D-backs at Reds

Updated

Arizona Diamondbacks

(40-81)
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
51.2%48.8%
D-backs WinReds Win
4.30Projected Runs 4.17
8Final Score 5

Cincinnati Reds

(65-57)
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank28
R/G4.2
RA/G5.6
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
53-22.590.989

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
92-23.591.154

Last 5 Games

Arizona Diamondbacks
Money Line
L 3-4 at Cincinnati RedsARI: Zac Gallen • CIN: Luis Castillo+136
W 5-2 at Washington NationalsARI: Madison Bumgarner • WSN: Paolo Espino+135
L 2-6 at Washington NationalsARI: Luke Weaver • WSN: Erick Fedde+110
L 0-1 at Washington NationalsARI: Taylor Widener • WSN: Max Scherzer+180
W 11-6 at Washington NationalsARI: Merrill Kelly • WSN: Patrick Corbin+165
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 3-4 vs Arizona DiamondbacksARI: Zac Gallen • CIN: Luis Castillo-142
L 6-3 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Shane Bieber • CIN: Wade Miley+150
W 2-3 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Triston McKenzie • CIN: Sonny Gray-137
W 3-10 vs Cleveland IndiansCLE: Logan Allen • CIN: Jeff Hoffman-116
L 0-3 at San Francisco GiantsCIN: Tyler Mahle • SFG: Johnny Cueto-112

Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

Status
  • CFTim Locastro10-day IL
  • SSKetel Marte10-day IL
  • PJoakim Soria10-day IL
  • PTyler Clippard60-day IL
  • 1BChristian Walker10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • LFShogo Akiyama10-day IL
  • PBrandon Bailey60-day IL
  • PMichael Lorenzen60-day IL
  • 2BMike Moustakas10-day IL
  • RFAristides Aquino10-day IL
  • RFNicholas CastellanosOut
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
UnknownNo Effect
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+148+155+145+153+151+153+155-
Reds-170-172-170-166-166-166-166-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+152+155+155+155+155+158+158-
Reds-162-170-171-170-175-168-168-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
D-backs: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

D-backs: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

D-backs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

D-backs: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

D-backs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

D-backs ML moved from +157 to +150
Reds ML moved from -162 to -170

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
D-backs: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

D-backs: 40.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

D-backs: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

D-backs: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

D-backs: 10.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

D-backs ML moved from +163 to +156
Reds ML moved from -166 to -172

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+1½-140+1½-135+1½-135+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-135-
Reds-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
D-backs+1½-145+1½-135+1½-134+1½-135+1½-135+1½-135+1½-134-
Reds-1½+125-1½+115-1½+116-1½+115-1½+115-1½+115-1½+116-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo9+100o8+100o8-110o8-102o8-102o8-102o8+100-
Underu9-120u8-120u8-110u8-118u8-118u8-118u8-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8+100o8-110o8-105o7½-120o8-110o8+100-
Underu8½-105u8-120u8-110u8-115u7½+100u8-110u8-110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8+100 to o8-110
The Under moved from u8-110 to u7½-105
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