Barcelona at Real Madrid

Updated

Barcelona

36.8%27.8%35.4%
Barcelona WinDrawReal Madrid Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.18
2Final Score 3

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cadiz+110
W 0-1 vs Las Palmas-390
W 3-0 at Atlético Madrid+201
T 0-0 at Athletic Club+125
W 0-4 vs Getafe-253
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Athletic Club-165
W 4-2 at Osasuna-209
W 0-4 vs Celta Vigo-307
T 2-2 at Valencia-159
W 0-1 vs Sevilla-366

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+285--+335-+335+335-
Real Madrid-106---138--138-138-
Draw+285--+345-+345+345-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+310-+307-+285+340+340-
Real Madrid-125--138--170-145-138-
Draw+300-+340-+320+330+340-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 50.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +331 to +325
Real Madrid ML moved from -118 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 50.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +288 to +273
Real Madrid ML moved from -130 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-106--o3¼-105-o3¼-105o3¼-105-
Underu3-114--u3¼-115-u3¼-115u3¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3½+110o3½+120-o3½+100o3½+105o3½+120-
Underu3-110u3½-130u3½-140-u3½-130u3½-125u3½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-118 to u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.26%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.37%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.04%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.89%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 029.99%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.75%
Exactly 38.73%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 030.88%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 38.35%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.23%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 057.26%
Exactly 131.93%
Exactly 28.90%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 058.04%
Exactly 131.58%
Exactly 28.59%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals15.64%
Wins by 3+ goals5.14%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals14.74%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Real Madrid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal21.14%
Wins by 2 goals10.50%
Wins by 3 goals3.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.63%
Wins by 2 goals10.00%
Wins by 3 goals3.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.74%9.26%
1.568.70%31.30%
2.542.49%57.51%
3.521.70%78.30%
4.59.33%90.67%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.01%29.99%
1.533.89%66.11%
2.512.14%87.86%
3.53.41%96.59%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.12%30.88%
1.532.84%67.16%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.77%33.23%
1.530.16%69.84%
2.59.99%90.01%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
9.26%
10.88%
6.39%
2.50%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.15%
13.11%
7.70%
3.02%
0.89%
0.21%
2
6.71%
7.89%
4.64%
1.82%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.70%
3.17%
1.86%
0.73%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.81%
0.95%
0.56%
0.22%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.20%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-011.15%
2-06.71%
2-17.89%
3-02.70%
3-13.17%
3-21.86%
4-00.81%
4-10.95%
4-20.56%
4-30.22%
5-00.20%
5-10.23%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.26%
1-113.11%
2-24.64%
3-30.73%
Real Madrid
0-110.88%
0-26.39%
1-27.70%
0-32.50%
1-33.02%
2-31.82%
0-40.74%
1-40.89%
2-40.53%
3-40.21%
0-50.17%
1-50.21%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Real Madrid
Score01234
0
33.23%
18.08%
4.92%
0.89%
0.12%
1
18.53%
10.08%
2.74%
0.50%
0.07%
2
5.17%
2.81%
0.76%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.96%
0.52%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-018.53%
2-05.17%
2-12.81%
3-00.96%
3-10.52%
3-20.14%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-033.23%
1-110.08%
2-20.76%
Real Madrid
0-118.08%
0-24.92%
1-22.74%
0-30.89%
1-30.50%
2-30.14%
0-40.12%