Valencia at Real Sociedad

Updated

Valencia

21.6%23.4%54.9%
Valencia WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.76
0Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+125
L 1-0 vs Alavés+118
L 2-4 at Barcelona+825
L 2-1 vs Betis+173
W 1-0 at Osasuna+245
Real Sociedad
Money Line
L 0-2 at Barcelona+405
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-295
L 1-0 vs Real Madrid+140
T 1-1 at Getafe+115
T 2-2 vs Almería-350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+500-+675+725-+725+725-
Real Sociedad-175--230-213--213-213-
Draw+300-+340+330-+330+340-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+525-+670-+475+640+670-
Real Sociedad-170--217--200-210-200-
Draw+285-+320-+250+320+320-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 40.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +675 to +650
Real Sociedad ML moved from -220 to -230

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +520 to +490
Real Sociedad ML moved from -200 to -217

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2¼-105o2¼-113-o2¼-113o2¼-105-
Underu2¼-120-u2¼-115u2¼-107-u2¼-107u2¼-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+130o2½+125o2½+120-o2-150o2½+120o2-150-
Underu2½-150u2½-145u2½-140-u2+120u2½-140u2½-140-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-110 to o2-150
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.24%
Exactly 224.01%
Exactly 415.40%
Exactly 63.95%
Exactly 80.54%
 
Exactly 117.31%
Exactly 322.20%
Exactly 58.54%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 036.33%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 017.18%
Exactly 130.26%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.65%
Exactly 46.89%
Exactly 52.43%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.68%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 39.78%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 062.57%
Exactly 129.34%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 044.24%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.71%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals7.65%
Wins by 3+ goals2.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals30.71%
Wins by 3+ goals13.83%
Wins by 4+ goals5.11%
Wins by 5+ goals1.57%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal13.90%
Wins by 2 goals5.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal24.18%
Wins by 2 goals16.89%
Wins by 3 goals8.72%
Wins by 4 goals3.54%
Wins by 5 goals1.18%
Wins by 6 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.76%6.24%
1.576.45%23.55%
2.552.44%47.56%
3.530.23%69.77%
4.514.83%85.17%
5.56.29%93.71%
6.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.67%36.33%
1.526.89%73.11%
2.58.26%91.74%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.82%17.18%
1.552.56%47.44%
2.525.91%74.09%
3.510.26%89.74%
4.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.32%27.68%
1.536.77%63.23%
2.513.93%86.07%
3.54.16%95.84%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
6.24%
10.99%
9.68%
5.68%
2.50%
0.88%
1
6.32%
11.13%
9.80%
5.76%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.20%
5.64%
4.96%
2.91%
1.28%
0.45%
3
1.08%
1.90%
1.68%
0.98%
0.43%
0.15%
4
0.27%
0.48%
0.42%
0.25%
0.11%
0.04%
Valencia
1-06.32%
2-03.20%
2-15.64%
3-01.08%
3-11.90%
3-21.68%
4-00.27%
4-10.48%
4-20.42%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-06.24%
1-111.13%
2-24.96%
3-30.98%
4-40.11%
Real Sociedad
0-110.99%
0-29.68%
1-29.80%
0-35.68%
1-35.76%
2-32.91%
0-42.50%
1-42.53%
2-41.28%
3-40.43%
0-50.88%
1-50.89%
2-50.45%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Real Sociedad
Score01234
0
27.68%
22.58%
9.21%
2.50%
0.51%
1
12.98%
10.58%
4.32%
1.17%
0.24%
2
3.04%
2.48%
1.01%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.48%
0.39%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Valencia
1-012.98%
2-03.04%
2-12.48%
3-00.48%
3-10.39%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-027.68%
1-110.58%
2-21.01%
Real Sociedad
0-122.58%
0-29.21%
1-24.32%
0-32.50%
1-31.17%
2-30.28%
0-40.51%
1-40.24%