Valencia at Alavés

Updated

Valencia

43.7%26.5%29.8%
Valencia WinDrawAlavés Win
1.45Projected Goals 0.99
1Final Score 2

Alavés

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Real Sociedad+260
L 2-3 at Atlético Madrid+800
T 1-1 vs Sevilla+225
L 1-4 at Real Madrid+750
L 2-1 vs Espanyol-130
Alavés
Money Line
L 1-3 at Elche+240
L 1-0 vs Barcelona+400
L 0-4 at Betis+560
T 0-0 vs Athletic Club+330
T 1-1 vs Real Sociedad+350

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+140+205+190+195+190+195+205+204.8
Alavés+205+170+175+165+156+165+175+175.5
Draw+215+210+195+212+206+212+212+223.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+150---+150+180+180+204.8
Alavés+190---+155+170+170+175.5
Draw+225---+195+210+210+223.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 40.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +195 to +185
Alavés ML moved from +162 to +156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alavés: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 30.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 20.0%
Alavés: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valencia ML
Alavés ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+146o2-128o2-121-o2-121o2¼+106o2-114
Underu2¼-102u2½-161u2+108u2+101-u2+101u2½-149u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+130o2½+130--o2½+120o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2½-150u2½-150--u2½-150u2+105u2½-150u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.72%
Exactly 225.95%
Exactly 412.87%
Exactly 62.55%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.27%
Exactly 321.10%
Exactly 56.28%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 023.47%
Exactly 134.02%
Exactly 224.65%
Exactly 311.91%
Exactly 44.32%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Alavés
Exactly 037.15%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.21%
Exactly 36.01%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.32%
Exactly 220.62%
Exactly 42.19%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 051.11%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 211.51%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alavés
Exactly 063.22%
Exactly 128.99%
Exactly 26.64%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals23.47%
Wins by 3+ goals9.07%
Wins by 4+ goals2.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.69%
Alavés
Wins by 2+ goals9.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Alavés
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal24.16%
Wins by 2 goals14.41%
Wins by 3 goals6.26%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.58%
Alavés
Wins by 1 goal16.50%
Wins by 2 goals6.72%
Wins by 3 goals1.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.28%8.72%
1.570.01%29.99%
2.544.06%55.94%
3.522.96%77.04%
4.510.09%89.91%
5.53.81%96.19%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.53%23.47%
1.542.51%57.49%
2.517.86%82.14%
3.55.95%94.05%
4.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Alavés Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.85%37.15%
1.526.06%73.94%
2.57.85%92.15%
3.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.68%32.32%
1.531.18%68.82%
2.510.56%89.44%
3.52.80%97.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Alavés
Score01234
0
8.72%
8.63%
4.27%
1.41%
0.35%
1
12.64%
12.51%
6.20%
2.05%
0.51%
2
9.16%
9.07%
4.49%
1.48%
0.37%
3
4.43%
4.38%
2.17%
0.72%
0.18%
4
1.60%
1.59%
0.79%
0.26%
0.06%
5
0.46%
0.46%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Valencia
1-012.64%
2-09.16%
2-19.07%
3-04.43%
3-14.38%
3-22.17%
4-01.60%
4-11.59%
4-20.79%
4-30.26%
5-00.46%
5-10.46%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.72%
1-112.51%
2-24.49%
3-30.72%
Alavés
0-18.63%
0-24.27%
1-26.20%
0-31.41%
1-32.05%
2-31.48%
0-40.35%
1-40.51%
2-40.37%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Alavés
Score0123
0
32.32%
14.82%
3.40%
0.52%
1
21.69%
9.94%
2.28%
0.35%
2
7.28%
3.34%
0.76%
0.12%
3
1.63%
0.75%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.27%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Valencia
1-021.69%
2-07.28%
2-13.34%
3-01.63%
3-10.75%
3-20.17%
4-00.27%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-032.32%
1-19.94%
2-20.76%
Alavés
0-114.82%
0-23.40%
1-22.28%
0-30.52%
1-30.35%
2-30.12%