MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+190
+130
+170
+145
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-115
u3¼-102
o3½+105
u3½-120
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+393
-143
+376
-140
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3+106
u3-120
o3+115
u3-125
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+228
+121
+215
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o3+115
u3-125
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+330
-131
+330
-130
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-109
o3-105
u3-105
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+210
+118
+230
+115
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+184
+150
+178
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+105
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+145
+200
+140
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2½-122
u2¾-122
o2½-120
u2½+105
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+155
+170
+150
+195
1.34
1.21		2.55
o2¾-105
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+125
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+300
-123
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+350
-135
+355
-145
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-116
u3-102
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+320
-132
+315
-135
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3½-105
u3½-110
o3½+110
u3½-120
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles Galaxy		25.6%
51.7%		22.8%
+480
-180
+470
-174
3
4		-0.44939-0.47270-0.66049
New York Red Bulls
Los Angeles FC		23.9%
52.5%		23.6%
+368
-123
+370
-120
2
2		-1.34723-1.34040-1.44553
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders		18.5%
59.3%		22.2%
+415
-128
+425
-125
2
0		-1.66099-1.67654-1.68697
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids		34.0%
37.9%		28.1%
+475
-155
+465
-150
1
2		-0.53849-0.55356-0.97083
Austin FC
Houston Dynamo		39.9%
32.4%		27.7%
+395
-135
+395
-130
1
0		-1.63173-1.62602-0.91927
Real Salt Lake
Chicago Fire		30.1%
43.0%		26.9%
+276
+100
+245
+115
4
0		-1.35313-1.26330-1.20204
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United		27.0%
45.4%		27.5%
+251
+105
+260
+100
2
1		-1.28754-1.30956-1.30922
New England Revolution
Toronto FC		30.5%
42.5%		27.0%
+223
+130
+210
+135
0
1		-0.85109-0.88768-0.85588
D.C. United
New York City		21.7%
53.5%		24.8%
+418
-140
+395
-125
0
2		-0.57449-0.60495-0.62467
Orlando City
Montreal Impact		43.0%
30.2%		26.7%
+150
+192
+150
+180
2
2		-1.28057-1.29474-1.31923
Portland Timbers
Columbus Crew		29.0%
42.8%		28.2%
+520
-175
+525
-175
2
2		-1.52376-1.45047-1.26642
Nashville SC
Inter Miami CF		35.6%
32.1%		32.3%
+700
-235
+700
-235
1
3		-0.36616-0.40211-1.13606
Philadelphia Union
Atlanta United		36.0%
35.1%		28.8%
+188
+137
+200
+130
2
2		-1.37658-1.36187-1.24410
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps		43.0%
31.7%		25.4%
+210
+120
+205
+115
3
1		-1.15817-1.16024-0.84497
Colorado Rapids
San Jose Earthquakes		43.0%
31.7%		25.3%
+286
+105
+295
+115
3
0		-1.37500-1.37936-0.84378
Columbus Crew
Real Salt Lake		43.3%
28.2%		28.5%
+405
-130
+360
-125
0
0		-1.39942-1.38990-1.25671
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%