Phillies at Brewers

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
39.1%60.9%
Phillies WinBrewers Win
3.63Projected Runs 4.77
8Final Score 3
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank7
R/G4.6
RA/G3.7

Pitching

Zach Eflin (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
104-23.971.271

Corbin Burnes (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
94-12.111.022

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 10-0 at Milwaukee BrewersPHI: Aaron Nola • MIL: Adrian Houser-120
W 3-2 at Milwaukee BrewersPHI: Ranger Suarez • MIL: Jason Alexander+107
W 7-9 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Patrick Sandoval • PHI: Kyle Gibson-113
W 2-7 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Michael Lorenzen • PHI: Zack Wheeler-160
W 0-10 vs Los Angeles AngelsLAA: Chase Silseth • PHI: Zach Eflin-122
Milwaukee Brewers
Money Line
L 10-0 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • MIL: Adrian Houser+117
L 3-2 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • MIL: Jason Alexander-110
L 6-4 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Mike Clevinger • MIL: Eric Lauer-125
L 4-0 vs San Diego PadresSDP: MacKenzie Gore • MIL: Aaron Ashby-125
L 7-0 vs San Diego PadresSDP: Joe Musgrove • MIL: Corbin Burnes-160

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • SSNick Maton10-day IL
  • PZack WheelerOut
  • 2BJean Segura10-day IL
  • 3BJohan Camargo10-day IL
  • CFOdubel HerreraRest

Milwaukee Brewers

Status
  • COmar NarvaezUnknown
  • PAngel PerdomoUnknown
  • -Jean Carlos MejiaUnknown
  • 3BMichael Brosseau10-day IL
  • 2BKolten WongUnknown
  • CFLorenzo CainRest
  • PTrevor GottUnknown
  • PFreddy PeraltaUnknown
  • PBrandon WoodruffUnknown
  • -Jandel GustaveUnknown
  • PJustin Topa60-day IL
NW 11 mph
Miller Park, Milwaukee
WindO/U Effect
To CenterNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°74°75°75°
Humidity48%44%42%42%
Precipitation0%0%0%1%
ConditionPartly CloudyClearPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindNW 11 mphWNW 10 mphNW 10 mphWNW 9 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+130+151+143+147+146+147+151+154.3
Brewers-140-161-174-159-161-159-159-154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+152+152+150+142+146+150+152+154.3
Brewers-162-162-165-152-160-160-152-154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Phillies ML
Brewers ML moved from -155 to -163

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brewers: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 0.0%
Brewers: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Brewers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Brewers: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +154 to +147
No Steam Moves On Brewers ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-165+1½-145+1½-145+1½-159+1½-159+1½-159+1½-145+1½-138
Brewers-1½+145-1½+125-1½+125-1½+139-1½+139-1½+139-1½+139-1½+138
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-145+1½-145+1½-148+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145+1½-145+1½-138
Brewers-1½+125-1½+125-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+125-1½+130-1½+138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7½-105o7½+105o7½-103o7½-103o7½-103o7½+105o7½+104
Underu7½-105u7½-115u7½-125u7½-117u7½-117u7½-117u7½-115u7½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½+100o7½-105o7½+100o7½+100o7½-105o7½-105o7½+100o7½+104
Underu7½-120u7½-115u7½-120u7½-120u7½-115u7½-115u7½-115u7½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+107 to o7½-101
The Under moved from u7½-118 to u7½-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½+100 to o7½-115
The Under moved from u7½-105 to u7½-120