MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 21, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		36.8%
33.7%		29.4%
+280
-115
+290
-115
1.11
1.05		2.16
o2¾-122
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-125
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		38.5%
33.8%		27.7%
+367
-155
+380
-155
1.24
1.15		2.39
o3+103
u3-120
o3+100
u3-115
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		26.8%
46.8%		26.4%
+275
-106
+275
-105
1.03
1.45		2.48
o2¾+101
u2¾-120
o2½-125
u2½+105
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+120
+205
+120
+210
1.43
1.02		2.45
o2½-119
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		38.7%
33.1%		28.3%
+200
+136
+205
+138
1.21
1.10		2.31
o2½-105
u2½-114
o2½-105
u2½-115
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)		41.7%
31.8%		26.4%
+170
+147
+175
+145
1.38
1.18		2.56
o2¾-118
u2¾-101
o2½-145
u3-135
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		36.6%
35.1%		28.2%
+210
+122
+215
+124
1.18
1.14		2.32
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+115
New England Revolution (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		33.3%
34.9%		31.8%
+313
-130
+325
-130
0.93
0.97		1.90
o3+100
u3-112
o3-105
u3-115
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)		21.0%
56.2%		22.8%
+225
+109
+247
+105
1.03
1.83		2.86
o3-120
u3+102
o3-115
u3-105
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)
San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+265
-110
+255
-110
1.63
1.20		2.83
o3¼-105
u3¼-110
o3-140
u3+125
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)		34.6%
36.1%		29.4%
+130
+197
+134
+200
1.07
1.10		2.17
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-145
u3-130
Games for Feb 20, 2026
Games for Feb 22, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Austin FC
Colorado Rapids		32.6%
42.0%		25.4%
+625
-225
+610
-175
0
3		-0.39369-0.43100-0.86802
Orlando City
Nashville SC		35.7%
36.1%		28.3%
+450
-140
+432
-140
2
2		-1.36289-1.34908-1.26390
Sporting Kansas City
FC Dallas		35.5%
38.6%		25.8%
+220
+115
+210
+110
3
1		-1.18738-1.18202-1.03431
New York City
Chicago Fire		38.4%
36.1%		25.5%
+115
+255
+110
+270
0
2		-1.28035-1.32137-1.01949
Minnesota United
D.C. United		43.5%
31.4%		25.1%
+450
-159
+410
-110
1
3		-0.52339-0.61349-1.15935
New England Revolution
Montreal Impact		41.2%
33.1%		25.7%
+135
+205
+155
+183
4
1		-0.87782-0.95540-0.88778
Philadelphia Union
New York Red Bulls		38.7%
35.2%		26.1%
+235
+130
+225
+130
1
1		-1.22960-1.22758-1.34220
Inter Miami CF
Atlanta United		30.3%
43.4%		26.3%
+570
-200
+575
-210
0
1		-0.42941-0.42492-0.83418
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC		27.5%
48.6%		23.9%
+320
-120
+310
-120
2
3		-0.64219-0.65089-0.72097
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin FC		35.8%
39.3%		24.8%
+135
+190
+155
+175
0
2		-1.08859-1.02051-0.93341
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City		36.3%
38.4%		25.3%
+301
+105
+300
+100
2
1		-1.39618-1.41371-1.01330
Nashville SC
Chicago Fire		35.6%
36.5%		28.0%
+170
+178
+161
+170
0
0		-1.27454-1.27029-1.27404
Real Salt Lake
Portland Timbers		29.0%
46.9%		24.2%
+270
+113
+250
+110
1
6		-0.74902-0.76402-0.75784
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes		50.2%
29.0%		20.8%
+170
+174
+170
+165
0
2		-1.01355-1.01556-1.23763
FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.3%
31.3%		25.4%
+215
+130
+211
+125
0
1		-0.85878-0.85750-1.16072
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids		39.7%
35.8%		24.5%
+565
-215
+590
-185
0
0		-1.64990-1.60351-1.40503
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%