MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		36.8%
33.7%		29.4%
+280
-115
+310
-115
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¾-122
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-125
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		38.5%
33.8%		27.7%
+367
-155
+380
-155
1.24
1.15		2.39
o3+103
u3-120
o3+105
u3-115
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+275
-106
+275
-105
1.03
1.45		2.48
o2¾+101
u2¾-120
o2½-125
u2½+110
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+120
+205
+120
+210
1.43
1.02		2.45
o2½-119
u2¾-118
o2½-120
u2½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		38.7%
33.1%		28.3%
+200
+136
+205
+138
1.21
1.10		2.31
o2½-105
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-115
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		41.7%
31.8%		26.4%
+170
+147
+175
+150
1.38
1.18		2.56
o2¾-118
u2¾-101
o2½-145
u3-135
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		36.6%
35.1%		28.2%
+208
+122
+215
+124
1.18
1.14		2.32
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+115
New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+313
-130
+325
-130
0.93
0.97		1.90
o3+100
u3-112
o3-105
u3-115
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		21.0%
56.2%		22.8%
+225
+109
+247
+110
1.03
1.83		2.86
o3-120
u3+102
o3-115
u3+100
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+246
-110
+255
-110
1.63
1.20		2.83
o3¼-105
u3¼-112
o3-140
u3+125
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		34.6%
36.1%		29.4%
+130
+197
+134
+200
1.07
1.10		2.17
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-145
u3-130
Games for Feb 20, 2026
Games for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew		28.3%
45.4%		26.3%
+185
+170
+200
+170
2
1		-1.07584-1.11374-1.26150
Sporting Kansas City
Seattle Sounders		33.0%
42.1%		24.9%
+290
+100
+280
+100
2
1		-1.39760-1.38270-1.10872
Austin FC
San Jose Earthquakes		39.4%
35.6%		25.0%
+282
+115
+245
-101
0
4		-0.74796-0.72379-1.03311
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers		25.6%
52.5%		21.9%
+340
-112
+320
-121
3
2		-1.49682-1.47622-1.36422
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids		39.0%
35.8%		25.2%
+335
-105
+295
+100
1
1		-1.30262-1.32148-1.38031
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo		42.1%
34.4%		23.5%
+175
+150
+185
+145
3
0		-1.04637-1.07978-0.86529
Columbus Crew
Nashville SC		36.3%
33.5%		30.2%
+425
-115
+410
-120
1
1		-1.27193-1.26926-1.19660
Philadelphia Union
Minnesota United		35.6%
39.0%		25.4%
+235
+130
+240
+125
2
3		-0.84779-0.83896-0.94128
Los Angeles FC
FC Dallas		40.0%
35.5%		24.5%
+135
+205
+150
+185
3
2		-0.87429-0.93721-0.91662
New England Revolution
D.C. United		43.4%
30.6%		26.0%
+173
+155
+205
+142
3
2		-1.02569-1.12862-0.83490
Montreal Impact
Orlando City		28.1%
48.3%		23.6%
+320
-115
+320
-110
1
1		-1.39950-1.35977-1.44333
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati		36.0%
37.8%		26.2%
+165
+160
+165
+160
4
3		-1.00280-1.01355-1.02148
New York City
Atlanta United		36.0%
37.8%		26.2%
+170
+165
+170
+170
1
1		-1.28569-1.25379-1.33930
Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF		42.2%
32.3%		25.6%
+220
+125
+215
+115
0
3		-0.84065-0.81697-1.13116
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps		45.4%
30.7%		23.9%
+145
+180
+140
+185
1
2		-1.05768-1.09166-1.18022
New York City
New York Red Bulls		37.4%
36.4%		26.2%
+175
+180
+165
+172
0
1		-1.04700-1.04754-1.01096
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%