Marlins at Pirates

Updated
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
56.6%43.4%
Marlins WinPirates Win
4.92Projected Runs 4.23
6Final Score 5
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1
Rank25
R/G4.0
RA/G4.2
Rank30
R/G3.6
RA/G5.1

Pitching

Sandy Alcantara (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
73-23.01.19

Mitch Keller (RHP)

starting
StartsRecordERAWHIP
51-12.911.246

Last 5 Games

Miami Marlins
Money Line
L 0-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Max Meyer • PIT: Jose Quintana-112
W 8-1 at Pittsburgh PiratesMIA: Braxton Garrett • PIT: Zach Thompson-123
L 8-0 vs Texas RangersTEX: Jon Gray • MIA: Pablo Lopez-128
L 4-0 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Aaron Nola • MIA: Trevor Rogers+120
L 10-0 vs Philadelphia PhilliesPHI: Ranger Suarez • MIA: Max Meyer-109
Pittsburgh Pirates
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Max Meyer • PIT: Jose Quintana+105
L 8-1 vs Miami MarlinsMIA: Braxton Garrett • PIT: Zach Thompson+115
W 8-3 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Bryse Wilson • COL: Austin Gomber+155
L 0-2 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Mitch Keller • COL: Jose Urena+133
L 2-13 at Colorado RockiesPIT: Jose Quintana • COL: German Marquez+144

Injuries

Miami Marlins

Status
  • 3BJon Berti10-day IL
  • PAnthony Bender60-day IL
  • LFJorge SolerQuestionable
  • PCody Poteet60-day IL
  • PJimmy YacabonisUnknown
  • PElieser HernandezUnknown
  • 3BBrian Anderson10-day IL
  • PMax MeyerUnknown
  • 2BJazz Chisholm Jr60-day IL

Pittsburgh Pirates

Status
  • CFBryan Reynolds10-day IL
  • RFJack SuwinskiRest
  • 1BMichael ChavisRest
  • PChase De JongUnknown
  • 2BDiego CastilloRest
WSW 9 mph
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
WindO/U Effect
To LeftSmall on Over
 
Temp (°F)89°90°90°89°
Humidity58%56%57%58%
Precipitation2%2%3%4%
ConditionHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Partly CloudyHumid and Mostly Cloudy
WindWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 11 mphWSW 12 mph
TBD
Umpire
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-171-158-170-161-159-161-158-154.3
Pirates+157+148+141+148+147+148+148+154.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-168-165-159-178-168-158-158-154.3
Pirates+158+152+145+150+154+148+154+154.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Marlins ML moved from -167 to -173
Pirates ML moved from +151 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Marlins: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Pirates: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Marlins: 0.0%
Pirates: 20.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Marlins: 0.0%
Pirates: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Marlins: 0.0%
Pirates: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Marlins ML
Pirates ML moved from +160 to +150

Run Lines

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-1½-105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+114
Pirates+1½-115+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Marlins-1½+100-1½+105-1½+106-1½+105-1½+105-1½+105-1½+106-1½+114
Pirates+1½-120+1½-125+1½-124+1½-125+1½-125+1½-125+1½-124+1½-114

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-115o7-120o7-120o7-122o7-122o7-122o7-120o7-109
Underu7½-105u7+100u7+100u7+102u7+102u7+102u7+102u7+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo7½-105o7-130o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-120o7-109
Underu7½-115u7+110u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+100u7+110u7+109

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-124 to o7-130
The Under moved from u7½-120 to u7-110

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Over: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Umpire

The effect of the umpire on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Umpire

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o7-115 to o7-130
The Under moved from u7½-110 to u7½-120