D-backs at Nationals

Updated
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
52.6%47.4%
D-backs WinNationals Win
6.02Projected Runs 5.75
11Final Score 2
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank22
R/G4.4
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-22.590.989

Erick Fedde (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
82-44.291.371

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 0-1 at Washington NationalsARI: Tyler Gilbert • WSN: Joan Adon+116
L 1-6 at Washington NationalsARI: Madison Bumgarner • WSN: Josiah Gray+132
L 0-5 at New York MetsARI: Humberto Castellanos • NYM: David Peterson+189
W 3-2 at New York MetsARI: Zac Gallen • NYM: Carlos Carrasco+158
L 3-10 at New York MetsARI: Zach Davies • NYM: Chris Bassitt+220
Washington Nationals
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Tyler Gilbert • WSN: Joan Adon-121
W 1-6 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Madison Bumgarner • WSN: Josiah Gray-138
L 3-5 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Patrick Corbin • PIT: Jose Quintana-118
L 4-6 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Josh Rogers • PIT: Bryse Wilson+102
W 7-2 at Pittsburgh PiratesWSN: Erick Fedde • PIT: Mitch Keller+105

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • SSNick AhmedOut
  • 2BJosh RojasOut
  • PLuke Weaver10-day IL

Washington Nationals

Status
  • CFLane ThomasRest
  • PAnibal Sanchez10-day IL
  • 2BDee Strange-Gordon10-day IL
  • 2BLuis GarciaRest
SSE 4 mph
Nationals Park, Washington, DC
WindO/U Effect
To LeftVery Small on Over
 
Temp (°F)59°55°55°55°
Humidity33%39%43%48%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindSSE 4 mphSE 4 mphSE 5 mphSE 6 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+115+108-105+103+103+103+108+109.1
Nationals-125-118-115-113-113-113-113-109.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+115+106+105+106+108+105+108+109.1
Nationals-125-116-115-116-118-115-115-109.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
D-backs: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

D-backs: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

D-backs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

D-backs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

D-backs ML moved from +111 to +105
No Steam Moves On Nationals ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
D-backs: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nationals: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

D-backs: 30.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

D-backs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

D-backs: 0.0%
Nationals: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

D-backs ML moved from +115 to +108
No Steam Moves On Nationals ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+1½-185+1½-185+1½-180+1½-190+1½-190+1½-190+1½-185+1½-175
Nationals-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+175
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+1½-180+1½-175+1½-192+1½-185+1½-185+1½-185+1½-175+1½-175
Nationals-1½+160-1½+155-1½+170-1½+165-1½+165-1½+165-1½+170-1½+175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8-110o8-105o8-110o8-110o8-110o8-105o8-104
Underu8+105u8-110u8-115u8-110u8-110u8-110u8-110u8+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-125o8-115o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-120o8-115o8-104
Underu8+105u8-105u8-105u8+100u8-105u8+100u8+100u8+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8-125
The Under moved from u8-102 to u8-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u8+105 to u8-105