Russia Premier Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 6, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Spartak Moscow
Rostov 		36.7%
35.4%		27.8%
+131
+185

1.20
1.17		2.37
o2½-111
u2½-109

Dynamo Mosc
CSKA Moscow 		21.8%
51.3%		26.9%
+192
+125

0.83
1.44		2.27
o2½-113
u2½-107

Games for Apr 5, 2025
Games for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Samara
Dynamo Mosc		22.3%
50.3%		27.4%
+385
-185

0
1		-0.50682-0.68651
Akhmat Grozny
Spartak Moscow		19.7%
55.7%		24.6%
+530
-227

0
0		-1.57654-1.40234
CSKA Moscow
Krasnodar		33.0%
38.2%		28.8%
+153
+169

1
2		-1.06604-0.96341
Dynamo Mosc
Zenit		11.8%
67.9%		20.2%
+510
-233

0
1		-0.42865-0.38682
Rubin Kazan
Rostov		24.8%
48.1%		27.1%
+230
-106

1
1		-1.36160-1.30549
Samara
Spartak Moscow		18.5%
57.8%		23.7%
+640
-294

0
3		-0.36733-0.54775
Loko Moscow
Akhmat Grozny		45.9%
25.9%		28.2%
+105
+192

5
0		-0.80717-0.77949
Orenburg
CSKA Moscow		7.8%
77.0%		15.2%
+480
-208

1
5		-0.46018-0.26121
FC Khimki
Rubin Kazan		32.0%
38.8%		29.2%
+300
-132

3
2		-1.46846-1.14056
Rostov
Zenit		12.1%
69.8%		18.1%
+460
-182

0
5		-0.51829-0.35952
Akhmat Grozny
Orenburg		49.7%
23.9%		26.3%
+175
+129

0
0		-1.35615-1.33442
Spartak Moscow
FC Khimki		45.5%
28.3%		26.1%
+128
+185

3
1		-0.90052-0.78640
Loko Moscow
Dynamo Mosc		35.5%
33.3%		31.2%
+178
+123

1
3		-0.88092-1.10018
Zenit
Rubin Kazan		66.3%
12.2%		21.5%
-135
+330

4
0		-0.62876-0.41106
Rostov
Samara		44.8%
28.5%		26.7%
+131
+188

3
1		-0.91295-0.80314
Krasnodar
Akhmat Grozny		52.9%
21.8%		25.3%
+163
+147

1
1		-1.29997-1.37338
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.31175 
Sportsbooks20-0-2 (1.000)2 
DRatings20-0-2 (0.500)0-1.26431
0.04744

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/02/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Zenit (17-3-7, 58 pts)19.03.47.664.599.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Loko Moscow (16-7-4, 52 pts)16.98.24.955.70.1%81.8%17.4%0.0%
3Spartak Moscow (15-7-5, 50 pts)16.47.85.855.10.0%79.2%18.1%0.0%
4Sochi (14-7-7, 49 pts)14.97.57.652.30.0%22.4%60.1%0.0%
5Rubin Kazan (15-9-4, 49 pts)15.99.54.652.30.0%12.3%61.2%0.0%
6CSKA Moscow (14-9-5, 47 pts)14.89.65.650.00.0%4.3%34.3%0.0%
7Dynamo Mosc (14-10-4, 46 pts)14.610.84.648.40.0%0.0%8.5%0.0%
8FC Khimki (12-10-5, 41 pts)12.911.25.944.70.0%0.0%0.3%0.0%
9Rostov (12-11-4, 40 pts)13.212.04.844.40.0%0.0%0.1%0.0%
10Krasnodar (11-12-5, 38 pts)11.912.55.641.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Akhmat Grozny (10-12-6, 36 pts)10.612.96.638.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ural (6-8-13, 31 pts)6.99.213.934.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Arsenal Tula (6-16-5, 23 pts)6.817.35.826.40.0%0.0%0.0%5.7%
14Ufa (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.418.26.522.60.0%0.0%0.0%44.4%
15Samara (6-12-4, 22 pts)8.415.36.331.50.0%0.0%0.0%37.5%
15Rotor Volgograd (5-17-6, 21 pts)5.517.96.623.20.0%0.0%0.0%50.2%

Predictions Methodology

There are currently sixteen teams competing, with the Champions League qualifying spots given to the top three teams this season. The two lowest finishing teams will be relegated to the Russia National Football League. Each of the sixteen teams play each other twice, once at home and once away. To combat the snowy conditions, the league typically takes a three-month hiatus from mid-December until mid-March.