Atlético Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Atlético Madrid

51.4%25.5%23.1%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.55Projected Goals 0.95
2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad+180
L 4-1 vs Osasuna-300
W 3-0 at Getafe-140
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-270
W 1-3 vs Athletic Club-110
Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Osasuna+152
T 4-4 vs Real Madrid+205
W 2-3 vs Sevilla-103
L 2-3 at Celta Vigo+160
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+140-+105+110-+110+110-
Villarreal+190-+255+258-+258+258-
Draw+250-+250+257-+257+257-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+110-+103--120+100+103-
Villarreal+235-+257-+240+260+260-
Draw+260-+257-+250+265+265-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +100 to -106
Villarreal ML moved from +285 to +275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +100 to -101
Villarreal ML moved from +265 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2¾+100o2¾-102-o2¾-102o2¾+100-
Underu2¾-112-u2¾-120u2¾-118-u2¾-118u2¾-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-135o2½-120-
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+115u2½+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.18%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 413.39%
Exactly 62.80%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.48%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 56.70%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 021.16%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 313.21%
Exactly 45.13%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 038.67%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 048.72%
Exactly 135.03%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 064.41%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals26.58%
Wins by 3+ goals10.87%
Wins by 4+ goals3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.93%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals7.95%
Wins by 3+ goals2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.70%
Wins by 2 goals15.71%
Wins by 3 goals7.30%
Wins by 4 goals2.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal15.10%
Wins by 2 goals5.88%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.82%8.18%
1.571.34%28.66%
2.545.70%54.30%
3.524.31%75.69%
4.510.93%89.07%
5.54.22%95.78%
6.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.84%21.16%
1.545.98%54.02%
2.520.46%79.54%
3.57.25%92.75%
4.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.33%38.67%
1.524.59%75.41%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.25%67.75%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
8.18%
7.77%
3.69%
1.17%
0.28%
1
12.71%
12.07%
5.73%
1.82%
0.43%
2
9.87%
9.38%
4.45%
1.41%
0.33%
3
5.11%
4.85%
2.31%
0.73%
0.17%
4
1.98%
1.89%
0.90%
0.28%
0.07%
5
0.62%
0.59%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Atlético Madrid
1-012.71%
2-09.87%
2-19.38%
3-05.11%
3-14.85%
3-22.31%
4-01.98%
4-11.89%
4-20.90%
4-30.28%
5-00.62%
5-10.59%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.18%
1-112.07%
2-24.45%
3-30.73%
Villarreal
0-17.77%
0-23.69%
1-25.73%
0-31.17%
1-31.82%
2-31.41%
0-40.28%
1-40.43%
2-40.33%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
Score0123
0
31.38%
13.80%
3.04%
0.45%
1
22.57%
9.93%
2.18%
0.32%
2
8.11%
3.57%
0.78%
0.12%
3
1.95%
0.86%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.35%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Atlético Madrid
1-022.57%
2-08.11%
2-13.57%
3-01.95%
3-10.86%
3-20.19%
4-00.35%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-031.38%
1-19.93%
2-20.78%
Villarreal
0-113.80%
0-23.04%
1-22.18%
0-30.45%
1-30.32%
2-30.12%