Valencia at Villarreal

Updated

Valencia

21.9%23.2%54.9%
Valencia WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.79
0Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Osasuna+120
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+225
T 0-0 vs Cadiz+115
W 1-0 at Elche+175
T 0-0 at Getafe+275
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Getafe+150
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+165
L 0-2 at Levante-150
L 0-1 at Cadiz+110
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+450+878+800+850+821+850+878+893.6
Villarreal-165-297-315-300-327-300-297-265.8
Draw+290+473+440+450+449+450+473+479.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+520---+525+850+850+893.6
Villarreal-200----275-325-275-265.8
Draw+350---+325+450+450+479.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 50.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +851 to +821
Villarreal ML moved from -298 to -305

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 50.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +580 to +560
Villarreal ML moved from -300 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o3-104o3-105o2¾-125-o2¾-125o2¾-125o3+104
Underu2½-110u3-111u3-115u2¾+105-u2¾+105u3-111u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o3+100--o3-115o3+100o3+100o3+104
Underu2½+100u3-120--u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%
 
No46.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.90%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 415.77%
Exactly 64.21%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.70%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.93%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 035.34%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 016.70%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.96%
Exactly 47.14%
Exactly 52.55%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.98%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 061.78%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 043.67%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.99%
Exactly 34.14%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals7.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals30.92%
Wins by 3+ goals14.05%
Wins by 4+ goals5.25%
Wins by 5+ goals1.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal13.93%
Wins by 2 goals5.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.97%
Wins by 2 goals16.86%
Wins by 3 goals8.80%
Wins by 4 goals3.62%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.10%5.90%
1.577.39%22.61%
2.553.76%46.24%
3.531.47%68.53%
4.515.70%84.30%
5.56.77%93.23%
6.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.66%35.34%
1.527.90%72.10%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.30%16.70%
1.553.41%46.59%
2.526.66%73.34%
3.510.70%89.30%
4.53.57%96.43%
5.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.02%26.98%
1.537.68%62.32%
2.514.52%85.48%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Villarreal
Score012345
0
5.90%
10.56%
9.45%
5.64%
2.52%
0.90%
1
6.14%
10.99%
9.83%
5.86%
2.62%
0.94%
2
3.19%
5.71%
5.11%
3.05%
1.36%
0.49%
3
1.11%
1.98%
1.77%
1.06%
0.47%
0.17%
4
0.29%
0.52%
0.46%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
Valencia
1-06.14%
2-03.19%
2-15.71%
3-01.11%
3-11.98%
3-21.77%
4-00.29%
4-10.52%
4-20.46%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-05.90%
1-110.99%
2-25.11%
3-31.06%
4-40.12%
Villarreal
0-110.56%
0-29.45%
1-29.83%
0-35.64%
1-35.86%
2-33.05%
0-42.52%
1-42.62%
2-41.36%
3-40.47%
0-50.90%
1-50.94%
2-50.49%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Villarreal
Score01234
0
26.98%
22.35%
9.26%
2.56%
0.53%
1
12.99%
10.77%
4.46%
1.23%
0.26%
2
3.13%
2.59%
1.07%
0.30%
0.06%
3
0.50%
0.42%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Valencia
1-012.99%
2-03.13%
2-12.59%
3-00.50%
3-10.42%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-026.98%
1-110.77%
2-21.07%
Villarreal
0-122.35%
0-29.26%
1-24.46%
0-32.56%
1-31.23%
2-30.30%
0-40.53%
1-40.26%