Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Molde
Haugesund
70.8%
12.5%
16.8%
-128
+330
-130
+335
3
0
-0.63286-0.62077-0.34564
Viking
Sarpsborg 08
46.5%
28.3%
25.1%
+135
+175
+135
+170
2
1
-0.89899-0.90540-0.76475
Strømsgodset
Kristiansund
17.8%
62.6%
19.6%
+183
+141
+175
+140
0
0
-1.31572-1.35767-1.62740
Odd
Viking
32.3%
43.4%
24.3%
+660
-278
+950
-400
3
3
-1.73727-1.91971-1.41527
Brann
Rosenborg
17.5%
61.2%
21.3%
+225
+112
+200
+120
2
1
-1.22370-1.14841-1.74194
Sandefjord
Molde
6.5%
82.2%
11.4%
+1050
-435
+700
-320
1
0
-2.48627-2.13166-2.73985
Sandefjord
Kristiansund
19.7%
58.7%
21.6%
+170
+149
+175
+140
1
2
-0.95719-0.92480-0.53254
Rosenborg
Sandefjord
59.3%
18.9%
21.7%
+115
+205
-105
+250
1
0
-0.80755-0.71885-0.52238
Kristiansund
Bodo/Glimt
8.9%
78.7%
12.4%
+1200
-556
+1150
-625
0
4
-0.21369-0.19738-0.23984
Brann
Haugesund
31.0%
42.2%
26.8%
-119
+320
-125
+320
1
0
-0.64093-0.63980-1.17005
Odd
Kristiansund
33.3%
41.5%
25.1%
+260
-105
+270
-110
0
0
-1.38677-1.40051-1.38135
Haugesund
Rosenborg
18.6%
59.9%
21.5%
+700
-256
+650
-275
0
4
-0.36551-0.36071-0.51259
Bodo/Glimt
Brann
78.8%
8.6%
12.7%
+140
+185
+130
+185
1
3
-1.07755-1.09832-2.45854
Sarpsborg 08
Strømsgodset
38.8%
34.3%
27.0%
+240
+100
+245
-105
1
2
-0.73337-0.71980-1.07105
Molde
Kristiansund
63.8%
17.1%
19.1%
-189
+460
-190
+450
4
0
-0.46686-0.47359-0.44904
Kristiansund
Sarpsborg 08
44.6%
29.2%
26.2%
+395
-170
+385
-170
2
0
-1.64284-1.62857-0.80788
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.