Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 12 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
10/05/2025 03:00 PM	Haugesund Bodo/Glimt	6.5% 83.1%	10.5%	+4500 -4000	0 2	-0.07625	-0.18534
10/05/2025 12:30 PM	Brann Viking	23.5% 53.7%	22.8%	+210 +113	0 3	-0.80035	-0.62131
10/04/2025 04:00 PM	Molde Kristiansund	63.8% 17.1%	19.1%	+105 +225	1 2	-1.22316	-1.76621
09/29/2025 05:00 PM	Sandefjord Haugesund	25.9% 49.3%	24.8%	-250 +630	3 2	-0.37565	-1.35046
09/27/2025 04:00 PM	Viking Sarpsborg 08	46.5% 28.3%	25.1%	-130 +285	3 3	-1.52354	-1.38067
09/21/2025 05:15 PM	Molde Viking	63.0% 18.0%	19.0%	+360 -152	0 1	-0.55731	-1.71747
09/21/2025 03:00 PM	Sarpsborg 08 Strømsgodset	38.8% 34.3%	27.0%	+185 +140	1 2	-0.89595	-1.07105
09/21/2025 03:00 PM	Haugesund Kristiansund	25.8% 50.1%	24.0%	+825 -250	0 2	-0.33276	-0.69025
09/21/2025 12:30 PM	Bodo/Glimt Rosenborg	62.2% 18.7%	19.0%	+100 +235	1 1	-1.43368	-1.65889
09/20/2025 02:00 PM	Brann Sandefjord	38.2% 34.3%	27.5%	+102 +230	3 0	-0.75006	-0.96341
09/14/2025 05:15 PM	Rosenborg Haugesund	50.9% 24.9%	24.2%	-238 +570	3 0	-0.39906	-0.67544
09/14/2025 03:00 PM	Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08	29.0% 44.0%	27.0%	+197 +115	1 2	-0.81303	-0.82153
09/12/2025 05:00 PM	Kristiansund Bodo/Glimt	8.9% 78.7%	12.4%	+1300 -625	1 7	-0.19572	-0.23984
08/31/2025 05:15 PM	Molde Strømsgodset	79.7% 8.0%	12.4%	-112 +260	1 3	-1.32969	-2.53099
08/31/2025 03:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Sandefjord	82.9% 6.6%	10.5%	-192 +420	2 1	-0.46983	-0.18770
08/31/2025 03:00 PM	Rosenborg Viking	41.4% 33.4%	25.2%	+245 -105	1 2	-0.72586	-1.09599

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.