Phillies at Padres

Updated
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
48.3%51.7%
Phillies WinPadres Win
3.83Projected Runs 4.01
3Final Score 4
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0
Rank14
R/G4.5
RA/G4.6
Rank11
R/G4.7
RA/G4.0

Pitching

Aaron Nola (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
125-53.281.079

Joe Musgrove (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
n/an/an/an/a

Last 5 Games

Philadelphia Phillies
Money Line
W 4-3 at San Diego PadresPHI: Matt Moore • SDP: Blake Snell+185
L 2-6 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Zack Wheeler • ARI: Madison Bumgarner-195
L 2-4 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Ranger Suarez • ARI: Humberto Castellanos-168
L 2-3 at Arizona DiamondbacksPHI: Kyle Gibson • ARI: Taylor Widener
L 7-4 vs Cincinnati RedsCIN: Sonny Gray • PHI: Aaron Nola-130
San Diego Padres
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Matt Moore • SDP: Blake Snell-202
L 5-7 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Jake Arrieta • COL: Chi Chi Gonzalez-142
L 3-7 at Colorado RockiesSDP: Matt Strahm • COL: German Marquez
W 8-2 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Craig Stammen • ARI: Zac Gallen-162
L 0-7 at Arizona DiamondbacksSDP: Joe Musgrove • ARI: Tyler Gilbert-205

Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies

Status
  • 1BRhys Hoskins10-day IL
  • CFOdubel HerreraUnknown
  • PVince Velasquez10-day IL
  • PJose Alvarado10-day IL
  • CFAdam Haseley10-day IL

San Diego Padres

Status
  • PJake Arrieta10-day IL
  • PDrew Pomeranz60-day IL
  • PYu Darvish10-day IL
  • CFTommy PhamRest
  • PMatt Strahm10-day IL
  • PChris Paddack10-day IL
W 9 mph
Petco Park, San Diego
WindO/U Effect
Left to RightNo Effect
 
Temp (°F)73°72°70°69°
Humidity58%61%71%79%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindW 9 mphWSW 8 mphNW 7 mphWNW 5 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+170-+140+146+148+146+148-
Padres-185--160-158-158-158-158-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+170+140+139+140+137+141+141-
Padres-187-150-152-150-149-151-149-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 20.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +142 to +133
Padres ML moved from -152 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Phillies: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Padres: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Phillies: 30.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Phillies: 0.0%
Padres: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Phillies ML moved from +140 to +134
No Steam Moves On Padres ML

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-125-+1½-145+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140+1½-140-
Padres-1½+105--1½+125-1½+120-1½+120-1½+120-1½+125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Phillies+1½-125+1½-145+1½-146+1½-150+1½-150+1½-150+1½-145-
Padres-1½+105-1½+125-1½+128-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-1½+130-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115-o7½-120o7½-123o7½-123o7½-123o7½-120-
Underu8-105-u7½+100u7½+103u7½+103u7½+103u7½+103-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8-115o8+100o7½-120o8+100o7½-120o7½-120o8+100-
Underu8-105u8-120u7½+100u8-120u7½+100u7½+100u7½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o8-115 to o8½-105
The Under moved from u8-115 to u7½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7½-110 to o7½-120
The Under moved from u8-120 to u7½-110