MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 2, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.7%		26.4%


0.97
1.46		2.43


Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		32.6%
39.7%		27.6%


1.12
1.27		2.39


New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Toronto FC (0-0-0)		25.7%
48.8%		25.4%


1.05
1.55		2.60


Montreal Impact (0-0-0)
Atlanta United (0-0-0)		26.7%
47.1%		26.2%


1.04
1.47		2.51


Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		21.8%
51.3%		27.0%


0.83
1.44		2.27


New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%


1.51
1.04		2.55


D.C. United (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		23.0%
48.7%		28.2%


0.82
1.33		2.15


Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		32.0%
42.9%		25.1%


1.27
1.52		2.79


Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		40.7%
32.0%		27.4%


1.30
1.12		2.42


Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		50.4%
24.6%		25.0%


1.60
1.04		2.64


FC Dallas (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		44.5%
29.5%		26.0%


1.46
1.14		2.60


Austin FC (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		25.8%
47.8%		26.4%


1.00
1.46		2.46


Games for Oct 1, 2024
Games for Oct 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Austin FC
Minnesota United		29.5%
44.4%		26.1%
+335
-130
+330
-120
0
2		-0.60598-0.63499-0.81222
D.C. United
Montreal Impact		31.4%
41.7%		26.9%
+175
+180
+175
+170
0
0		-1.22806-1.23028-1.31282
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire		31.7%
40.8%		27.4%
+350
-130
+355
-130
1
0		-1.53730-1.54075-1.14743
Atlanta United
New York City		31.7%
40.8%		27.4%
+455
-161
+492
-180
0
1		-0.50969-0.48013-0.89595
Columbus Crew
Philadelphia Union		33.8%
36.4%		29.8%
+350
-120
+355
-125
0
1		-0.63650-0.63592-1.01055
New York Red Bulls
New England Revolution		30.0%
42.8%		27.2%
+510
-183
+520
-175
2
3		-0.46823-0.47313-0.84788
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City		26.1%
52.7%		21.2%
+555
-200
+540
-205
0
5		-0.43706-0.44206-0.64027
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United		35.9%
35.3%		28.8%
+200
+145
+197
+140
2
2		-1.28168-1.27018-1.24410
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC		23.9%
58.2%		18.0%
+800
-280
+820
-250
1
1		-1.77084-1.64015-1.71569
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers		33.5%
40.0%		26.5%
+195
+134
+195
+132
1
2		-0.87921-0.87760-0.91509
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy		39.4%
34.6%		26.1%
+215
+125
+214
+140
2
1		-1.17558-1.15331-0.93161
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin FC		30.1%
44.9%		25.0%
+285
-105
+260
-105
0
0		-1.42670-1.41597-1.38502
Minnesota United
FC Dallas		34.5%
37.0%		28.4%
+257
+105
+255
+100
1
1		-1.39837-1.40222-1.25790
Inter Miami CF
D.C. United		35.2%
34.9%		29.9%
+415
-135
+382
-130
0
1		-0.58900-0.61615-1.05297
New England Revolution
New York City		33.6%
37.9%		28.5%
+291
-110
+280
-105
3
2		-1.38673-1.37015-1.09103
Orlando City
Toronto FC		33.0%
40.4%		26.6%
+140
+195
+160
+190
3
2		-0.90835-0.97054-1.10936
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.12482 
Sportsbooks124-3-5 (0.542)0-1.10968 
DRatings126-1-5 (0.708)0-1.02796
0.09686
0.08172

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%