Atlético Madrid at Villarreal

Updated 473 days ago

04:30 PM • Jun 4, 2023

Atlético Madrid

51.4%25.5%23.1%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win

1.55Projected Goals 0.95

2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
W 1-2	5/28 vs Real Sociedad	+130
T 3-3	5/24 at Espanyol	+130
W 0-3	5/21 vs Osasuna	-225
L 0-1	5/14 at Elche	-250
W 1-5	5/03 vs Cadiz	-350

Villarreal		Money Line
L 1-2	5/28 at Rayo Vallecano	+125
W 0-2	5/24 vs Cadiz	-210
W 1-5	5/13 vs Athletic Club	+110
T 1-1	5/03 at Valencia	+175
W 1-3	4/30 vs Celta Vigo	-135

Money Line Analysis

:3.1%:5.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+153	-	+145	+149	-	+149	+149	-
Villarreal	+175	-	+165	+172	-	+172	+172	-
Draw	+262	-	+280	+277	-	+277	+280	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+145	-	-	-	+140	+145	+145	-
Villarreal	+170	-	-	-	+145	+165	+165	-
Draw	+265	-	-	-	+230	+275	+275	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +153 to +14006/04/2023
03:21 PM

Villarreal ML moved from +177 to +17006/04/2023
04:06 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 40.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +160 to +15006/04/2023
05:24 AM

Villarreal ML moved from +155 to +14006/03/2023
03:10 AM

Over/Under Analysis

:3.0%:-0.2%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3-104	-	o3¼-108	o3¼-115	-	o3¼-115	o3¼-108	-
Under	u3-116	-	u3¼-112	u3¼-105	-	u3¼-105	u3¼-105	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3+100	o3-130	-	-	o3-140	o3½+115	o3-130	-
Under	u3-120	u3+110	-	-	u3+110	u3½-135	u3½-135	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-115 to o3-14006/04/2023
12:09 PM

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	48.4%


No	51.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.18%
Exactly 2	25.63%
Exactly 4	13.39%
Exactly 6	2.80%
Exactly 8	0.31%


Exactly 1	20.48%
Exactly 3	21.39%
Exactly 5	6.70%
Exactly 7	1.00%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	21.16%
Exactly 1	32.86%
Exactly 2	25.52%
Exactly 3	13.21%
Exactly 4	5.13%
Exactly 5	1.59%
Exactly 6	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 0	38.67%
Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 2	17.45%
Exactly 3	5.53%
Exactly 4	1.31%
Exactly 5	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.38%
Exactly 2	21.08%
Exactly 4	2.36%
Exactly 6	0.11%


Exactly 1	36.37%
Exactly 3	8.14%
Exactly 5	0.55%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	48.72%
Exactly 1	35.03%
Exactly 2	12.60%
Exactly 3	3.02%
Exactly 4	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 0	64.41%
Exactly 1	28.33%
Exactly 2	6.23%
Exactly 3	0.91%
Exactly 4	0.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	26.58%
Wins by 3+ goals	10.87%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.93%

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals	7.95%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.08%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	24.70%
Wins by 2 goals	15.71%
Wins by 3 goals	7.30%
Wins by 4 goals	2.64%
Wins by 5 goals	0.77%

Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal	15.10%
Wins by 2 goals	5.88%
Wins by 3 goals	1.66%
Wins by 4 goals	0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.82%	8.18%
1.5	71.34%	28.66%
2.5	45.70%	54.30%
3.5	24.31%	75.69%
4.5	10.93%	89.07%
5.5	4.22%	95.78%
6.5	1.43%	98.57%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	78.84%	21.16%
1.5	45.98%	54.02%
2.5	20.46%	79.54%
3.5	7.25%	92.75%
4.5	2.12%	97.88%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.33%	38.67%
1.5	24.59%	75.41%
2.5	7.13%	92.87%
3.5	1.61%	98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.62%	31.38%
1.5	32.25%	67.75%
2.5	11.17%	88.83%
3.5	3.03%	96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.18%	7.77%	3.69%	1.17%	0.28%
1	12.71%	12.07%	5.73%	1.82%	0.43%
2	9.87%	9.38%	4.45%	1.41%	0.33%
3	5.11%	4.85%	2.31%	0.73%	0.17%
4	1.98%	1.89%	0.90%	0.28%	0.07%
5	0.62%	0.59%	0.28%	0.09%	0.02%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	12.71%
2-0	9.87%
2-1	9.38%
3-0	5.11%
3-1	4.85%
3-2	2.31%
4-0	1.98%
4-1	1.89%
4-2	0.90%
4-3	0.28%
5-0	0.62%
5-1	0.59%
5-2	0.28%

Draw
0-0	8.18%
1-1	12.07%
2-2	4.45%
3-3	0.73%

Villarreal
0-1	7.77%
0-2	3.69%
1-2	5.73%
0-3	1.17%
1-3	1.82%
2-3	1.41%
0-4	0.28%
1-4	0.43%
2-4	0.33%
3-4	0.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Villarreal

Score	0	1	2	3
0	31.38%	13.80%	3.04%	0.45%
1	22.57%	9.93%	2.18%	0.32%
2	8.11%	3.57%	0.78%	0.12%
3	1.95%	0.86%	0.19%	0.03%
4	0.35%	0.15%	0.03%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	22.57%
2-0	8.11%
2-1	3.57%
3-0	1.95%
3-1	0.86%
3-2	0.19%
4-0	0.35%
4-1	0.15%

Draw
0-0	31.38%
1-1	9.93%
2-2	0.78%

Villarreal
0-1	13.80%
0-2	3.04%
1-2	2.18%
0-3	0.45%
1-3	0.32%
2-3	0.12%

Celta Vigo at Cadiz

Athletic Club at Real Madrid

Atlético Madrid at Villarreal