MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 10, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		29.1%
43.6%		27.3%
+236
+111
+231
+110
1.05
1.34		2.39
o2¾-118
u2¾+100
o2½-140
u3-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+468
-182
+475
-195
1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼+100
u3¼-120
o3-127
u3+110
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
Orlando City (0-0-0)		23.8%
50.2%		26.0%
+262
-105
+281
-120
0.94
1.51		2.45
o3¼+100
u3¼-120
o3½+125
u3½-143
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		40.5%
33.4%		26.1%
+177
+145
+175
+140
1.40
1.24		2.64
o3-102
u3-115
o3+100
u3-115
Games for Aug 9, 2025
Games for Aug 11, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+208
+136
+205
+140
1
0		-1.14706-1.13722-1.53243
Minnesota United
Sporting Kansas City		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+209
+145
+190
+151
3
3		-1.25977-1.27093-1.32178
Montreal Impact
D.C. United		35.2%
36.2%		28.6%
+600
-205
+560
-190
0
0		-1.59165-1.53257-1.25152
New England Revolution
New York City		32.6%
38.8%		28.5%
+395
-138
+450
-154
1
2		-0.57045-0.53481-0.94672
Austin FC
Los Angeles FC		22.3%
54.6%		23.1%
+390
-128
+380
-130
1
0		-1.62435-1.61868-1.50117
Orlando City
New York Red Bulls		37.9%
33.8%		28.2%
+300
+105
+290
+115
2
2		-1.25099-1.22244-1.26432
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC		25.1%
50.3%		24.6%
+223
+120
+210
+120
2
1		-1.20631-1.17772-1.38354
Minnesota United
San Jose Earthquakes		47.7%
27.8%		24.6%
+193
+145
+185
+145
1
0		-1.10187-1.09425-0.74087
Montreal Impact
Vancouver Whitecaps		37.8%
34.7%		27.5%
+725
-255
+713
-267
0
2		-0.36219-0.36366-1.05806
Chicago Fire
FC Dallas		28.9%
44.0%		27.2%
+420
-158
+425
-150
3
1		-1.68013-1.67083-1.24237
Portland Timbers
Nashville SC		33.7%
35.7%		30.6%
+450
-148
+420
-148
0
2		-0.53847-0.56072-1.03094
Colorado Rapids
Austin FC		34.7%
37.2%		28.2%
+370
-132
+375
-135
1
0		-1.57881-1.60192-1.05941
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati		43.5%
29.4%		27.1%
+490
-155
+500
-160
0
2		-0.52481-0.51706-1.22496
Philadelphia Union
New England Revolution		32.8%
38.6%		28.5%
+180
+155
+171
+155
2
0		-1.05636-1.04592-1.11355
Orlando City
New York City		33.5%
38.6%		27.9%
+195
+148
+238
+140
1
2		-0.93578-0.88644-0.95257
Sporting Kansas City
D.C. United		45.0%
28.4%		26.5%
+300
-105
+275
+100
1
2		-0.68748-0.71922-1.25769
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks72-1-4 (0.571)0-1.12758 
Sportsbooks73-0-4 (0.714)0-1.12145 
DRatings73-0-4 (0.714)0-1.11120
0.01637
0.01024

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%