MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 21, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Inter Miami CF (0-0-0)
New York City (0-0-0)		24.9%
48.5%		26.6%
+210
+120
+200
+120
0.95
1.45		2.40
o3¼-115
u3¼-102
o3½+105
u3½-120
Atlanta United (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		33.7%
37.4%		28.9%
+395
-147
+376
-145
1.07
1.15		2.22
o3-102
u3-118
o3+105
u3-120
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		35.5%
36.7%		27.8%
+228
+121
+217
+120
1.18
1.20		2.38
o2¾-115
u2¾-104
o2½-140
u3-135
Orlando City (0-0-0)
Columbus Crew (0-0-0)		29.6%
41.8%		28.5%
+330
-131
+340
-135
1.00
1.24		2.24
o3-110
u3-109
o3-105
u3-115
Minnesota United (0-0-0)
Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0)		33.0%
40.3%		26.7%
+210
+120
+200
+120
1.19
1.35		2.54
o3-125
u3¼-123
o3-125
u3+110
Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		25.4%
48.8%		25.7%
+152
+184
+152
+180
1.03
1.52		2.55
o2½-118
u2½-101
o2½-115
u2½+100
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)
Nashville SC (0-0-0)		26.0%
44.1%		29.9%
+145
+200
+140
+195
0.85
1.19		2.04
o2¾-103
u2¾-115
o2½-130
u2½+110
Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		39.9%
33.5%		26.6%
+153
+163
+150
+165
1.34
1.21		2.55
o3-108
u3-103
o3-120
u3+100
Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)		41.1%
31.6%		27.2%
+300
-123
+290
-125
1.32
1.12		2.44
o3½-102
u3½-117
o3½+100
u3½-118
Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)		39.5%
33.9%		26.6%
+408
-150
+370
-145
1.33
1.22		2.55
o3-118
u3+100
o3-120
u3+105
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)
Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0)		24.4%
52.3%		23.2%
+322
-133
+315
-135
1.15
1.79		2.94
o3½-108
u3½-105
o3½-110
u3½-110
Games for Sep 20, 2024
Games for Sep 22, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Nashville SC
Los Angeles FC		25.7%
48.3%		26.1%
+668
-215
+600
-212
0
5		-0.41630-0.42768-0.72813
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes		49.9%
25.8%		24.3%
+195
+163
+190
+155
2
3		-0.98897-0.97979-1.35460
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers		33.4%
39.0%		27.6%
+315
-115
+290
-115
3
1		-1.44864-1.40206-1.09763
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids		23.4%
53.1%		23.5%
+376
-110
+345
-110
1
0		-1.57968-1.53058-1.45252
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City		28.4%
47.3%		24.3%
+195
+135
+195
+130
3
2		-1.11599-1.12492-1.25938
New York City
FC Cincinnati		39.9%
31.6%		28.5%
+385
-122
+385
-125
0
1		-0.63162-0.63030-1.15309
Austin FC
Orlando City		25.1%
48.5%		26.3%
+350
-133
+355
-135
0
2		-0.59243-0.59464-0.72272
Atlanta United
Toronto FC		27.5%
46.5%		26.1%
+230
+120
+225
+120
0
2		-0.82319-0.82993-0.76656
Real Salt Lake
Vancouver Whitecaps		38.5%
33.8%		27.7%
+325
-112
+310
-115
2
1		-1.47674-1.45543-0.95477
Chicago Fire
New England Revolution		26.6%
47.1%		26.3%
+242
+108
+245
+105
1
1		-1.37460-1.39449-1.33682
Inter Miami CF
New York Red Bulls		28.7%
43.1%		28.2%
+277
-102
+275
+100
0
4		-0.71814-0.72942-0.84135
Orlando City
Atlanta United		35.8%
35.5%		28.7%
+358
-132
+355
-140
0
2		-0.59466-0.59075-1.03429
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution		24.2%
49.2%		26.6%
+250
+110
+230
+115
2
1		-1.28233-1.23162-1.42014
Philadelphia Union
Austin FC		40.0%
31.5%		28.5%
+130
+225
+150
+220
2
2		-1.27015-1.22618-1.25597
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas		21.6%
53.9%		24.5%
+204
+148
+200
+145
3
1		-1.13364-1.13784-1.53243
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo		48.8%
26.2%		25.0%
+310
-112
+315
-115
0
1		-0.67283-0.66871-1.33899
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%