Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

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Games for Apr 26, 2026
Games for Apr 28, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Sochi
CSKA Moscow
20.7%
54.9%
24.3%
+900
-403

1
0
-2.36979-1.57388
Orenburg
Rubin Kazan
16.8%
59.0%
24.2%
+215
+137

0
0
-1.18931-1.41865
Akhmat Grozny
Samara
33.0%
37.0%
30.0%
+165
+158

2
2
-1.27050-1.20444
Rubin Kazan
Sochi
26.7%
44.7%
28.6%
+106
+278

1
0
-0.79471-1.32006
Loko Moscow
Spartak Moscow
31.3%
39.6%
29.1%
+225
+101

1
2
-0.77158-0.92614
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny
52.9%
21.8%
25.3%
-110
+264

1
0
-0.71734-0.63728
Orenburg
Dynamo Mosc
12.7%
66.8%
20.5%
+423
-191

3
3
-1.58729-1.58299
Samara
Zenit
7.5%
77.1%
15.4%
+1080
-407

1
2
-0.28459-0.25986
Rubin Kazan
Samara
33.9%
33.9%
32.2%
+162
+205

0
0
-1.09892-1.13264
Zenit
Dynamo Mosc
60.6%
16.1%
23.4%
+104
+231

3
1
-0.78656-0.50162
Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
66.1%
13.8%
20.1%
-128
+304

2
0
-0.64247-0.41424
Rostov
Akhmat Grozny
42.7%
30.0%
27.2%
+219
+124

0
1
-0.86924-1.20244
Loko Moscow
Rubin Kazan
42.3%
27.1%
30.7%
+113
+258

0
3
-1.33766-1.30697
Dynamo Mosc
Rostov
31.1%
40.7%
28.1%
+144
+179

1
0
-0.95495-1.16658
Spartak Moscow
Zenit
14.6%
64.2%
21.1%
+272
-108

0
2
-0.72965-0.44248
Krasnodar
Sochi
45.2%
28.3%
26.5%
-299
+712

2
1
-0.35203-0.79516
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.37130 
Sportsbooks20-0-0 (0.500)2 
DRatings22-0-0 (1.000)0-0.58404
-0.21275

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.