Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 2, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Brann
Sarpsborg 08 		34.0%
37.2%		28.9%
+155
+145

1.08
1.15		2.23
o3-125
u3+105

Games for Aug 1, 2025
Games for Aug 3, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Viking
Rosenborg		25.9%
50.9%		23.2%
+160
+145

1
1		-1.33876-1.46059
Rosenborg
Kristiansund		42.5%
32.0%		25.5%
+111
+220

1
4		-1.20828-1.13925
Haugesund
Sandefjord		40.2%
33.1%		26.7%
+640
-278

0
4		-0.35836-1.10612
Brann
Bodo/Glimt		6.1%
83.7%		10.2%
+500
-225

0
3		-0.42888-0.17813
Viking
Molde		12.8%
71.2%		16.0%
+140
+169

1
0		-0.92248-2.05377
Bodo/Glimt
Haugesund		77.9%
9.1%		13.0%
-476
+1050

4
0		-0.23981-0.24950
Kristiansund
Brann		42.4%
31.6%		26.0%
+600
-256

2
4		-0.37583-1.15287
Molde
Brann		71.8%
11.7%		16.5%
+320
-130

3
0		-1.49308-0.33092
Viking
Bodo/Glimt		9.4%
78.2%		12.4%
+610
-278

4
2		-2.01350-2.36883
Brann
Haugesund		31.0%
42.2%		26.8%
-250
+580

2
0		-0.38874-1.17005
Strømsgodset
Sandefjord		30.6%
44.4%		25.0%
+225
+110

2
3		-0.78143-0.81168
Viking
Kristiansund		34.6%
40.5%		24.9%
-150
+350

1
0		-0.55431-1.06068
Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt		13.4%
70.6%		16.0%
+380
-160

0
4		-0.53524-0.34847
Haugesund
Rosenborg		18.6%
59.9%		21.5%
+1450
-625

0
1		-0.19441-0.51259
Kristiansund
Molde		12.2%
71.7%		16.0%
+620
-250

1
0		-2.01853-2.10201
Sarpsborg 08
Brann		30.0%
42.2%		27.8%
+320
-130

2
2		-1.46642-1.28129
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.15065 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.12348
0.02717

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation PlayoffsRelegation
1Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)17.95.36.860.572.4%72.4%20.6%0.0%0.0%
2Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.98.08.249.810.5%10.5%40.9%0.6%0.2%
3Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.28.48.448.05.2%5.2%36.2%0.5%0.6%
4Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.69.08.446.14.1%4.1%27.6%1.1%1.4%
5Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.09.58.544.43.1%3.1%20.2%2.1%2.2%
6Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.410.28.442.61.7%1.7%14.4%3.0%3.1%
7Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.210.28.642.21.2%1.2%13.7%2.8%3.5%
8Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.611.08.440.10.9%0.9%8.8%5.5%6.4%
9Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.011.58.638.50.3%0.3%5.9%7.4%10.7%
10Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.611.98.537.30.4%0.4%2.6%7.7%14.3%
11Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)9.212.48.435.90.1%0.1%2.0%10.2%17.7%
12Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.912.68.535.30.0%0.0%2.0%10.5%20.1%
13Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.713.08.434.30.0%0.0%1.9%11.7%24.6%
14Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.28.433.70.1%0.1%1.3%10.5%28.8%
15Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)8.513.38.233.60.0%0.0%1.1%13.1%26.0%
16Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)7.814.28.031.40.0%0.0%0.8%13.3%40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.