Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Orenburg
FC Khimki
16.5%
62.7%
20.8%
+160
+125

0.93
2.01
2.94
o3-118
u3-102

Dynamo Mosc
Spartak Moscow
26.8%
44.8%
28.3%
+245
-115

0.93
1.29
2.22
o3-108
u3-112

Games for Sep 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Ural
Krasnodar
21.6%
58.9%
19.5%
+400
-192
+600
-205
2
2
-0.86065-0.96702-0.81372
Dynamo Mosc
Akhmat Grozny
38.5%
31.3%
30.2%
+207
+141
+195
+150
2
1
-0.82148-0.77934-0.59544
Rubin Kazan
Spartak Moscow
25.4%
48.1%
26.4%
+316
-110
+320
-110
2
0
-1.15658-1.16315-1.06152
CSKA Moscow
Loko Moscow
36.9%
33.1%
30.0%
+125
+227
+120
+230
0
2
-0.89744-0.91629-0.74860
Arsenal Tula
Sochi
25.8%
51.3%
23.0%
+412
-133
+440
-135
0
4
-0.29428-0.27942-0.40686
Rostov
Zenit
19.4%
64.0%
16.6%
+779
-238
+680
-230
2
2
-1.06117-1.01540-0.86114
Ufa
FC Khimki
29.1%
43.5%
27.5%
+243
+123
+240
+130
1
2
-0.50088-0.51669-0.51181
Rotor Volgograd
Tambov
27.4%
43.6%
29.0%
+128
+268

3
1
-0.48216-0.95306

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.25537 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.27382
-0.01845

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.