Arsenal Tula at Samara

Updated

Arsenal Tula

27.8%27.6%44.5%
Arsenal Tula WinDrawSamara Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.33
2Final Score 2

Samara

Last Games

Arsenal Tula
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sochi+560
L 0-2 at CSKA Moscow+585
W 2-1 at FC Khimki+280
W 1-3 vs Loko Moscow+230
L 1-5 at Dynamo Mosc+725
Samara
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rubin Kazan+100
L 1-0 vs CSKA Moscow+200
T 1-1 vs Ural-125
W 0-3 vs FC Khimki-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal Tula+355--+280+325+275+325+325.9
Samara-139---107-114-107-107+102.8
Draw+260--+230+246+230+246+267.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal Tula-----+325.9
Samara-----+102.8
Draw-----+267.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal Tula: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal Tula: 30.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal Tula: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal Tula ML moved from +325 to +280
No Steam Moves On Samara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-116--o2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+102o2½+128
Underu2¼-104--u2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-122u2½-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+128
Under-----u2½-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+102
The Under moved from u2½-130 to u2¼-114

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.76%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 411.93%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.70%
Exactly 320.50%
Exactly 55.55%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal Tula
Exactly 037.06%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 026.32%
Exactly 135.13%
Exactly 223.45%
Exactly 310.43%
Exactly 43.48%
Exactly 50.93%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.04%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal Tula
Exactly 063.15%
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 26.67%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 053.90%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 210.29%
Exactly 32.12%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal Tula
Wins by 2+ goals10.08%
Wins by 3+ goals2.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals20.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.49%
Wins by 4+ goals2.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal Tula
Samara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arsenal Tula
Wins by 1 goal17.68%
Wins by 2 goals7.31%
Wins by 3 goals2.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal23.78%
Wins by 2 goals13.22%
Wins by 3 goals5.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.24%9.76%
1.567.54%32.46%
2.541.12%58.88%
3.520.62%79.38%
4.58.70%91.30%
5.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Arsenal Tula Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.94%37.06%
1.526.15%73.85%
2.57.90%92.10%
3.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.68%26.32%
1.538.54%61.46%
2.515.09%84.91%
3.54.66%95.34%
4.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.96%34.04%
1.529.27%70.73%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal Tula
Samara
Score012345
0
9.76%
13.02%
8.69%
3.87%
1.29%
0.34%
1
9.68%
12.92%
8.63%
3.84%
1.28%
0.34%
2
4.81%
6.41%
4.28%
1.90%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.59%
2.12%
1.42%
0.63%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.39%
0.53%
0.35%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Arsenal Tula
1-09.68%
2-04.81%
2-16.41%
3-01.59%
3-12.12%
3-21.42%
4-00.39%
4-10.53%
4-20.35%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.76%
1-112.92%
2-24.28%
3-30.63%
Samara
0-113.02%
0-28.69%
1-28.63%
0-33.87%
1-33.84%
2-31.90%
0-41.29%
1-41.28%
2-40.64%
3-40.21%
0-50.34%
1-50.34%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal Tula
Samara
Score01234
0
34.04%
21.04%
6.50%
1.34%
0.21%
1
15.65%
9.67%
2.99%
0.62%
0.10%
2
3.60%
2.22%
0.69%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.55%
0.34%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Arsenal Tula
1-015.65%
2-03.60%
2-12.22%
3-00.55%
3-10.34%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.04%
1-19.67%
2-20.69%
Samara
0-121.04%
0-26.50%
1-22.99%
0-31.34%
1-30.62%
2-30.14%
0-40.21%