Atlético Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Atlético Madrid

51.4%25.5%23.1%
Atlético Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.55Projected Goals 0.95
2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid
Money Line
W 2-0 at Real Sociedad+180
L 4-1 vs Osasuna-300
W 3-0 at Getafe-140
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-270
W 1-3 vs Athletic Club-110
Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Osasuna+152
T 4-4 vs Real Madrid+205
W 2-3 vs Sevilla-103
L 2-3 at Celta Vigo+160
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+140-+105+110-+110+110-
Villarreal+190-+255+258-+258+258-
Draw+250-+250+257-+257+257-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid+110-+103--120+100+103-
Villarreal+235-+257-+240+260+260-
Draw+260-+257-+250+265+265-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +100 to -106
Villarreal ML moved from +285 to +275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlético Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +100 to -101
Villarreal ML moved from +265 to +245

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108-o2¾+100o2¾-102-o2¾-102o2¾+100-
Underu2¾-112-u2¾-120u2¾-118-u2¾-118u2¾-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-120-o2½-125o2½-135o2½-120-
Underu2½+120u2½+115u2½+100-u2½-105u2½+115u2½+115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.18%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 413.39%
Exactly 62.80%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.48%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 56.70%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 021.16%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 313.21%
Exactly 45.13%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 038.67%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 048.72%
Exactly 135.03%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 064.41%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals26.58%
Wins by 3+ goals10.87%
Wins by 4+ goals3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.93%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals7.95%
Wins by 3+ goals2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.70%
Wins by 2 goals15.71%
Wins by 3 goals7.30%
Wins by 4 goals2.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal15.10%
Wins by 2 goals5.88%
Wins by 3 goals1.66%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.82%8.18%
1.571.34%28.66%
2.545.70%54.30%
3.524.31%75.69%
4.510.93%89.07%
5.54.22%95.78%
6.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.84%21.16%
1.545.98%54.02%
2.520.46%79.54%
3.57.25%92.75%
4.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.33%38.67%
1.524.59%75.41%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.25%67.75%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
8.18%
7.77%
3.69%
1.17%
0.28%
1
12.71%
12.07%
5.73%
1.82%
0.43%
2
9.87%
9.38%
4.45%
1.41%
0.33%
3
5.11%
4.85%
2.31%
0.73%
0.17%
4
1.98%
1.89%
0.90%
0.28%
0.07%
5
0.62%
0.59%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
Atlético Madrid
1-012.71%
2-09.87%
2-19.38%
3-05.11%
3-14.85%
3-22.31%
4-01.98%
4-11.89%
4-20.90%
4-30.28%
5-00.62%
5-10.59%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-08.18%
1-112.07%
2-24.45%
3-30.73%
Villarreal
0-17.77%
0-23.69%
1-25.73%
0-31.17%
1-31.82%
2-31.41%
0-40.28%
1-40.43%
2-40.33%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
Score0123
0
31.38%
13.80%
3.04%
0.45%
1
22.57%
9.93%
2.18%
0.32%
2
8.11%
3.57%
0.78%
0.12%
3
1.95%
0.86%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.35%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Atlético Madrid
1-022.57%
2-08.11%
2-13.57%
3-01.95%
3-10.86%
3-20.19%
4-00.35%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-031.38%
1-19.93%
2-20.78%
Villarreal
0-113.80%
0-23.04%
1-22.18%
0-30.45%
1-30.32%
2-30.12%
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