Royals at Astros

Updated
Rank26
R/G4.1
RA/G5.0
37.4%62.6%
Royals WinAstros Win
3.45Projected Runs 4.78
7Final Score 4
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G4.0
Rank26
R/G4.1
RA/G5.0
Rank2
R/G5.3
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Brad Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
95-32.471.024

Cristian Javier (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
105-23.480.994

Last 5 Games

Kansas City Royals
Money Line
L 7-9 at Houston AstrosKCR: Zack Greinke • HOU: Luis Garcia+220
L 6-7 at Houston AstrosKCR: Jon Heasley • HOU: Jake Odorizzi+216
W 7-4 at Detroit TigersKCR: Brady Singer • DET: Tarik Skubal+133
L 3-4 at Detroit TigersKCR: Kris Bubic • DET: Beau Brieske+119
W 3-1 at Detroit TigersKCR: Brad Keller • DET: Michael Pineda+105
Houston Astros
Money Line
W 7-9 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Zack Greinke • HOU: Luis Garcia-242
W 6-7 vs Kansas City RoyalsKCR: Jon Heasley • HOU: Jake Odorizzi-240
W 2-4 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Jose Suarez • HOU: Framber Valdez-220
W 1-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • HOU: Jose Urquidy-154
W 1-8 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Michael Lorenzen • HOU: Cristian Javier-160

Injuries

Kansas City Royals

Status
  • 3BBobby Witt Jr.Unknown
  • CSalvador Perez10-day IL
  • PDaniel LynchUnknown
  • PJake Brentz60-day IL

Houston Astros

Status
  • CJason Castro10-day IL
  • 2BJose AltuveRest
  • 1BYuli GurrielRest
  • LFMichael Brantley10-day IL
SSE 11 mph
Minute Maid Park, Houston
WindO/U Effect
To Left CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)91°89°86°84°
Humidity58%64%70%75%
Precipitation2%0%0%0%
ConditionHumid and Mostly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly Cloudy
WindSSE 11 mphSSE 10 mphSSE 11 mphSSE 10 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+225+248+225+235+223+235+248+249.1
Astros-245-270-280-263-263-263-263-249.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+220+230+234+235+240+240+240+249.1
Astros-250-270-260-292-280-270-260-249.1

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +235 to +223
Astros ML moved from -270 to -280

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Royals: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Astros: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Royals: 30.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Royals: 0.0%
Astros: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Royals ML moved from +240 to +230
Astros ML moved from -270 to -280

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½+105+1½+115+1½+120+1½+115+1½+115+1½+115+1½+120+1½+124
Astros-1½-125-1½-135-1½-140-1½-135-1½-135-1½-135-1½-135-1½-124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Royals+1½+105+1½+115+1½+115+1½+115+1½+120+1½+115+1½+120+1½+124
Astros-1½-125-1½-135-1½-133-1½-135-1½-140-1½-135-1½-133-1½-124

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-105o7½-120o8+100o7½-117o7½-117o7½-117o7½-117o7½-104
Underu8-115u7½+100u8-120u7½-103u7½-103u7½-103u7½+100u7½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-105o8+100o8+100o8-105o8-105o8+100o8+100o7½-104
Underu8½-115u8-120u8-120u8-115u8-115u8-120u8-115u7½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8½+105 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-110 to o8½+100
The Under moved from u8½-120 to u8-115