Pirates at Reds

Updated
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
42.7%57.3%
Pirates WinReds Win
4.06Projected Runs 4.82
9Final Score 6
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Trevor Williams (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
10-17.361.636

Anthony DeSclafani (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
00-00.00.0

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Detroit TigersDET: Spencer Turnbull • PIT: Steven Brault+132
L 11-5 vs Detroit TigersDET: Ivan Nova • PIT: Derek Holland-135
L 17-13 vs Detroit TigersDET: Matthew Boyd • PIT: Chad Kuhl+100
W 5-6 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Kenta Maeda • PIT: Jonathan Brubaker+200
L 5-2 vs Minnesota TwinsMIN: Randy Dobnak • PIT: Trevor Williams+155
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Brad Keller • CIN: Wade Miley-115
W 5-6 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Kris Bubic • CIN: Luis Castillo-175
L 3-9 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Sonny Gray • MIL: Brandon Woodruff+107
W 4-1 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Anthony DeSclafani • MIL: Brett Anderson+109
W 8-3 at Milwaukee BrewersCIN: Trevor Bauer • MIL: Eric Lauer-105

Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • PKeone Kela10-day IL
  • 3BPhillip Evans60-day IL
  • PJoe Musgrove10-day IL
  • PKyle Crick10-day IL
  • PMitch Keller10-day IL
  • PNick BurdiOut for Season
  • PClay Holmes60-day IL
  • PMichael FelizOut for Season
  • CLuke Maile60-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • 3BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • PMatt Bowman60-day IL
NE 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)89°88°87°85°
Humidity52%54%59%65%
Precipitation3%3%2%3%
ConditionPartly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindNE 4 mphNE 4 mphNE 4 mphNNE 4 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+161+157+151+155+152+155+157-
Reds-175-167-176-168-167-168-167-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+165+160+158+159+160+160+160-
Reds-180-175-174-174-180-170-170-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +170 to +162
Reds ML moved from -179 to -185

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pirates: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Pirates: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pirates: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pirates ML moved from +172 to +158
Reds ML moved from -180 to -188

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-135+1½-125+1½-135+1½-130+1½-135+1½-125-
Reds-1½+105-1½+115-1½+105-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pirates+1½-125+1½-125+1½-133+1½-130+1½-130+1½-130+1½-125-
Reds-1½+105-1½+105-1½+115-1½+110-1½+110-1½+110-1½+115-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9½-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105o9-105-
Underu9½-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115u9-115-
 Open LineOrleansCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9-120o9-105o9+100o9-105o9-105o9+100o9+100-
Underu9+100u9-115u9-120u9-115u9-115u9-120u9-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9-105 to o9-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o9-105
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120