Almería at Celta Vigo

Updated

Almería

31.8%28.0%40.2%
Almería WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.25
2Final Score 2

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Almería
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+100
L 1-2 at Sevilla+440
L 2-0 vs Villarreal+225
W 0-1 vs Barcelona+575
L 3-2 vs Betis+195
Celta Vigo
Money Line
W 3-1 at Espanyol+160
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano+105
T 0-0 at Osasuna+190
W 0-3 vs Valladolid-150
T 1-1 at Real Sociedad+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+440+560+500+575-+575+575-
Celta Vigo-165-192-200-200--195-192-
Draw+320+352+360+355-+340+360-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almería+430---+440+550+550-
Celta Vigo-160----205-200-200-
Draw+305---+270+330+330-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 50.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +566 to +560
Celta Vigo ML moved from -165 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almería: 50.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almería: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almería ML moved from +460 to +440
Celta Vigo ML moved from -180 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-137o2¾-115o2¾-115-o2¾-115o2½-137-
Underu2½+102u2½+122u2¾-105u2¾-105-u2¾-105u2¾-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-120--o2½-120o3+115o2½-120-
Underu2½+105u2½+100--u2½-110u3-135u3-135-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-118 to o2¾-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-125 to o3+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.76%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 411.92%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.71%
Exactly 320.50%
Exactly 55.55%
Exactly 70.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Almería
Exactly 034.04%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.77%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 028.67%
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 222.37%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.05%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 37.10%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almería
Exactly 060.71%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 27.56%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 056.08%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.38%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almería
Wins by 2+ goals12.31%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals17.70%
Wins by 3+ goals6.04%
Wins by 4+ goals1.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Almería
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Almería
Wins by 1 goal19.38%
Wins by 2 goals8.68%
Wins by 3 goals2.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals11.66%
Wins by 3 goals4.39%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.24%9.76%
1.567.54%32.46%
2.541.12%58.88%
3.520.62%79.38%
4.58.70%91.30%
5.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Almería Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.96%34.04%
1.529.28%70.72%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.33%28.67%
1.535.51%64.49%
2.513.14%86.86%
3.53.82%96.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.95%34.05%
1.529.27%70.73%
2.59.51%90.49%
3.52.41%97.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almería
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
9.76%
12.19%
7.62%
3.17%
0.99%
0.25%
1
10.52%
13.14%
8.21%
3.42%
1.07%
0.27%
2
5.67%
7.08%
4.42%
1.84%
0.58%
0.14%
3
2.04%
2.54%
1.59%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.55%
0.69%
0.43%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Almería
1-010.52%
2-05.67%
2-17.08%
3-02.04%
3-12.54%
3-21.59%
4-00.55%
4-10.69%
4-20.43%
4-30.18%
5-00.12%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-09.76%
1-113.14%
2-24.42%
3-30.66%
Celta Vigo
0-112.19%
0-27.62%
1-28.21%
0-33.17%
1-33.42%
2-31.84%
0-40.99%
1-41.07%
2-40.58%
3-40.21%
0-50.25%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Almería
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
34.05%
19.69%
5.70%
1.10%
0.16%
1
16.99%
9.83%
2.84%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.24%
2.45%
0.71%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.71%
0.41%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Almería
1-016.99%
2-04.24%
2-12.45%
3-00.71%
3-10.41%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-034.05%
1-19.83%
2-20.71%
Celta Vigo
0-119.69%
0-25.70%
1-22.84%
0-31.10%
1-30.55%
2-30.14%
0-40.16%