MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%


0.88
1.12		2.00


Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%


1.36
0.90		2.26


Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%


1.56
1.14		2.70


New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%


1.14
1.12		2.26


Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%


1.03
1.38		2.41


San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%


1.19
1.56		2.75


Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%


1.04
1.24		2.28


Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%


1.09
1.12		2.21


Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%


1.36
1.17		2.53


Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%


1.14
1.51		2.65


Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%


1.56
1.08		2.64


Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-105

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Portland Timbers
FC Cincinnati		40.9%
31.2%		27.8%
+475
-164
+477
-180
1
2		-0.49822-0.48435-1.16395
D.C. United
Orlando City		20.6%
55.2%		24.2%
+282
+105
+275
+100
3
1		-1.35919-1.36156-1.57808
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union		33.4%
39.3%		27.3%
+450
-151
+430
-160
2
4		-0.52946-0.53011-0.93519
Sporting Kansas City
New England Revolution		31.5%
41.2%		27.3%
+267
+111
+260
+115
1
2		-0.77059-0.79607-0.88697
New York Red Bulls
Montreal Impact		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+126
+250
+120
+238
0
2		-1.27913-1.26143-1.03660
FC Dallas
New York City		30.2%
41.6%		28.1%
+378
-118
+330
-105
1
3		-0.63798-0.69906-0.87611
Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles Galaxy		45.0%
31.1%		23.9%
+115
+230
+135
+220
3
2		-0.78781-0.86636-0.79884
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers		33.9%
38.4%		27.7%
+125
+238
+125
+230
1
4		-1.24195-1.21885-0.95714
Sporting Kansas City
San Jose Earthquakes		47.4%
28.1%		24.5%
+298
+103
+280
+100
0
3		-0.73251-0.74087-1.26848
Orlando City
Minnesota United		33.5%
39.1%		27.4%
+248
+121
+250
+115
2
1		-1.27225-1.28100-1.09324
Real Salt Lake
FC Dallas		26.6%
46.4%		27.0%
+393
-130
+375
-130
1
2		-0.59471-0.61208-0.76753
Vancouver Whitecaps
Austin FC		25.3%
48.6%		26.0%
+240
+120
+230
+122
0
0		-1.32708-1.33181-1.34734
Philadelphia Union
Chicago Fire		39.7%
32.9%		27.4%
+193
+166
+190
+160
2
2		-1.20541-1.20424-1.29441
Atlanta United
Toronto FC		27.5%
46.5%		26.1%
+174
+165
+170
+157
2
2		-1.29066-1.30726-1.34408
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls		23.9%
51.3%		24.8%
+393
-110
+400
-115
1
1		-1.27115-1.24181-1.39336
D.C. United
Montreal Impact		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+180
+160
+275
+155
1
0		-1.06077-1.24820-1.23354
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67704 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.67761 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58677
0.09027
0.09084

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%