MLS Soccer Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 28, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nashville SC (0-0-0)
New England Revolution (0-0-0)		28.4%
41.1%		30.6%
+252
+105

0.88
1.12		2.00
o2¾-112
u2¾-108

Columbus Crew (0-0-0)
D.C. United (0-0-0)		47.7%
24.7%		27.6%
+135
+180

1.36
0.90		2.26
o3¼-105
u3¼-115

Los Angeles FC (0-0-0)
FC Cincinnati (0-0-0)		47.2%
27.6%		25.1%
+245
+105

1.56
1.14		2.70
o3-112
u3-105

New York City (0-0-0)
New York Red Bulls (0-0-0)		36.4%
35.0%		28.6%
+225
+115

1.14
1.12		2.26
o2¾-120
u2¾+103

Atlanta United (0-0-0)
Philadelphia Union (0-0-0)		28.2%
44.7%		27.1%
+307
-130

1.03
1.38		2.41
o3¼-118
u3¼+100

San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0)
Montreal Impact (0-0-0)		28.8%
46.1%		25.0%
+272
-112

1.19
1.56		2.75
o3-120
u3+102

Real Salt Lake (0-0-0)
Austin FC (0-0-0)		30.5%
41.1%		28.3%
+190
+135

1.04
1.24		2.28
o3+102
u3-120

Orlando City (0-0-0)
FC Dallas (0-0-0)		34.8%
36.1%		29.0%
+185
+142

1.09
1.12		2.21
o2¾-110
u2¾-110

Toronto FC (0-0-0)
Chicago Fire (0-0-0)		41.2%
32.1%		26.7%
+280
-107

1.36
1.17		2.53
o2¾-110
u2¾-108

Colorado Rapids (0-0-0)
Minnesota United (0-0-0)		28.9%
45.5%		25.6%
+223
+108

1.14
1.51		2.65
o3¼-115
u3¼-105

Portland Timbers (0-0-0)
Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0)		48.7%
26.1%		25.2%
+240
-105

1.56
1.08		2.64
o3½-102
u3½-115

Houston Dynamo (0-0-0)
Seattle Sounders (0-0-0)		18.5%
59.5%		22.0%
+323
-115

0.96
1.91		2.87
o2½-112
u2½-108

Games for Sep 27, 2024
Games for Sep 29, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City		34.7%
37.7%		27.6%
+228
+125
+230
+120
0
1		-0.82892-0.81593-0.97593
Los Angeles FC
Portland Timbers		37.5%
36.3%		26.2%
+120
+224
+125
+205
2
1		-0.80594-0.83926-0.98000
Orlando City
New York City		33.5%
38.6%		27.9%
+357
-112
+335
-115
1
2		-0.65822-0.65666-0.95257
Real Salt Lake
Los Angeles Galaxy		30.0%
44.5%		25.5%
+405
-149
+370
-140
1
1		-1.49973-1.47784-1.36602
Austin FC
Vancouver Whitecaps		39.8%
32.2%		28.0%
+205
+126
+193
+135
0
2		-0.84632-0.88397-1.13308
Minnesota United
San Jose Earthquakes		47.7%
27.8%		24.6%
+161
+153
+165
+149
0
2		-0.95026-0.94515-1.28143
New York Red Bulls
Columbus Crew		24.5%
48.0%		27.5%
+259
+130
+233
+130
1
2		-0.85465-0.88411-0.73474
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati		34.4%
36.9%		28.6%
+600
-211
+600
-145
3
2		-1.96819-1.89193-1.06575
D.C. United
Montreal Impact		29.1%
43.9%		27.0%
+560
-195
+580
-211
0
1		-0.43679-0.40380-0.82403
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids		34.0%
37.9%		28.1%
+277
+100
+250
+115
0
1		-0.71783-0.77936-0.97083
Atlanta United
New England Revolution		28.9%
43.3%		27.8%
+161
+154
+155
+155
1
2		-0.95988-0.97920-0.83626
Inter Miami CF
Toronto FC		22.8%
52.3%		25.0%
+250
+109
+225
+105
1
0		-1.26083-1.22316-1.48008
FC Cincinnati
Seattle Sounders		23.0%
51.3%		25.6%
+178
+161
+190
+154
1
1		-1.29324-1.28699-1.36125
Los Angeles Galaxy
San Jose Earthquakes		42.1%
33.1%		24.8%
+105
+245
-105
+230
3
2		-0.73459-0.71781-0.86472
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC		16.5%
64.4%		19.1%
+1080
-392
+1100
-380
1
3		-0.24264-0.24191-0.44072
Inter Miami CF
D.C. United		35.2%
34.8%		29.9%
+199
+137
+190
+140
3
2		-1.11807-1.10322-1.04285
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/14/21
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Conf.Conf. Champ.Win MLS Cup
1FC Dallas (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.47.852.373.0%14.0%13.9%6.8%
2Seattle Sounders (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.67.652.069.0%7.0%8.8%4.5%
3Orlando City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.48.051.867.0%14.0%12.3%6.6%
4Los Angeles FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.811.87.551.873.0%10.0%10.9%5.9%
5Sporting Kansas City (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.711.97.451.671.0%14.0%13.6%6.5%
6Toronto FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.611.87.751.465.0%19.0%15.8%9.5%
7Minnesota United (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.07.650.970.0%17.0%11.8%5.3%
8Portland Timbers (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.412.17.550.666.0%18.0%13.5%7.1%
9New England Revolution (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.011.48.650.668.0%9.0%9.9%5.5%
10Philadelphia Union (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.111.88.150.565.0%17.0%11.9%6.7%
11Columbus Crew (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.711.78.649.863.0%10.0%10.2%5.0%
12New York City (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.512.48.148.656.0%4.0%9.3%4.8%
13New York Red Bulls (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.212.68.347.857.0%3.0%7.0%2.9%
14Los Angeles Galaxy (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.413.17.647.759.0%7.0%8.4%3.0%
15Inter Miami CF (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.912.98.146.946.0%9.0%5.1%2.7%
16Chicago Fire (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.913.47.746.343.0%5.0%5.3%2.8%
17Colorado Rapids (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.513.08.545.950.0%5.0%6.4%2.8%
18Atlanta United (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.213.48.545.041.0%6.0%5.1%2.5%
19Austin FC (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.113.78.244.641.0%3.0%3.9%2.2%
20Nashville SC (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.913.38.844.643.0%3.0%3.6%1.7%
21Real Salt Lake (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.214.07.844.545.0%1.0%3.6%1.8%
22FC Cincinnati (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.08.742.731.0%1.0%2.2%0.7%
23Montreal Impact (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.314.58.242.132.0%0.0%1.7%0.2%
24Houston Dynamo (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.915.47.740.330.0%0.0%1.3%0.6%
25San Jose Earthquakes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.715.67.739.825.0%4.0%2.8%1.3%
26Vancouver Whitecaps (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.515.48.239.528.0%0.0%1.1%0.3%
27D.C. United (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.315.48.339.323.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%