Real Madrid at Valencia

Updated

Real Madrid

62.7%21.1%16.2%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
1.97Projected Goals 0.89

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Sevilla-400
T 3-3 at Rayo Vallecano-180
L 1-2 at Athletic Club+120
W 0-2 vs Getafe-300
W 3-0 at Leganés-260
Valencia
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Alavés+115
T 1-1 at Espanyol+225
L 0-1 at Valladolid+145
L 1-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+125
W 2-4 vs Betis+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-180--225-235--235-225-
Valencia+460-+575+725-+725+725-
Draw+330-+370+370-+370+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid------
Valencia------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -218 to -235
Valencia ML moved from +600 to +575

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112-o2½-122o2¾+102-o2¾+102o2½-122-
Underu2½-108-u2½+102u2¾-122-u2¾-122u2¾-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.73%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 415.96%
Exactly 64.35%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.38%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.13%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 013.90%
Exactly 127.43%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.80%
Exactly 48.78%
Exactly 53.46%
Exactly 61.14%
Exactly 70.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 041.19%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.60%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 310.29%
Exactly 50.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 040.11%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.74%
Exactly 35.10%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 066.32%
Exactly 127.23%
Exactly 25.59%
Exactly 30.77%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals38.11%
Wins by 3+ goals18.86%
Wins by 4+ goals7.70%
Wins by 5+ goals2.61%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals5.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals19.25%
Wins by 3 goals11.16%
Wins by 4 goals5.08%
Wins by 5 goals1.90%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal11.02%
Wins by 2 goals3.89%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.27%5.73%
1.577.89%22.11%
2.554.47%45.53%
3.532.14%67.86%
4.516.18%83.82%
5.57.05%92.95%
6.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.10%13.90%
1.558.67%41.33%
2.531.60%68.40%
3.513.80%86.20%
4.55.03%94.97%
5.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.81%41.19%
1.522.27%77.73%
2.56.07%93.93%
3.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.40%26.60%
1.538.17%61.83%
2.514.85%85.15%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Valencia
Score01234
0
5.73%
5.08%
2.25%
0.67%
0.15%
1
11.30%
10.02%
4.44%
1.31%
0.29%
2
11.15%
9.89%
4.38%
1.30%
0.29%
3
7.33%
6.50%
2.88%
0.85%
0.19%
4
3.62%
3.21%
1.42%
0.42%
0.09%
5
1.43%
1.27%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
Real Madrid
1-011.30%
2-011.15%
2-19.89%
3-07.33%
3-16.50%
3-22.88%
4-03.62%
4-13.21%
4-21.42%
4-30.42%
5-01.43%
5-11.27%
5-20.56%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.73%
1-110.02%
2-24.38%
3-30.85%
Valencia
0-15.08%
0-22.25%
1-24.44%
0-30.67%
1-31.31%
2-31.30%
0-40.15%
1-40.29%
2-40.29%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Valencia
Score0123
0
26.60%
10.92%
2.24%
0.31%
1
24.30%
9.98%
2.05%
0.28%
2
11.10%
4.56%
0.94%
0.13%
3
3.38%
1.39%
0.28%
0.04%
4
0.77%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-024.30%
2-011.10%
2-14.56%
3-03.38%
3-11.39%
3-20.28%
4-00.77%
4-10.32%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-026.60%
1-19.98%
2-20.94%
Valencia
0-110.92%
0-22.24%
1-22.05%
0-30.31%
1-30.28%
2-30.13%