Russia Premier Predictions

Updated 8 hr ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
03/17/2021 05:00 PM	Zenit CSKA Moscow	45.2% 28.1%	26.7%	+145 +222 +130 +225	3 2	-0.36389-0.34671	-0.48397
03/17/2021 03:00 PM	Rostov Rotor Volgograd	58.4% 20.9%	20.7%	+125 +275 +125 +260	4 0	-0.29408-0.30725	-0.30555
03/14/2021 04:00 PM	Sochi Loko Moscow	29.3% 44.1%	26.6%	+280 +112 +290 +110	1 3	-0.79769-0.79078	-0.50941
03/14/2021 01:30 PM	Krasnodar Tambov	60.6% 20.5%	18.9%	-1250 +3241 -730 +2000	4 0	-0.02845-0.04614	-0.29186
03/14/2021 11:00 AM	Rubin Kazan Ufa	34.4% 31.5%	34.1%	+131 +240 +120 +265	3 0	-0.32920-0.30198	-0.64963
03/13/2021 04:00 PM	Spartak Moscow Dynamo Mosc	36.0% 33.8%	30.2%	+172 +166 +175 +160	2 1	-0.44254-0.45549	-0.66310
03/13/2021 01:30 PM	Akhmat Grozny Zenit	14.6% 71.3%	14.0%	+938 -303 +725 -265	0 4	-0.31938-0.37021	-0.18661
03/13/2021 11:00 AM	CSKA Moscow Arsenal Tula	55.8% 22.6%	21.6%	-172 +519 -155 +440	1 2	-1.86233-1.73778	-1.24542
03/13/2021 09:00 AM	Rotor Volgograd Ural	22.7% 53.0%	24.3%	+260 +109 +275 +110	0 1	-0.81303-0.79125	-0.35706
03/12/2021 04:00 PM	Rostov FC Khimki	39.7% 34.2%	26.1%	+175 +182 +185 +175	0 1	-1.08285-1.05834	-0.76988
03/08/2021 01:30 PM	Zenit Rubin Kazan	61.3% 18.4%	20.3%	-143 +481 -170 +450	1 2	-1.48589-1.49580	-1.46638
03/08/2021 11:00 AM	Loko Moscow Arsenal Tula	49.3% 25.8%	24.9%	+154 +236 +115 +245	3 0	-0.56301-0.48439	-0.42074
03/07/2021 04:00 PM	Krasnodar Spartak Moscow	36.5% 35.0%	28.5%	+200 +130 +200 +135	1 6	-0.56909-0.57848	-0.71539
03/07/2021 01:30 PM	Tambov Dynamo Mosc	21.3% 56.6%	22.0%	+3300 -2500 +2500 -875	0 2	-0.03013-0.04196	-0.31950
03/07/2021 11:00 AM	Ufa Ural	31.1% 38.7%	30.2%	+210 +150 +275 +120	0 0	-0.69892-0.72828	-0.69908
03/06/2021 04:00 PM	Sochi Rostov	32.4% 41.6%	26.0%	+153 +215 +165 +200	0 0	-0.69914-0.69507	-0.70088

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	3	2-0-1 (0.833)	0	-1.01444
Sportsbooks	3	0-0-1 (0.667)	3
DRatings	3	2-0-1 (0.833)	0	-0.92972	0.08472

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win	Champs League	Europa League	Relegation
1	Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)	19.0	3.4	7.6	64.5	99.9%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)	16.9	8.2	4.9	55.7	0.1%	81.8%	17.4%	0.0%
3	Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)	16.4	7.8	5.8	55.1	0.0%	79.2%	18.1%	0.0%
4	Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)	14.9	7.5	7.6	52.3	0.0%	22.4%	60.1%	0.0%
5	Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)	15.9	9.5	4.6	52.3	0.0%	12.3%	61.2%	0.0%
6	CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)	14.8	9.6	5.6	50.0	0.0%	4.3%	34.3%	0.0%
7	Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)	14.6	10.8	4.6	48.4	0.0%	0.0%	8.5%	0.0%
8	FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)	12.9	11.2	5.9	44.7	0.0%	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
9	Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)	13.2	12.0	4.8	44.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
10	Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)	11.9	12.5	5.6	41.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)	10.6	12.9	6.6	38.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)	6.9	9.2	13.9	34.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)	6.8	17.3	5.8	26.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	5.7%
14	Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)	5.4	18.2	6.5	22.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	44.4%
15	Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)	8.4	15.3	6.3	31.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	37.5%
15	Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)	5.5	17.9	6.6	23.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.