Atlético Madrid at Valencia

Updated 752 days ago

08:00 PM • Aug 29, 2022

Atlético Madrid

63.6%21.7%14.7%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawWin

1.88Projected Goals 0.77

1Final Score 0

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
L 2-0	8/21 vs Villarreal	-115
W 3-0	8/15 at Getafe	-120
W 2-1	5/22 at Real Sociedad	+165
T 1-1	5/15 vs Sevilla	-105
W 2-0	5/11 at Elche	-185

Valencia		Money Line
L 0-1	8/21 at Athletic Club	+420
W 0-2	5/21 vs Celta Vigo	+165
T 1-1	5/14 at Espanyol	+160
L 3-0	5/10 vs Betis	+235
T 0-0	5/07 at Athletic Club	+730

Money Line Analysis

:2.0%:5.0%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	-110	+101	-105	+100	-110	+100	+101	-
Valencia	+330	+333	+310	+325	+321	+325	+333	-
Draw	+235	+242	+225	+235	+233	+235	+242	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	-105	-	-	-	-135	-110	-110	-
Valencia	+320	-	-	-	+310	+335	+335	-
Draw	+230	-	-	-	+220	+235	+235	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Valencia: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +101 to -10108/29/2022
07:48 PM

Valencia ML moved from +350 to +32008/29/2022
07:35 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Valencia: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +100 to -11008/29/2022
07:03 PM

Valencia ML moved from +305 to +29008/28/2022
03:30 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:0.5%:1.9%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-105	o2½+124	o2¼-108	o2¼-110	-	o2¼-110	o2¼-108	-
Under	u2¼-115	u2½-139	u2¼-112	u2¼-110	-	u2¼-110	u2½-139	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-140	o2½+120	-	-	o2½+100	o2½+120	o2½+120	-
Under	u2+120	u2½-140	-	-	u2½-130	u2½-140	u2½-130	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-145 to o2½+11508/27/2022
10:19 PM

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.5%


No	54.5%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.09%
Exactly 2	24.83%
Exactly 4	14.50%
Exactly 6	3.39%
Exactly 8	0.42%


Exactly 1	18.76%
Exactly 3	21.90%
Exactly 5	7.67%
Exactly 7	1.28%
Exactly 9	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	15.30%
Exactly 1	28.72%
Exactly 2	26.96%
Exactly 3	16.87%
Exactly 4	7.92%
Exactly 5	2.97%
Exactly 6	0.93%
Exactly 7	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 0	46.31%
Exactly 1	35.65%
Exactly 2	13.72%
Exactly 3	3.52%
Exactly 4	0.68%
Exactly 5	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.36%
Exactly 2	22.05%
Exactly 4	2.76%
Exactly 6	0.14%


Exactly 1	35.98%
Exactly 3	9.01%
Exactly 5	0.68%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	41.93%
Exactly 1	36.44%
Exactly 2	15.84%
Exactly 3	4.59%
Exactly 4	1.00%
Exactly 5	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 0	70.02%
Exactly 1	24.95%
Exactly 2	4.45%
Exactly 3	0.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	38.02%
Wins by 3+ goals	18.32%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.24%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.38%

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals	4.22%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Valencia

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	25.53%
Wins by 2 goals	19.70%
Wins by 3 goals	11.08%
Wins by 4 goals	4.86%
Wins by 5 goals	1.74%

Valencia
Wins by 1 goal	10.47%
Wins by 2 goals	3.31%
Wins by 3 goals	0.76%
Wins by 4 goals	0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.91%	7.09%
1.5	74.16%	25.84%
2.5	49.33%	50.67%
3.5	27.43%	72.57%
4.5	12.93%	87.07%
5.5	5.26%	94.74%
6.5	1.87%	98.13%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.70%	15.30%
1.5	55.98%	44.02%
2.5	29.02%	70.98%
3.5	12.15%	87.85%
4.5	4.23%	95.77%
5.5	1.25%	98.75%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	53.69%	46.31%
1.5	18.04%	81.96%
2.5	4.32%	95.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.64%	29.36%
1.5	34.66%	65.34%
2.5	12.61%	87.39%
3.5	3.60%	96.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Valencia

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.09%	5.45%	2.10%	0.54%	0.10%
1	13.30%	10.24%	3.94%	1.01%	0.19%
2	12.49%	9.61%	3.70%	0.95%	0.18%
3	7.81%	6.01%	2.31%	0.59%	0.11%
4	3.67%	2.82%	1.09%	0.28%	0.05%
5	1.38%	1.06%	0.41%	0.10%	0.02%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	13.30%
2-0	12.49%
2-1	9.61%
3-0	7.81%
3-1	6.01%
3-2	2.31%
4-0	3.67%
4-1	2.82%
4-2	1.09%
4-3	0.28%
5-0	1.38%
5-1	1.06%
5-2	0.41%
5-3	0.10%

Draw
0-0	7.09%
1-1	10.24%
2-2	3.70%
3-3	0.59%

Valencia
0-1	5.45%
0-2	2.10%
1-2	3.94%
0-3	0.54%
1-3	1.01%
2-3	0.95%
0-4	0.10%
1-4	0.19%
2-4	0.18%
3-4	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Valencia

Score	0	1	2	3
0	29.36%	10.46%	1.86%	0.22%
1	25.52%	9.09%	1.62%	0.19%
2	11.09%	3.95%	0.70%	0.08%
3	3.21%	1.15%	0.20%	0.02%
4	0.70%	0.25%	0.04%	0.01%
5	0.12%	0.04%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	25.52%
2-0	11.09%
2-1	3.95%
3-0	3.21%
3-1	1.15%
3-2	0.20%
4-0	0.70%
4-1	0.25%
5-0	0.12%

Draw
0-0	29.36%
1-1	9.09%
2-2	0.70%

Valencia
0-1	10.46%
0-2	1.86%
1-2	1.62%
0-3	0.22%
1-3	0.19%

Athletic Club at Cadiz

Cadiz at Celta Vigo

Atlético Madrid at Valencia