MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+135
+173
+140
+165
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-112
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-120
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+380
-140
+376
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-113
u2¾-105
o3+105
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+217
+121
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-116
u2¾+105
o3+105
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+328
-134
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-111
u3-108
o3-111
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+228
+110
+255
+104
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+179
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+140
+196
+145
+197
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-102
u2¾-118
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+135
+185
+133
+215
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-130
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+285
-125
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+360
-140
+361
-135
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3-102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+305
-120
+304
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-110
u3¼-106
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City		20.3%
57.2%		22.5%
+157
+185
+185
+175
2
1		-0.97742-1.04353-1.59371
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo		43.9%
30.4%		25.7%
+348
-125
+325
-120
1
3		-0.61020-0.64263-1.19030
Portland Timbers
Austin FC		39.0%
32.6%		28.4%
+256
+112
+240
+110
2
0		-1.29968-1.27075-0.94166
Atlanta United
Inter Miami CF		36.7%
33.7%		29.6%
+500
-198
+485
-200
3
1		-1.81486-1.79776-1.00264
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union		33.4%
39.3%		27.3%
+425
-145
+400
-150
0
0		-1.45895-1.45397-1.29748
D.C. United
Montreal Impact		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+143
+190
+140
+195
2
4		-1.09826-1.11694-0.82403
Nashville SC
FC Cincinnati		35.9%
32.3%		31.9%
+388
-123
+415
-125
2
0		-1.61883-1.66993-1.02516
Sporting Kansas City
Portland Timbers		31.9%
41.6%		26.5%
+263
-102
+263
-105
1
2		-0.71758-0.70907-0.87801
Austin FC
San Jose Earthquakes		39.1%
33.7%		27.1%
+345
-122
+310
-118
1
1		-1.42899-1.41133-1.30383
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy		24.5%
52.5%		23.0%
+355
-133
+350
-140
1
2		-0.59461-0.57903-0.64516
Inter Miami CF
Vancouver Whitecaps		38.0%
33.6%		28.5%
+400
-138
+400
-125
2
1		-1.62719-1.62460-0.96872
Minnesota United
Colorado Rapids		36.5%
36.2%		27.2%
+300
-118
+285
-110
3
3		-1.46400-1.43246-1.30048
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas		26.6%
46.4%		27.0%
+145
+186
+142
+185
3
3		-1.31793-1.30346-1.31052
Nashville SC
Montreal Impact		37.3%
32.3%		30.4%
+152
+191
+155
+185
0
0		-1.25776-1.24967-1.19030
New York City
New England Revolution		31.3%
40.6%		28.1%
+174
+155
+155
+160
1
0		-1.03499-0.98486-1.16034
Los Angeles FC
Atlanta United		41.0%
32.9%		26.1%
+130
+204
+125
+190
1
0		-0.85611-0.85750-0.89143
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%