Marlins at Reds

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
42.6%57.4%
Marlins WinReds Win
3.82Projected Runs 4.60
3Final Score 5
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank13
R/G5.0
RA/G4.8

Pitching

Elieser Hernandez (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
61-03.161.013

Sonny Gray (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
115-33.71.214

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 1-6 at Cincinnati RedsMIA: Nick Neidert • CIN: Luis Castillo+271
L 11-9 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Charlie Morton • MIA: Jesus Luzardo+210
L 2-0 vs Atlanta BravesATL: Huascar Ynoa • MIA: Sandy Alcantara
W 1-4 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Alec Mills • MIA: Elieser Hernandez-137
W 4-5 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Zach Davies • MIA: Zach Thompson-150
Cincinnati Reds
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Nick Neidert • CIN: Luis Castillo-290
L 7-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Adrian Sampson • CIN: Tyler Mahle-300
L 2-1 vs Chicago CubsCHC: Kyle Hendricks • CIN: Vladimir Gutierrez
W 7-4 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Sonny Gray • PHI: Aaron Nola+125
L 1-6 at Philadelphia PhilliesCIN: Luis Castillo • PHI: Matt Moore-125

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 2BJon BertiUnknown
  • PJorge Guzman10-day IL

Cincinnati Reds

Status
  • PR.J. Alaniz10-day IL
  • PMichael Feliz60-day IL
  • PBrad Brach10-day IL
  • LFJesse Winker10-day IL
E 4 mph
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
WindO/U Effect
From LeftVery Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)86°83°80°78°
Humidity57%61%66%70%
Precipitation2%0%0%0%
ConditionClearClearClearClear
WindE 4 mphE 4 mphE 4 mphE 3 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+184-+162+162+163+162+163-
Reds-201--187-176-178-176-176-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+185+165+162+170+168+168+170-
Reds-205-180-179-190-185-183-179-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +172 to +166
No Steam Moves On Reds ML

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Marlins: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Reds: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 30.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 20.0%
Reds: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from +180 to +167
Reds ML moved from -180 to -190

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-115-+1½-130+1½-140+1½-133+1½-140+1½-130-
Reds-1½-105--1½+110-1½+120-1½+113-1½+120-1½+120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins+1½-115+1½-140+1½-133+1½-135+1½-130+1½-135+1½-130-
Reds-1½-105-1½+120-1½+115-1½+115-1½+110-1½+115-1½+120-

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-125-o8½-120o8½-122o8½-122o8½-122o8½-120-
Underu8½+105-u8½+100u8½+102u8½+102u8½+102u8½+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo8½-115o8½-120o9+105o8½-120o8½-120o8½-120o9+105-
Underu8½-105u8½+100u9-125u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100u8½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+105 to o8½-121
The Under moved from u9-119 to u9-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 70.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o9+100 to o8½-115
The Under moved from u9-110 to u9-120