd
BOT
6
0
Detroit Tigers (58-64)
Seattle Mariners (65-56)
43.0%
57.0%
+107
-118
+120
-120
+1½-202
-1½+175
+1½-170
-1½+175
9.06
o7½-120
u7½+100
o8+100
u8-105
3rd
BOT
3
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Runs
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers
56.2%
43.8%
-126
+118
-122
+118
-1½+120
+1½-125
-1½+110
+1½-120
10
3
-0.57695
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays
46.1%
53.9%
+136
-145
+135
-142
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-150
-1½+140
0
4
-0.61887
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
37.8%
62.2%
+415
-460
+400
-450
+1½+175
-1½-190
+1½+175
-1½-180
3
10
-0.47475
Baltimore Orioles
Toronto Blue Jays
46.9%
53.1%
+140
-143
+139
-148
+1½-130
-1½+120
+1½-135
-1½+120
2
3
-0.63213
Chicago Cubs
Pittsburgh Pirates
53.3%
46.7%
-195
+185
-200
+190
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+110
2
4
-0.76185
Philadelphia Phillies
Washington Nationals
50.2%
49.8%
+150
-158
+152
-158
+1½-125
-1½+115
+1½-125
-1½+115
2
5
-0.69746
Minnesota Twins
Detroit Tigers
59.8%
40.2%
-188
+180
-196
+180
-1½-125
+1½+125
-1½-125
+1½+110
5
1
-0.51366
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
53.7%
46.3%
-140
+133
-139
+136
-1½+109
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
9
2
-0.62152
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
49.9%
50.1%
+110
-106
+110
-113
+1½-200
+1½-160
+1½-200
+1½-180
7
9
-0.69161
Houston Astros
Seattle Mariners
64.7%
35.3%
-400
+355
-450
+375
-1½-235
+1½+210
-1½-230
+1½+200
3
0
-0.43547
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
58.3%
41.7%
-210
+200
-205
+200
-1½-130
+1½+120
-1½-130
+1½+125
6
3
-0.53928
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
53.5%
46.5%
-245
+230
-240
+220
-1½-155
+1½+140
-1½-145
+1½+130
2
3
-0.76656
Colorado Rockies
San Francisco Giants
52.1%
47.9%
+173
-180
+170
-175
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-125
-1½+120
8
5
-0.65193
St. Louis Cardinals
Arizona Diamondbacks
52.6%
47.4%
-190
+180
-187
+180
-1½-115
+1½+110
-1½-115
+1½+105
2
3
-0.74676
Atlanta Braves
Kansas City Royals
59.1%
40.9%
-159
+152
-160
+150
-1½-110
+1½-105
-1½+100
+1½-110
6
9
-0.89328
Cleveland Indians
Chicago White Sox
65.9%
34.1%
-300
+275
-300
+280
-1½-185
+1½+170
-1½-165
+1½+165
11
0
-0.41721
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks87-1 (0.875)0-0.53697 
Sportsbooks87-1 (0.875)0-0.54458 
DRatings87-1 (0.875)0-0.60283
-0.06586
-0.05824

Season Simulation

 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Conf.Conf. Champ.World Series

Predictions Methodology

Here we use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Major League baseball games. We use previous score and pitcher data to best attempt to estimate the results of each game. The predictions do not account for injuries, or any other factors that may cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. There is a lot of randomness, particularly in baseball, so there will always be some error in the prediction.

Beginning in the 2014 season, we have begun including probable starting pitcher into the calculation. If there is a late change in the starting pitcher for a team and it is not reflected below then the projections will not be an accurate assessment on the game. The current projection system for Major League Baseball games is at Level 3, our highest level of analysis. The Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only.