Real Madrid at Alavés

Updated

Real Madrid

69.0%14.8%16.2%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.41Projected Goals 0.57
4Final Score 1

Alavés

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Villarreal-180
W 1-0 at Athletic Club-180
W 4-1 at Granada-270
T 2-2 vs Sevilla-115
W 0-2 vs Osasuna-300
Alavés
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sevilla+750
W 2-4 vs Granada-125
W 2-0 at Elche+185
T 2-2 vs Levante+120
L 0-3 at Eibar+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-225-256-165--182--165-
Alavés+575+574+450-+464-+574-
Draw+390+374+310-+322-+374-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-240----275-175-175-
Alavés+650---+550+475+550-
Draw+375---+310+315+315-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Alavés: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -186 to -192
Alavés ML moved from +473 to +464

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -165 to -175
Alavés ML moved from +510 to +450

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3-104o2½-115o2½-115-o2½-115o3+100-
Underu3-120u3-122u2½-105u2½-105-u2½-105u3-118-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120--o2½-135o2½-120-
Underu2½+100--u2½+105u2½+100-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.59%
Exactly 416.66%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.18%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.92%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 08.99%
Exactly 121.65%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 320.95%
Exactly 412.62%
Exactly 56.08%
Exactly 62.44%
Exactly 70.84%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Alavés
Exactly 056.76%
Exactly 132.14%
Exactly 29.10%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.22%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 032.78%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 42.11%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alavés
Exactly 076.94%
Exactly 120.17%
Exactly 22.64%
Exactly 30.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals55.40%
Wins by 3+ goals32.60%
Wins by 4+ goals16.05%
Wins by 5+ goals6.70%
Alavés
Wins by 2+ goals1.48%
Wins by 3+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Alavés
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals22.80%
Wins by 3 goals16.54%
Wins by 4 goals9.35%
Wins by 5 goals4.32%
Alavés
Wins by 1 goal5.36%
Wins by 2 goals1.25%
Wins by 3 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.72%20.28%
2.557.13%42.87%
3.534.73%65.27%
4.518.06%81.94%
5.58.15%91.85%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.01%8.99%
1.569.36%30.64%
2.543.27%56.73%
3.522.32%77.68%
4.59.70%90.30%
5.53.62%96.38%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Alavés Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.24%56.76%
1.511.09%88.91%
2.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.78%25.22%
1.540.04%59.96%
2.516.11%83.89%
3.55.12%94.88%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Alavés
Score0123
0
5.10%
2.89%
0.82%
0.15%
1
12.29%
6.96%
1.97%
0.37%
2
14.81%
8.39%
2.37%
0.45%
3
11.89%
6.73%
1.91%
0.36%
4
7.16%
4.06%
1.15%
0.22%
5
3.45%
1.95%
0.55%
0.10%
Real Madrid
1-012.29%
2-014.81%
2-18.39%
3-011.89%
3-16.73%
3-21.91%
4-07.16%
4-14.06%
4-21.15%
4-30.22%
5-03.45%
5-11.95%
5-20.55%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-16.96%
2-22.37%
3-30.36%
Alavés
0-12.89%
0-20.82%
1-21.97%
0-30.15%
1-30.37%
2-30.45%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Alavés
Score012
0
25.22%
6.61%
0.87%
1
28.13%
7.37%
0.97%
2
15.69%
4.11%
0.54%
3
5.83%
1.53%
0.20%
4
1.63%
0.43%
0.06%
5
0.36%
0.10%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-028.13%
2-015.69%
2-14.11%
3-05.83%
3-11.53%
3-20.20%
4-01.63%
4-10.43%
5-00.36%
Draw
0-025.22%
1-17.37%
2-20.54%
Alavés
0-16.61%
0-20.87%
1-20.97%