Norway Eliteserien Predictions

Updated 20 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/19/2021 06:00 PM	Odd Stabaek	37.7% 35.6%	26.6%	+230 +120 +225 +110	2 2	-1.03356-1.01654	-1.00329
05/16/2021 06:00 PM	Brann Molde	16.1% 72.6%	11.2%	+870 -345 +850 -350	0 4	-0.30128-0.30251	-0.31956
05/16/2021 04:00 PM	Rosenborg Bodo/Glimt	21.9% 63.8%	14.3%	+250 +114 +225 +110	2 2	-1.03340-1.00962	-0.98328
05/16/2021 04:00 PM	Mjondalen Sandefjord	29.9% 44.8%	25.3%	+200 +161 +180 +165	3 0	-1.12717-1.08028	-1.20714
05/16/2021 01:00 PM	Haugesund Sarpsborg 08	35.6% 35.7%	28.7%	+210 +145 +225 +125	0 0	-1.04786-1.04420	-1.03126
05/13/2021 06:00 PM	Viking Rosenborg	30.2% 46.9%	22.9%	+414 -152 +400 -165	0 5	-0.53803-0.52751	-0.75649
05/12/2021 04:00 PM	Bodo/Glimt Kristiansund	65.2% 21.5%	13.3%	+114 +245 +100 +260	2 0	-0.78785-0.74360	-0.42794
05/09/2021 04:00 PM	Brann Viking	28.5% 49.2%	22.4%	+230 +111 +225 +110	1 3	-0.78603-0.79125	-0.71015
05/09/2021 04:00 PM	Kristiansund Molde	20.6% 65.2%	14.2%	+600 -227 +650 -275	0 2	-0.40333-0.36071	-0.42707

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/15/20

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation Playoffs	Relegation
1	Molde (0-0-0, 0 pts)	17.9	5.3	6.8	60.5	72.4%	72.4%	20.6%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Rosenborg (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.9	8.0	8.2	49.8	10.5%	10.5%	40.9%	0.6%	0.2%
3	Bodo/Glimt (0-0-0, 0 pts)	13.2	8.4	8.4	48.0	5.2%	5.2%	36.2%	0.5%	0.6%
4	Viking (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.6	9.0	8.4	46.1	4.1%	4.1%	27.6%	1.1%	1.4%
5	Odd (0-0-0, 0 pts)	12.0	9.5	8.5	44.4	3.1%	3.1%	20.2%	2.1%	2.2%
6	Stabaek (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.4	10.2	8.4	42.6	1.7%	1.7%	14.4%	3.0%	3.1%
7	Haugesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	11.2	10.2	8.6	42.2	1.2%	1.2%	13.7%	2.8%	3.5%
8	Kristiansund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.6	11.0	8.4	40.1	0.9%	0.9%	8.8%	5.5%	6.4%
9	Brann (0-0-0, 0 pts)	10.0	11.5	8.6	38.5	0.3%	0.3%	5.9%	7.4%	10.7%
10	Valerenga (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.6	11.9	8.5	37.3	0.4%	0.4%	2.6%	7.7%	14.3%
11	Strømsgodset (0-0-0, 0 pts)	9.2	12.4	8.4	35.9	0.1%	0.1%	2.0%	10.2%	17.7%
12	Sarpsborg 08 (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.9	12.6	8.5	35.3	0.0%	0.0%	2.0%	10.5%	20.1%
13	Start (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.7	13.0	8.4	34.3	0.0%	0.0%	1.9%	11.7%	24.6%
14	Mjondalen (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.2	8.4	33.7	0.1%	0.1%	1.3%	10.5%	28.8%
15	Sandefjord (0-0-0, 0 pts)	8.5	13.3	8.2	33.6	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	13.1%	26.0%
16	Aalesund (0-0-0, 0 pts)	7.8	14.2	8.0	31.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.8%	13.3%	40.4%

Predictions Methodology

These predictions for the Norway Eliteserien are based off of computer estimates from the Donchess Inference Index. Starting in June of 2015, we made these predictions available. The Eliteserien sends one team to the Champions League and two teams to the Europa League. The bottom two teams in the table get relegated to Norway's second division. The 14th-placed team goes to a playoff to determine if they can stay in the league or get relegated.