Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 26, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Zenit
Dynamo Mosc 		60.6%
16.1%		23.4%


1.73
0.76		2.49


Loko Moscow
Rostov 		35.9%
35.4%		28.6%


1.13
1.13		2.26


CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow 		37.8%
33.1%		29.1%


1.14
1.06		2.20


Games for Apr 25, 2025
Games for Apr 27, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ural
Samara		31.3%
40.0%		28.7%
+235
+105

0
3		-0.80768-0.91612
FC Khimki
Akhmat Grozny		34.4%
37.3%		28.3%
+370
-156

0
3		-0.57401-0.98644
Zenit
Orenburg		82.2%
5.5%		12.2%
-130
+275

2
2		-1.46503-2.10054
Rostov
Sochi		35.1%
37.8%		27.1%
+250
-107

0
1		-0.75224-0.97334
Akhmat Grozny
Dynamo Mosc		23.6%
48.3%		28.0%
+277
-115

3
0		-1.39857-1.44227
Loko Moscow
Samara		47.9%
24.5%		27.6%
+230
+101

1
1		-1.33553-1.28605
Krasnodar
Zenit		17.8%
59.3%		22.9%
+870
-400

2
2		-1.80126-1.47438
Spartak Moscow
FC Khimki		45.5%
28.3%		26.1%
-303
+660

1
1		-1.72166-1.34193
Orenburg
Ural		19.8%
56.5%		23.6%
+296
-113

1
2		-0.66824-0.57019
Sochi
Loko Moscow		26.1%
47.1%		26.8%
+220
+106

0
3		-0.81076-0.75273
Samara
Krasnodar		15.2%
63.3%		21.5%
+190
+128

1
2		-0.90293-0.45697
Spartak Moscow
Zenit		14.6%
64.2%		21.1%
+540
-233

2
3		-0.43705-0.44248
Orenburg
CSKA Moscow		7.8%
77.0%		15.2%
+520
-233

1
2		-0.43040-0.26121
Dynamo Mosc
FC Khimki		38.5%
32.8%		28.7%
-152
+340

1
0		-0.58293-0.95423
FC Khimki
Loko Moscow		21.9%
53.5%		24.5%
+470
-227

1
5		-0.43809-0.62495
Rostov
Spartak Moscow		28.3%
45.6%		26.1%
+310
-143

1
1		-1.46547-1.34216
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.70966 
Sportsbooks30-0-1 (0.667)3 
DRatings32-0-1 (0.833)0-0.86726
-0.15760

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.