MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+141
+175
+140
+165
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-112
u3¼-108
o3½+115
u3½-120
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+393
-143
+376
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o2¾-113
u2¾-102
o3+120
u3-120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+228
+121
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o3+115
u3-120
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+330
-131
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-109
o3-111
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+210
+118
+230
+115
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+184
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+145
+200
+145
+197
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-125
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+140
+186
+135
+195
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-112
u2¾-105
o2½-145
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+300
-123
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+370
-145
+361
-135
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-116
u3-102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+340
-133
+304
-115
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3¼-118
u3¼-102
o3½+115
u3½-130
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
FC Cincinnati
Columbus Crew		21.7%
51.5%		26.7%
+355
-128
+361
-135
2
1		-1.55013-1.57808-1.52657
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union		31.9%
40.5%		27.6%
+250
+110
+250
+120
3
2		-1.28442-1.27065-1.14222
New England Revolution
New York Red Bulls		36.9%
34.0%		29.1%
+555
-180
+560
-189
2
4		-0.46437-0.46735-1.07907
Inter Miami CF
Montreal Impact		32.6%
38.8%		28.6%
-116
+285
-125
+320
3
2		-0.65597-0.62181-1.12178
D.C. United
Atlanta United		23.7%
50.3%		26.0%
+325
-135
+318
-130
3
2		-1.47373-1.46408-1.43906
New York City
Toronto FC		29.9%
43.6%		26.5%
+200
+145
+194
+145
3
2		-1.12153-1.11584-1.20691
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders		26.0%
49.8%		24.1%
+365
-137
+344
-130
0
0		-1.48395-1.44477-1.42097
Colorado Rapids
New York City		29.0%
45.0%		26.1%
+450
-160
+440
-145
2
0		-1.73404-1.70650-1.23957
Austin FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		39.8%
32.2%		28.0%
+530
-165
+526
-175
0
0		-1.47246-1.45021-1.27211
Sporting Kansas City
Real Salt Lake		40.4%
32.4%		27.2%
+465
-155
+440
-160
0
1		-0.52618-0.53485-1.12781
Montreal Impact
Nashville SC		25.8%
45.7%		28.4%
+440
-135
+396
-130
1
4		-0.58379-0.60009-0.78285
New England Revolution
Chicago Fire		38.3%
33.6%		28.2%
+340
-120
+316
-120
1
0		-1.51032-1.47670-0.96022
Minnesota United
Atlanta United		34.9%
37.0%		28.1%
+375
-155
+365
-155
2
1		-1.59101-1.58100-1.05286
New York Red Bulls
Inter Miami CF		34.7%
35.5%		29.8%
+295
-110
+310
-120
2
6		-0.68074-0.64840-1.03578
Philadelphia Union
D.C. United		46.8%
26.7%		26.6%
+200
+131
+200
+130
2
2		-1.34419-1.33594-1.32550
Los Angeles FC
San Jose Earthquakes		54.7%
23.5%		21.8%
+115
+227
+105
+225
1
3		-1.21500-1.22926-1.44855
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%