Villarreal at Almería

Updated

Villarreal

55.8%23.2%21.0%
Villarreal WinDrawAlmería Win
1.78Projected Goals 1.00
2Final Score 1

Almería

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
T 1-1 at Athletic Club+438
L 2-1 vs Atlético Madrid+210
W 0-1 vs Valencia+121
W 3-2 at Betis+240
W 1-5 vs Granada-150
Almería
Money Line
T 2-2 at Real Sociedad+1129
L 3-0 vs Osasuna+155
W 1-0 at Las Palmas+375
T 2-2 vs Sevilla+245
L 0-1 at Celta Vigo+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+140--105-102--102-102-
Almería+195-+235+257-+257+257-
Draw+258-+310+300-+300+310-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+105--105--120-105-105-
Almería+240-+244-+220+250+250-
Draw+270-+300-+270+295+300-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +102 to -102
Almería ML moved from +250 to +243

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almería: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 30.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Almería: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +105 to -105
Almería ML moved from +240 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o3¼-108o3¼-115-o3¼-115o3¼-108-
Underu2¾-105-u3¼-112u3¼-105-u3¼-105u3¼-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3½-105o3½+110-o3½+105o3½+105o3½+110-
Underu3-125u3½-115u3½-130-u3½-135u3½-125u3½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-116 to o3¼-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.22%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 415.42%
Exactly 63.97%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.27%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.57%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 016.86%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 315.86%
Exactly 47.06%
Exactly 52.51%
Exactly 60.75%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Almería
Exactly 036.89%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.34%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.64%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 39.80%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 043.85%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.90%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almería
Exactly 063.02%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals31.43%
Wins by 3+ goals14.28%
Wins by 4+ goals5.33%
Wins by 5+ goals1.65%
Almería
Wins by 2+ goals7.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Almería
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals17.15%
Wins by 3 goals8.95%
Wins by 4 goals3.68%
Wins by 5 goals1.24%
Almería
Wins by 1 goal13.60%
Wins by 2 goals5.38%
Wins by 3 goals1.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.78%6.22%
1.576.51%23.49%
2.552.52%47.48%
3.530.31%69.69%
4.514.89%85.11%
5.56.32%93.68%
6.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.14%16.86%
1.553.13%46.87%
2.526.41%73.59%
3.510.56%89.44%
4.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals Almería Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.11%36.89%
1.526.32%73.68%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.36%27.64%
1.536.82%63.18%
2.513.97%86.03%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Almería
Score01234
0
6.22%
6.20%
3.09%
1.03%
0.26%
1
11.07%
11.04%
5.51%
1.83%
0.46%
2
9.86%
9.83%
4.90%
1.63%
0.41%
3
5.85%
5.83%
2.91%
0.97%
0.24%
4
2.60%
2.60%
1.29%
0.43%
0.11%
5
0.93%
0.92%
0.46%
0.15%
0.04%
Villarreal
1-011.07%
2-09.86%
2-19.83%
3-05.85%
3-15.83%
3-22.91%
4-02.60%
4-12.60%
4-21.29%
4-30.43%
5-00.93%
5-10.92%
5-20.46%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.22%
1-111.04%
2-24.90%
3-30.97%
4-40.11%
Almería
0-16.20%
0-23.09%
1-25.51%
0-31.03%
1-31.83%
2-31.63%
0-40.26%
1-40.46%
2-40.41%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Almería
Score0123
0
27.64%
12.76%
2.95%
0.45%
1
22.78%
10.52%
2.43%
0.37%
2
9.39%
4.34%
1.00%
0.15%
3
2.58%
1.19%
0.28%
0.04%
4
0.53%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
Villarreal
1-022.78%
2-09.39%
2-14.34%
3-02.58%
3-11.19%
3-20.28%
4-00.53%
4-10.25%
Draw
0-027.64%
1-110.52%
2-21.00%
Almería
0-112.76%
0-22.95%
1-22.43%
0-30.45%
1-30.37%
2-30.15%